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are teaser bets worth it?
i usually just do spread picks and sometimes the total points but ive been reading up on teasers and have started to take some interest. Was just wondering other peoples thoughts on them and if you've had any success doing them. Ive been reading to do 2-3 teams 3-7 point teasers on spread picks. Was thinking San diego -1 then cowboys +10 would be a good place to start maybe?
lol at least do chargers -2.5 / dolphins -2.5 if you're considering this route. you can most likely get these lines on a 6 point tease, if not 6.5 at worst. gl.
also do not ask a forum full of degenerates if 'teasers are worth it' if you are expecting serious responses.
i just plugged in -1 chargers because it was a 7 point tease and the site i use had them at -8
but was just wondering about peoples thoughts on teasers, if anybody does them or profits off them, not that bad of a question in my eyes?
I personally see value in doing 2-3 team teasers with an extra 7 points i almost see that being easier then a straight up spread pick. Im still profitable for the year in picking spreads but would like to expand my betting knowledge and strategy thats all. Thanks for the input tho
I like SEA & CHI in teasers this week. I love to tease across both 3 & 7 but have to show restraint sometimes.
ya im really liking chicago this weekend as well i have them moneyline +120 right now
i was just thinking about adding in 1 or 2 small teasers on my betsheet every week, I currently just do 3 $50 bets usually 2 spread then a total points bet, maybe im just being greedy but i could see adding in an easy 2 team teaser like your example every week to be profitable in the long run.
I do very well with 2 team teasers. If I can find two high percentage games to play I'll put them in a teaser together. The extra insurance pays dividends.
thats what i was thinking 2 team parlays with high odds of happening already you should basically win 70% of the time, what you have for this weekend? im trying to think of one right now
No idea yet to be honest. I've just started looking at the weekly slate of games.Originally Posted by firekillex
ya true enough I was just looking at a few options right now the top 3 im thinking about are
san diego -2.5 ( 1.36) odds
baltimore +6 (1.45) odds
cleveland +14.5 ( 1.41) odds
i think chargers and cleveland are best 2 right there, still gonna look a bit more before i commit to placing the bet
teasers are all I do in the NFL. I like teasing the dogs. Last week for example St Louis +9.5. Jacksonville +26.5 and Arizona +9.5 all hit teased by 6 points. The week before Jacksonville +11.5, Detroit +11 and Dallas +7.5. This one I would take a 7 pointer to push Dallas to +14.5 to clear the two touchdown loss. Also like teasing totals... Denver has been a shoe in for these this year. I actually have one going with just Denver overs with two more open spots. I do a $50, 15 team teaser every now and then. Leave open spots for the next week if not enough good looking games on the card on a givin Sunday. Pays $1425 if you can hit all 15. Which I have done a few times over the years. Long story short (too late) yes I think teasers can be profitable if you limit # of games.
Beware of the mighty Jaguars this week.
Teasers are great, I like to tease reliable touchdown+ favorites over the 7 and 3. That's called the Wong teaser, and is successful longterm (however, books are leery of leaving out the 7.5-9 lines that are the best for those, and many books now charge you an extra 10 juice for crossing the 7 and 3 to try to combat it.
This week I have Den -1 @ Ind, Sea -1 @ Ari (can get at pk, but I had to use 5dimes for funding reasons), and GB -3 v CLE w SF +3 @ Ten. Though to be truthful I'm not that happy about GB -3.
Remeber with a teaser leg you typically need to hit 71-75% to break even, depending on how many points you bought. So they can definitely look better than they are. GL
I too am new at teasers and have been doing well so far 4-5. I see pros and cons . you would win more $$ if you just picked the winners at their current spreads. But I like the fact that teasers are kind of like insurance policies.
Of those three I like your cle +14.5. I will play that. I'm going to look elsewhere for the other plays though lol
teaser look good on paper until the game starts.... but i still love em
it'd be cle +16-17.
I was going off OPs post sorry. I liked Cleveland +10 anyways. You think its worth teasing?
I was just looking around my betting site and it lets you tease any amount of points you want on the spread, so i thought id just put it at +14.5 for the browns game since I personally dont see them losing by more then 2 tds. Im still looking around today trying to figure out my ideal 2 team teaser, I was thinking about a 3 team but i wanna go safe for my first try and just do a 2 teamer. I like that Wong theory as well but I think for this week im going with the dogs Browns +14.5 with Ravens +8 ?
The trick to teasers is to never pick more then three teams. Two team 6 point teasers pay the same as a straight bet with most books at -110. You need to look for lines with dogs at +2.5 to +3.5 or favs at -7.5 to -8.5.
teasing these types of spreads crosses the critical numbers 3 and 7 which are the most common margins of victory in NFL games. Do not ever tease a favorite past zero into + numbers
You can also get -110 for a 3 team sweetheart teaser that allows you to get 10 points, only drawback is having to pick one more game.
sweetheart teasers are effective on weak point totals, and also on dogs of more then a touchdown.
Anything more then 3 teams is a sucker bet
A great NFL two team teaser right now is KC teased to a pick and Carolina to a pick as well.
