1. #1
    MJT1212
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    Is it smart to bet NFL week 1? Anyone have any strong leans?

    What about pre season? I'm going to Kansas City @ New Orleans Wk 1 pre season for the hell of it, thinking about putting a small wager on New Orleans -3.5.

  2. #2
    pinnacle420
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    hahaha its never smart to bet NFL period...... lol...... but with that being said ya ill have a whole spreadsheet ready by kickoff

  3. #3
    JuniorAnalyst
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    bet underrated teams

  4. #4
    MJT1212
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    as in

  5. #5
    ChalkyDog
    Buy the ticket, take the ride.
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    Fade teams living off of last years success. Always inflated, nothing to be done about it.

    I am basically chucking darts until week 4, like everyone else.

  6. #6
    ThaTopMoron
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    Colts week 1 ML is a lock, Colts won't be living off of last year... they are improved and will be ready as always to give it 100% to win... always show up @ home for the fans

    Luck 7-1 @ home last year as rookie, fluke late game loss only to Jags due to defensive breakdown

    playing Raiders who are going to shoot for the #1 pick

    New O-Coordinator who coached Luck @ Stanford will want to put on a show 1st week

    All the off-season free agent aquisitions will want to put on a show for the home crowd, Landry... new CB's, rookie LB and vet LB's signed + new guys on the O-line to protect Luck, guys on D-line improved too

    Rookies from last year will continue to produce, Hilton, the TE's in the new offensive scheme.... Bradshaw + Ballard RB tandem will be solid, Wayne as usual for the clutch gene

    and H-Bay will want to show off his skills in 1st game for new team

    spread is probably a lock too

  7. #7
    Big Bear
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    Seahawks ML -165

  8. #8
    Maddon
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    I really like Tampa Bay -2.5 at the Jets
    Injuries and suspensions had a lot to do with it with the Buccaneers flaws on defense last year. Da'Quan Bowers and Adrian Clayborn (DL starters) were injured most of the year, leaving offensive to be able to focus on Gerald McCoy. With no pressure on the quarterback, every quarterback had ALL DAY to find their receivers. With a healthy line this year, you're not going to see the same issues they suffered last year. Then you had Aqib Talib getting suspended (again) leaving the Bucs with JUCO type corners trying to cover players like Steve Smith and Julio Jones. But the Bucs have been very busy in the off-season securing the corners by getting Darrelle Revis, and drafting Johnathan Banks. They also go out and get one of the best Safety's in the league, Dashon Goldson, to pair up with last year's first round pick Mark Barron, this could be a very quick turn-around for the Bucs secondary. With these signings, this sound extremely help their passing D to go along with their rushing D that was ranked 1st last year, only averaging 3.5 yards per attempt. I just don't see how the Jets are going to be able to compete on this side of the ball as they clearly look to be rebuilding. Who's going to be the starter, an extremely shaky Mark Sanchez, or a rookie in his first game in Geno Smith. What about Running Back? With the departure of Shonn Greene, will Bilal Powell take over, or will newly aquired Chris Ivory split the carries, being the main 1st and 2nd down back. I also believe that their receiving core will have a lot of problems with the Bucs corners. Santonio Holmes coming off a lisfranc foot injury, Stephen Hill had a few good games, but did have issues dropping passes and runing routes. I do think Jeremy Kerley in the slot could have a nice season this year though. Then you look to the other side of the ball. The one place Tampa Bay excelled was on offense. Freeman, being in a contract year, has shown signs of stardom, and signs of stupidity. When he's on, he's on big time! This year, he'll have all weapons he needs to succeed. The Jets were successful against the pass last year, ranked 7th, allowing 6.1 yards an attempt, and with the additions of Sheldon Richardson on the end, and Dee Milliner (if healthy off of a surgery) at the corner paired up with Antonio Cromartie, they could look pretty solid. Where NY did struggle last year, was against the run, ranked 20th, averaging 4.3 yards an attempt. With a health line, and Doug Martin in his second year after a brilliant rookie season, I look for the Bucs to take advantage of the running game. The Jets focusing on stopping the run bit on play action, and Tampa takes advantage of Freeman's arm and Jackson's speed.

    Bottom line, comparing both sides of the ball, I really like the Buccaneers to win this game on the road and getting them while the line is under a FG, I think is tremendous value.

  9. #9
    thewhiteguy
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    Fade Gabbert. That is all.

  10. #10
    jjgold
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    I did not even look at pre season yet

    Setttle down MJT

    Your an injury away from killing your bets

  11. #11
    BigDeem5
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    Hammer the fuking Chiefs

  12. #12
    TheMoneyShot
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    It's smart to wager every day once football starts.

