[vinndy]

Some of you guys will automatically say it's a stupid idea, please keep those posts to yourself. I have done this in very selected circumstances over the years and have been successful. To me this game is starting to feel like a great middle opportunity, that is, tease both teams.

Right now I can get the following 6.5pt tease:

TEASER

New England Patriots +3.5 (-120)
Atlanta Falcons +9.5 (even)
Bet $ Win $-120
SUMMARY
Total Active Bets:1
Total Bet:$ 100.00
Total Potential Win:$ 83.33

I entered $100 for illustrative purposes as I'm not sure how high to go yet.

What are your thoughts on this?

[Fatal1ty]

That's exactly the play I'm considering. Except 2 teasers
Atl +9.5 O 52
NE +3.5 O 52

The only way both go up is 27-24 game missing the total.

[vinndy]

I had considered that, but I am very hesitant on the total. Earlier I had a big bet on over 58 when it first came out but I've changed that to an open credit. Over 52 seems likely, but what if these coaches do what they're capable of and limit big plays. We could end up with 27-24.

[BigdaddyQH]

I do not see how this game goes under 52. New Englands defense is good, but suspect to the passing game. Atlanta's defense is adequate at best.

[Fatal1ty]

I had considered that, but I am very hesitant on the total. Earlier I had a big bet on over 58 when it first came out but I've changed that to an open credit. Over 52 seems likely, but what if these coaches do what they're capable of and limit big plays. We could end up with 27-24.

It seems more and more likely that Bellichik strategy will be to slow down. U 64.5 would be better total bet if you have to bet total. I think this is a prime position for a ton of Over bets to get rekt.

[BigdaddyQH]

In the last 10 superbowls, 8 of the games have had more scoring in the 2nd half than the first half. The overs have won 7 out of the last 10 games.

[offguard]

In the last 10 superbowls, 8 of the games have had more scoring in the 2nd half than the first half. The overs have won 7 out of the last 10 games.

Hey Bigdaddy, In the last 10 SB's 7 may have gone over the posted total for that specific game, however only 1 has gone over the current 58 number. That 1 was the Harbaugh bros with Balt & SF @ 34-31 in 2013. I Realize it is all relative, but I think 58 is a big number considering NE has allowed only a bit over 30 pts on"D" in their last 2 games. GL

[Mike Huntertz]

Tough nut

[vinndy]

By the way, I bet it and it cashed. I also did one three teamer middle with the over. 🍻