1. #1
    cincy
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    Reverse Line Movements, % of Bets on NFL Teams

    I like to track reverse line movements and want to know if there are any websites besides the below that show the % of bets on NFL teams:
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/ then click consensus
    http://contests.covers.com/Consensus...us/NFL/Overall
    https://www.sportsbook.ag/trends/nfl/

  2. #2
    RudyRuetigger
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    sportsinsights

  3. #3
    RudyRuetigger
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    i cant speak for covers, but 100% dont track the public numbers on sbrodds
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  4. #4
    Foxx
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    Have you spotted any interesting trends since you've been tracking?

  5. #5
    jjgold
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    I wonder why guys do not win

    Relying on inaccurate and made up data

  6. #6
    cincy
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    The reverse line movements seemed to some value in the nfl years ago but no so much in recent years. Maybe more people became aware of reverse line movements and started betting them and the lines adjusted and took away the value.

  7. #7
    thetrinity
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincy View Post
    The reverse line movements seemed to some value in the nfl years ago but no so much in recent years. Maybe more people became aware of reverse line movements and started betting them and the lines adjusted and took away the value.
    right would have been good 10 years ago, maybe still has some value early in the year, definitely not now

  8. #8
    cincy
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    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    i cant speak for covers, but 100% dont track the public numbers on sbrodds
    I also noticed the SBR consensus % values for NFL are sometimes different than other public consensus % from other websites. Maybe SBR consensus is based on more informed players rather than pure public square players.

  9. #9
    RudyRuetigger
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    no trust me, just don't trust sbr on it...personally I think sportsinsights is the best

  10. #10
    cincy
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    I found another website with a good table showing consensus picks:
    http://www.wunderdog.com/public-consensus.html

    Does anyone have an opinion regarding which website has the best numbers that show public betting consensus for square players. I think sportsbook.ag trends are OK since this tends to be a recreational book so maybe the consensus numbers there are more square players.

  11. #11
    cincy
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    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    no trust me, just don't trust sbr on it...personally I think sportsinsights is the best
    Do you have to pay to get the sportsinsights numbers?

  12. #12
    jjgold
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    Sports Insights a joke

    Those numbers are not accurate


    Books Release all BS figures

  13. #13
    cincy
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Sports Insights a joke

    Those numbers are not accurate


    Books Release all BS figures
    So what is the best source for consensus public betting percentages?

  14. #14
    RudyRuetigger
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    no, don't have to pay at sportsinsights

  15. #15
    jjgold
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincy View Post
    So what is the best source for consensus public betting percentages?
    none

    ALL BS and in accurate

    No such thing as public betting percentages meaning no way to determine it
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  16. #16
    lolbear
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincy View Post
    I like to track reverse line movements and want to know if there are any websites besides the below that show the % of bets on NFL teams:
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/ then click consensus
    http://contests.covers.com/Consensus...us/NFL/Overall
    https://www.sportsbook.ag/trends/nfl/
    Can't speak for others but the last one (using statfox) is obviously trash; most games are 80/20%, not even good fakes.

  17. #17
    sweethook
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincy View Post
    The reverse line movements seemed to some value in the nfl years ago but no so much in recent years. Maybe more people became aware of reverse line movements and started betting them and the lines adjusted and took away the value.
    this is true here ...

  18. #18
    shadymcgrady
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincy View Post
    I found another website with a good table showing consensus picks:
    http://www.wunderdog.com/public-consensus.html

    Does anyone have an opinion regarding which website has the best numbers that show public betting consensus for square players. I think sportsbook.ag trends are OK since this tends to be a recreational book so maybe the consensus numbers there are more square players.
    Does this factor in both offshore and vegas bets? This would be huge for the nba regular season if accurate

  19. #19
    Bluehorseshoe
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    none

    ALL BS and in accurate

    No such thing as public betting percentages meaning no way to determine it
    JJ and I have been saying this for years. Why would the books help the player if it mattered?

  20. #20
    shadymcgrady
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bluehorseshoe View Post
    JJ and I have been saying this for years. Why would the books help the player if it mattered?
    Do u guys know this for a fact? Joking manner aside in all ears on this

  21. #21
    jjgold
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    shady forget it

    It is worthless data believe me..if you like using it well just use sites mentioned here

  22. #22
    RudyRuetigger
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    when the lines are set, you can pretty much tell which ones the public is going to be on

  23. #23
    jjgold
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    If it meant anything everyone would win

    I say that the time with any strategy

  24. #24
    Renegades
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    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    when the lines are set, you can pretty much tell which ones the public is going to be on

    You are exactly right

  25. #25
    Renegades
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    I can tell you right now which games will be lopsided; giants, tenn, atl, wash, SD, GB, oak

  26. #26
    SportsInsights
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    Sports Insights

    Contrary to what JJ constantly spews on these forums, the numbers are accurate and come from offshore sportsbooks, which members pay for access to.

    We also offer a completely free odds page showing the market average % of the 7 sportsbooks we track directly from our homepage.

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Sports Insights a joke

    Those numbers are not accurate


    Books Release all BS figures

  27. #27

  28. #28
    Goat Milk
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    Public wins more games than they lose

    If you fade the public blindly in gambling, you'll lose, plain and simple

    If it were easy as just tracking RLM, everyone would be rich.

    These strategies used to be prominent several years back.

    GL Cinci, wouldn't rely on any of these strategies anymore.

    Capping today is all about matchups and situations, especially in the NBA -- a lot is about getting a gauge on team chemistry and several other intangible elements. Stats are good but only 1 part of it. That's why you see guys who build models like LT PRofits are down 30 units in every sports every single year. He caps solely based on statistics.

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