Niners/skins ov 46 ev (1x).. biggest concern here is skins red zone struggles against niners d which been solid holding teams once they get inside the 20. That alone is prob a decent reason to take the points here but liking the dog to stay in this game also makes me like the over. Skins gonna be missing Norman and one of their safeties against a sf offense that running a lot of plays and attempting 44 passes a game their last 3 contest! Hoyer dropping back and throwing that much gonna lead to lots of opportunities for points for his team and the skins! Not to mention how often the clock should be stopped. i expect skins will eventually start punching in tds as I think they will wear niners d down as they will be on the field a lot. This should be a game crowder finally has a nice day (nice cheap dfs option in tourneys!) .. I have this 47-50 so not way off but getting 46 at even money I think makes it worth a play.