[PAULYPOKER]

We all know defense wins Championships...........

If we go solely by defense alone:
Minnesota and Jacksonville would be in the Superbowl with Minnesota winning...

If we go by post season experience:
it would be Pittsburgh or New England vs Atlanta or Carolina
with the Saints knocking on the door............



AFC>Pittsburgh, New England or Jacksonville

NFC>Atlanta,Carolina,Minnesota or Saints

Do we have the contenders narrowed down to these seven teams?

That is funny because 3 of those NFC teams are playing this week
with 2 of them as underdogs......

And one from the AFC as a favorite..........

Should we bet the ML's on Carolina+255 and Atlanta +260?

The public is on the favorites except for Jacksonville as the public is on Buffalo...

The most lopsided public play is the Rams hence the line jumped from 4.5 to 6.5.........


Which leaves the KC/Tenn game as the ugly duckling shit game
with 2 shit teams..........


Carolina vs Saints

PRO: for Carolina.. Saints slammed them twice this year (if you wanna call it a pro Lol)
=hard to slam them 3 in a row theory.....

Cons for Carolina is

Saints are 6 - 0 ATS last 6 meetings...

Saints are 3-3 SU last 6 meetings...

My calculated line is Saints -8.5

So if I'm going to bet Carolina ML
it will all intuition....Lol......

Because if we are going by previous match ups,
only an insane person would bet their ATS let alone the ML...

Now,onto>

Atlanta vs Rams

No match up history except last year when both teams
were heading in opposite directions (when compared to this year)
ATL slammed them at LA by 28 points.......

Pro: Experience,,Atlanta has been to the Superbowl just 1 year ago
and shit the bed worse than any NFL team before them..
They shattered the bed full of shit record probably for eternity.....
They hunger for redemption in the worst way......
Hopefully they don't eat shit on Saturday...........

Con: only one..My calculated line for this game is Rams -11,Lol..

Now onto>

Buffalo vs Jacksonville

Don't need much thinking for this one....

PROS:Jacksonville's D is probably going to score
more touchdowns than Buffalo's offense....
(also, there is some serious RLM gone on in
this game favoring the Jags)
My calculated line for this game is Jacksonville -16.5

CONS: None......





Conclusion:
The best plays IMO are>
Carolina+255
and (same unit size on both as a combo cause 1 will hopefully win)
Atlanta +260
(One thing good about this theory is if ATL wins you can hold off on Carolina)

Jacksonville -7 (to whatever as the RLM theory)

[hamburglar628]

I love teasing the Falcons...they only lost one game this year by more than 10 points, which was against the Pats. The Rams will miss out on around 5 points a game from not having the best kicker in the league...this game should be close.

[2daBank]

Why you leaving rams out? They gonna end falcons season!!

[2daBank]

I love teasing the Falcons...they only lost one game this year by more than 10 points, which was against the Pats. The Rams will miss out on around 5 points a game from not having the best kicker in the league...this game should be close.

I did forget about legatron being out, that does hurt but still think rams win. How did the other kicker do? He played a game or 2 didn't he? I forget.

[hamburglar628]

The new kicker is 2/3 so far this year...played in his first NFL game two weeks ago...Legatron was about to break the points record for a kicker this year. I think Rams win, but having this new kicker will screw them later in the playoffs IMO.

[PAULYPOKER]

I did forget about legatron being out, that does hurt but still think rams win. How did the other kicker do? He played a game or 2 didn't he? I forget.

1st playoff game for the young RAMS........

If ATL stuns them early, they will implode on themselves..............

[RudyRuetigger]

Pauly is a guy that can write a lot but still say nothing

[Dilo]

Defense and experience are important, Carolina have both. Atlanta have advantages with their experience. Jags have defense. I’m on it with ya

[lakerboy]

Why you leaving rams out? They gonna end falcons season!!

In a blowout

[ChiLLx]

Woah, that post is the definition of "too long didn't read"

[PAULYPOKER]

In a blowout

You saying Rams blowout ATL,LB?

[Heltah Skeltah]

I really think the saints beat up Carolina. Saints loaded on the ground and can control game. Don't forget Brees owns Carolina also.

[PAULYPOKER]

I really think the saints beat up Carolina. Saints loaded on the ground and can control game. Don't forget Brees owns Carolina also.

