1. #1
    SportsInsights
    SportsInsights's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-05-09
    Posts: 119
    Betpoints: 110

    Broncos vs. Ravens: Is it smart to bet against last year's Super Bowl teams?

    While breaking down tonight's game, I decided to use BetLabs to look at how teams coming off Super Bowl appearances perform ATS the following season. Interestingly, since 2005, Super Bowl winners and losers only cover 43.8% of time (28-36) through their first four games of the next season.

    After game four, Super Bowl winners improve to 55.3% ATS. Losers improve as well, but still only cover 49.5% of games the rest of the way.

    Is anyone else considering Denver tonight?

    Dan

  2. #2
    Crayzee
    Crayzee's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 4,932
    Betpoints: 9053

    taking Denver 5 dimes has -9+115 can buy down to 7 -120

  3. #3
    Winning oasis
    Winning oasis's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-14-11
    Posts: 1,241
    Betpoints: 7651

    I am looking for a "system play" that I read here last year where you bet against the superbowl winner and if the first game loses you double up on the second against them. I thought I remember that it has never gone to the 3rd game or 4th game. Therefore, theres a high probability that the superbowl winner wont cover the first or second game? Would love to hear details on it (other than my memory). LOL GL regardless.

  4. #4
    SportsInsights
    SportsInsights's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-05-09
    Posts: 119
    Betpoints: 110

    Quote Originally Posted by Winning oasis View Post
    I am looking for a "system play" that I read here last year where you bet against the superbowl winner and if the first game loses you double up on the second against them. I thought I remember that it has never gone to the 3rd game or 4th game. Therefore, theres a high probability that the superbowl winner wont cover the first or second game? Would love to hear details on it (other than my memory). LOL GL regardless.
    That sounds like a martingale system (doubling your bet until you win) which I would suggest never following.

  5. #5
    SportsInsights
    SportsInsights's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-05-09
    Posts: 119
    Betpoints: 110

    The market moved to 7.5

  6. #6
    biggerleaffan
    biggerleaffan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-21-10
    Posts: 465
    Betpoints: 2618

    denver -6.5

Top