  13. #13
    Jimmy0607
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    Bucs -2 is a gift

  14. #14
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy0607 View Post
    Bucs -2 is a gift
    it does look good.

  15. #15
    MJT1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I did not even look at pre season yet

    Setttle down MJT

    Your an injury away from killing your bets
    Good point JJ, definitely need to wait until pre season is over. I completely overlooked that very important fact. Thanks

  16. #16
    easyliving
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    never lay over a fg in preseason.

  17. #17
    GunShard
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    I avoid betting preseason. I prefer to bet on the regular season and playoffs.

  18. #18
    frogsrangers
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    I remember lots of people having New Orleans in Week 1 last year in survivor pools, parlays and other contests. I remember being at the Wynn during Week 1 last year and the atmosphere was like that of a funeral because I think everyone there except me had a bet on the Saints. Although Houston -9.5 against Miami last year was as big of a Week 1 lock as it gets.

  19. #19
    BIGDAY
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I did not even look at pre season yet

    Setttle down MJT

    Your an injury away from killing your bets


    Listen to CornBin.
    NFL is about weekly reports and injury reports.


    However, if you want my opinion, Packers +5.5 and Vikings +3

    GL this season pal.

  20. #20
    Jimmy0607
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    it does look good.
    It will be around -4.5that sunday

  21. #21
    easyliving
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    panthers+3.5 at home is the best play of week 1

  22. #22
    JRWnPHX
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    Quote Originally Posted by frogsrangers View Post
    I remember lots of people having New Orleans in Week 1 last year in survivor pools, parlays and other contests. I remember being at the Wynn during Week 1 last year and the atmosphere was like that of a funeral because I think everyone there except me had a bet on the Saints. Although Houston -9.5 against Miami last year was as big of a Week 1 lock as it gets.
    I was in Vegas that weekend as well. I told my friend to take the over in the Saints/Skins game, but he took the Saints and the points. Along with the Texans, the Falcons were a lock as well @ KC.

  23. #23
    THoll702
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    Raider Fader.

  24. #24
    ronald
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    "Take the dogs and you won't get hurt."
    - jjgold

  25. #25
    Cuse0323
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    Hurts to be square week 1. I think the public gets buried this year. I'll get buried regardless but I'm gonna pretend to be sharp.

  26. #26
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cuse0323 View Post
    Hurts to be square week 1. I think the public gets buried this year. I'll get buried regardless but I'm gonna pretend to be sharp.

    i know what i need to do is take a few weeks to observe before i start to gamble on NFL...

    dont try to hard to be sharp, just play it like you see it.

    home teams always win on monday night

  27. #27
    Cuse0323
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    i know what i need to do is take a few weeks to observe before i start to gamble on NFL...

    dont try to hard to be sharp, just play it like you see it.

    home teams always win on monday night
    I think week 1 is a great time to pounce on lines that are off but you gotta know your shit. I'm gonna do this more with college and find soft lines to jump on if I can get the bankroll up by then. NFL is death, maybe not week 1 but in the first few weeks every bettor will be chasing.

  28. #28
    pixster
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    Quote Originally Posted by easyliving View Post
    panthers+3.5 at home is the best play of week 1
    Don't know about it being the best play of week 1, but I like CAR as well for the following reasons: 1) Seahawks cross country road game, 2) Seahawks play the 49ers the following week, and 3) Seahawks Percy Harvin placed on PUP list due to recent hip injury which may require surgery based on second opinion the WR is seeking.

    Of course, the rest of training camp has to play out as does Pre-season before I pull the trigger on this one.

  29. #29
    chopperocker
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    Detroit -3, this is from a Viking fan.

  30. #30
    rcene
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    Miami and New England.

    Any number, but right now pick and -6'

  31. #31
    keel44
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    Green Bay +5 @ SF
    Indy -6.5 vs Oak
    Mia -1.5 @ Cle

    Take these and your bound to win 2 of 3

  32. #32
    bigballa
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    would never play preseason, really is a flip of the coin who will be out there playing, regular season for both nfl and college it is wise to wait till week 2 or 3 as a few posters above have mentioned teams that should be good arent really good and its wise to wait and see then start hitting it hard a couple weeks in...all the best on the season my man

  33. #33
    OTL
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    My favourite early season wagers have been to bet against the Chargers. With Norv Turner gone though I think I'm going to have to find something else.

  34. #34
    LetsGoPats
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    Thought Redskins were overrated last year, and Philly's roster was much better than their record showed. They simply quit on Andy Reid. So I am keeping my eye on Philly for week 1.

  35. #35
    Jotoole0821
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    whats wrong with houston -3 against SD?

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