Yeah,I know...

Saints are 6 - 0 ATS last 6 meetings...

Saints are 3-3 SU last 6 meetings...

[PAULYPOKER]

$200k on ATL ATS
$2 million on RAMS ATS

[PAULYPOKER]

BooM!@!

[RudyRuetigger]

good job bro

[PAULYPOKER]

Atlanta------------- l.a. Rams

time	current line	placed wagers		amount wagered		current line	placed wagers		amount wagered
01/06 07:42 pm	+6 -103	6743	51.00%	$687,786	15.97%	-6 -107	6487	49.00%	$3,619,746	84.03%

[Cuse0323]

Don’t do Carolina Pauly! Nooooooo. Cam is ready for the offseason and Brees shall oblige.

[PAULYPOKER]

Don’t do Carolina Pauly! Nooooooo. Cam is ready for the offseason and Brees shall oblige.

Yes I mentioned this scenario in OP

Conclusion:
The best plays IMO are>
Carolina+255
and (same unit size on both as a combo cause 1 will hopefully win)
Atlanta +260
(One thing good about this theory is if ATL wins you can hold off on Carolina)

Jacksonville -7 (to whatever as the RLM theory)

Still might wager the Car/ML play for half the unit size of my ATL play.........

[PAULYPOKER]

Money pretty much even ATS in the Buf/Jags game.........

[italianbandit]

Nice Paula, you always have a good read on the NFL playoffs.

[PAULYPOKER]

Thank you ,Sofia..

It means a lot........

[PAULYPOKER]

Unfortunately the Jags not covering ATS has caused the
degenerate in me, to strike a pose........

My Carolina ML is back on, with full size units as the ATL ML and Jags ATS plays......

[PAULYPOKER]

We all know defense wins Championships...........

If we go solely by defense alone:
Minnesota and Jacksonville would be in the Superbowl with Minnesota winning...

If we go by post season experience:
it would be Pittsburgh or New England vs Atlanta or Carolina
with the Saints knocking on the door............



)

Looks like best defenses trump experience.......

One more test, especially JAX as Pats are the only "experienced" team still standing..........

Reminds of the 2000 and 2003 Ravens and TB winning the Superbowls solely on defense alone.....

Actually Ray Lewis one that Superbowl just about single handedly.......

[Goat Milk]

What have I told you about your conspiracy theories year after year Pauly? You don't listen. NFL doesn't give two shits about what's better for ratings. The better team on THAT given day usually wins the game. The better team doesn't always win. You just have to be better that day. That's football.

Did the refs/NFL allow Diggs to grab that TD with no time remaining? How does that fit into your theories? New Orleans should have won that game, but they blew it. Was that the teams or the refs/conspiracy NFL?

Silence bro. If Refs wanted minny in the NFC championship game, they wouldn't have allowed Brees to march down the field with 1:20 left for a FG. They could have easily called a holding at any point on that drive, and game over. Vikings win. But they didn't. What do you have to say about that?

[PAULYPOKER]

Hey Goat, why did the Vikes take a knee for the critical deciding ATS extra point..........

This is the first time in history, of an NFL team doing this.........

They always kicked the extra point..........


Stefon Diggs Pass From Case Keenum for 61 Yrds (Run formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. C.Keenum rushes kneels. ATTEMPT FAILS.

[Goat Milk]

Hey Goat, why did the Vikes take a knee for the critical deciding ATS extra point..........

This is the first time in history, of an NFL team doing this.........

They always kicked the extra point..........


Stefon Diggs Pass From Case Keenum for 61 Yrds (Run formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. C.Keenum rushes kneels. ATTEMPT FAILS.

did you even watch the game? everyone ran into the locker room. all the saints players were gone. game was over. why would you lineup to kick an exrtra point? that's just disrespect. come on. you're done bro. this game and every other game proves your theory is incorrect.

[PAULYPOKER]

It is clearly in the NFL rule book........

The refs made them come out to line up for extra point........

The public was all over the Viking -5.5.........

And that is the reason they did not kick the ball.......

I was on the saints +5.5,so try the sore loser shit on me as well.......

[PAULYPOKER]

Show me one game where this scenario happened
and I'll show you it directly affected the ATS........