Both strong home favorites and when teased, your basically making them a money line pick at only -110
A strong 3 team 10 point sweetheart as of now would be
GB to a pick
chicago to +10
Baltimore to +13
Ive been getting smoked on teasers.
mcgeezer thanks a lot for the input, on your method ive come up with these 2 teasers for the weekend, what do you think :
Cleveland +14.5 over Green Bay
Dallas + 7.5 over Eagles
pays out 1.92 odds
then for 2nd teaser:
Kansas City -2.5 over Texans
Denver -2.5 over Colts
pays out 2x
What book are you using? Your lines are really high....Denver and KC are both at -6 and looks like you're getting -8.5, which is an absolute ripoff. Or are you doing 4 points?
Cleveland will be hit or miss....you have the half point to protect you, but the game is in Green Bay and Weeden is absolute garbage. I like packers teased to a pick honestly
the rest are good....but I think Carolina is still a very strong 6 point teaser play
if you do 10 point, Chicago should be on it. +10 against Washington is definitely worthwhile.
Last edited by mcgeezer1883; 10-17-13 at 05:47 PM.
No on teasers besides just a small "fun" add to normal bets.
First off, the average payout sucks at 10/14 for a 2-teamer. Worse, even if you can pick your single teased legs at an 80% accuracy rate each (which is hard to do consistently), the probability that both 80% legs will go your way in a single teaser falls to just 62%...
Just real real hard to get +EV with these, have to use books with higher then normal payouts, and have to be so sharp with the picks that it rarely seems worth the effort.
Mcgeezer im using bet365 was just teasing it at 4 points so id get a better payout
I know what you mean concerning the browns games, I think they will lose but i dont see them losing by over 2 touchdowns with there defense, plus some injuries to green bay i could see this being a really close game
I see how carolina could have value but there a kind of team that always goes up and down, I dont personally watch them or the rams to much so i dont feel great about laying that in the teaser.
the other option i was thinking instead of browns could be ravens at +3.5 I see them winning this game straight up but if they lose i dont it by being by more then a fg. Cowboys +7.5/ Ravens +3.5 = 2.1 payout
Last edited by firekillex; 10-17-13 at 07:50 PM.
Not 6-7 points, the 12 and 15 are some of the lower hitting on push charts. If so you should probably try to find a book where you can do what OP did and get +14/+14.5. I actually teased GB to -3, though I'm not the happiest with that leg, with all the injuries. Still think it hits about 75%, but there's no profit there, just a push.
I'm 4/4 on my last 2 weeks teasers. I do 10 point teases usually only dogs.
this Sunday I'm teasing jags and ravens for sure. Dunno what else yet
Packers straight up.
Can you explain to me why that is? Or are you just repeating what you have been told??
For example
- 10/20/2013 1:00 PM NFL Football 397 New England Patriots* +3½ vs New York Jets
- 10/20/2013 4:05 PM NFL Football 415 San Francisco 49ers* +3½ vs Tennessee Titans
Risking $30.00 To Win $25.00
opposed to
- 10/20/2013 1:00 PM NFL Football 398 New York Jets* +10½ vs New England Patriots
- 10/20/2013 4:05 PM NFL Football 416 Tennessee Titans* +10½ vs San Francisco 49ers
Risking $30.00 To Win $25.00
I don't know Im asking??
In my mind, if either fav loses it will be by a late FG and either fav could blow out the other by a more than 10....
These are just examples to help with this "dont cross zero rule" not my picks
I have been told by several intelligent sportsbettors that this is how many pros like to bet. Taking the underdogs at home is very prudent. Although most pros don't tease pts, I teased Jacksonville @+28.5 pts (4 td's) last week. I also teased Cleveland to +14.5 pts (2 td's) this week. You definitely need to pick your spots with these since they usually book at -150-200. Hitting a high % is key...
I also haven't started to fade the public on Denver yet, but I think the obsession with DEN by the public is an opportunity to fade. They bid up the pt spreads too high every week. Denver is a solid team, but expectations get too high.
Teasing past zero on favorites gives you little value....it's hard to cross key numbers on the plus side unless u do a large point number
teasing a -4.5 fav to +1.5 .....think about that? Does that make sense?
I understand the topic upon not crossing 0's while fading, it does make a lot of sense and I tend to agree.
but locked in my 2 teasers for the weekend today, well how it works out and BOL to all
Baltimore +3.5
Dallas +7.5
--------------
Kansas City -2.5
Denver -2.5
I understand the topic upon not crossing 0's while fading, it does make a lot of sense and I tend to agree.
but locked in my 2 teasers for the weekend today, well how it works out and BOL to all
Baltimore +3.5
Dallas +7.5
--------------
Kansas City -2.5
Denver -2.5
KC and Denver looks good....best of luck
U should consider using bookmaker....always has better lines. And I always keep a little $ in bovada to play dogs with because bovada is notoriously always 1 to 1.5 points higher on every line due to the huge amount of square action on their site. Why not get an extra point on a dog for nothing, right?
well just ignore the other 2 picks... haha just kidding but thanks a lot for the input man
and ya ill have to check it out, i honestly just signed up at bet 365 because you get a 100% bonus return up to $200 with only 3x rollover which is pretty good in my eyes. Once i can receive that i was thinking about using pinnacle, that site has great lines and juice usually.
but best of luck on your weekend, lets win some $$
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