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SF 49ers will go into Seattle and win. Play +3.5 and Money Line
The San Francisco 49ers are going back to the Super Bowl.
49ers have won 13 out of their last 15 games. The two losses that were sprinkled in there were by 1 point and by 3 and both had questionable calls AND the 49ers were not at full strength. The 49ers have their entire roster. Michael Crabtree has always been Kapernicks favorite receiver and he is in excellent form. Aldon Smith is playing. Vernon Davis is playing. The team plays excellent defense and makes big plays. They are playoff experienced experienced playing in their 3rd straight NFC championship and have an offensive line that can match up against anybody. They are well coached as well and aren't scared to play their hated rivals. This is their 3rd meeting with them. The 49ers are also a team that is getting better. They lost to Carolina 10-9 but then go into their house and man handle them 23-10 weeks later. Having Crabtree back is huge and this team is peaking at the right time.
The Hawks are only 3-2 in their last 5 games. Even against the Saints the Saints had 2X as many first downs as Seattle with only 13. Brees literally had 3X as many yards as Wilson but mistakes and Marshawn Lynch who ran for 140 killed them. Lynch isn't going to do that against the 49ers, last time they played the 49ers he had 72 yards on 20 carries. To beat the 49ers the Hawks will either need defensive TDs or Russell Wilson will have to turn into an NFL quarterback instead of a game manager. Last time they played the Hawks had the same 13 first downs they had against the Saints but it was Kaep to Boldin making the plays.
Sea chickens were 3-2 in their last 5 games because Russell Wilson was exposed. He has been held under 200 yards 4/5 games and under 110 yards in 2 of those games. He hasn't thrown for 2 touchdowns in any of those games! Completing 9 passes in a game? 11? To beat the 49ers he is going to need to do more.
Russell Wilson is not a very good pocket QB and to mask that they do all sorts of planned roll outs or when ever he is in the pocket he chooses to roll out. His stats in the pocket are weak. A few weeks ago teams decided that rather than try and sack Wilson as a form of pressure, you are better off having your outside rushers rush deep to force him to stand in the pocket and play QB. That's pretty sad when you think about it. We aren't even trying to sack your short little QB, we just want him to stand in the pocket when he makes his throws.
Look at what the 49ers did to the Panthers. They went into their house and out physicaled them. When Cam Newton fell behind in the game and had to pass the ball he failed. If the Seahawks fall behind... Russell Wilson is not built to pass the ball. He is built to run around and throw outlet passes but all that is on film now and teams have been covering that up for 5 weeks. Wilson isn't even as much of a running threat of Kaepernick he is more of a scrambling threat and teams are combating that. More of an elusive Romo without the passing knowledge.
One of the best ways to attack Seattle's defense in Seattle is to go big... 2TE sets, extra offensive lineman, full back and run the football. This is because it is hard to audible there. So if you know you can't audible in the pass game as much you run the ball especially if you go to the outside with those big packages you are forcing skinny guys like Richard Sherman to get blocked and tackle guys like Gore. The 49ers have the offensive line and experience to match up against anybody. Remember this is the 3rd match up, been there done that. Seattle also got away with all sorts of pass interference calls in the last game and if the refs call a tighter game it will only benefit the 49ers.
Too many people will remember the last couple games in Seattle that they will ignore Seattle against SF the last time, Seattle against Tampa, Seattle against Arizona. RW has a book out against him now. Kapernick has Crabtree back. The 49ers are not scared at all of Seattle and they will not get pushed around, they are the most physical football team in the NFL when you look at their offensive line, defensive line, Boldin at WR, Vernon Davis and the RB. They pushed around a very physical Carolina team in their own building.
Both teams are well coached but Harbaugh and his staff is also better than Pete and his people.
49ers +3.5
49ers ML
49ers go back to the super bowl as that hot wild card team that keeps on winning.
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Originally Posted by Parligod
