1. #36
    Avenger
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Morons on Patriots vs Bills, line goes down, Bills win SU
    Morons on Packers vs Chiefs, line goes down, Chiefs win SU
    Morons on Giants vs Seahawks, line goes down, Seahawks win SU
    Morons on Baltimore vs Seahawks, line goes down, Seahawks win SU
    Morons on Bears vs Chiefs, line goes down, Chiefs win SU

    I could go on forever, NFL is clearly fixed.
    You have a point... RLM usually work for big public faves.

    But it's hard to see Patriots losing to the Titans here. Maybe I'll just lay off or parlay Patriots ML with something else.

  2. #37
    InTheDrink
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    12-0 su

    Every meaningless trend comes to an end eventually.
    My first post specifically said ats as did borednaz's post. Thanks for playing.

    And speaking of meaningless trends rlm produces 50% winners just like every other system.

  3. #38
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by InTheDrink View Post
    My first post specifically said ats as did borednaz's post. Thanks for playing.

    And speaking of meaningless trends rlm produces 50% winners just like every other system.
    The 12 straight wins was the trend, I don't know what the ats was, most covered.
    People will try to fit in any trend into something. Media will find them all.

    RLM is not a "trend" because it is based on current variables/markets.

    btw, RLM was ~66% with a big sample size.
    Last edited by k13; 09-08-12 at 11:59 AM.

  4. #39
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    The 12 straight wins was the trend, I don't know what the ats was, most covered.
    People will try to fit in any trend into something. Media will find them all.

    RLM is not a "trend" because it is based on current variables/markets.

    btw, RLM was ~66% with a big sample size.

  5. #40
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    54-27, from a quick study.

  6. #41
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    54-27, from a quick study.
    If RLM was 66% or even 60% over a large sample size, every book would be out of business.

    Even a 2nd year gambler knows what reverse line movement is.

    A 3rd grader could spot RLM instantly if you explained the concept to him/her.

  7. #42
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    If RLM was 66% or even 60% over a large sample size, every book would be out of business.

    Even a 2nd year gambler knows what reverse line movement is.

    A 3rd grader could spot RLM instantly if you explained the concept to him/her.
    No one is saying it is going to be 66% this year.

    Gamblers don't have discipline, BRM, they don't wait till the last second to make plays. They don't have the real data/stats.
    They are weak psychologically, they only see Brady/Rogers. Books not worried.

    I know throwing up bunch of parlays every week is not really +EV but I still do it.

    So you think I just pulled the numbers out of a hat?

    Go watch your boy Andy Murray try fight off RLM today.....

  8. #43
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    No one is saying it is going to be 66% this year.

    Gamblers don't have discipline, BRM, they don't wait till the last second to make plays. They don't have the real data/stats.
    They are weak psychologically, they only see Brady/Rogers. Books not worried.

    I know throwing up bunch of parlays every week is not really +EV but I still do it.

    So you think I just pulled the numbers out of a hat?

    Go watch your boy Andy Murray try fight off RLM today.....
    1. Murray will still win imo down a set now.

    2. Doesn't matter about that. Sharp players have discipline. And if RLM was 60% or more over a large sample size then every book would be bankrupt. Sharps would fukkin hammer every single RLM play if they knew this was proven. Doesn't matter how much other action books get from other players. They would still lose. You are mistaken.

  9. #44
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    1. Murray will still win imo down a set now.

    2. Doesn't matter about that. Sharp players have discipline. And if RLM was 60% or more over a large sample size then every book would be bankrupt. Sharps would fukkin hammer every single RLM play if they knew this was proven. Doesn't matter how much other action books get from other players. They would still lose. You are mistaken.
    1. Maybe

    2. Sample size is infinite.


    Patriots/Packers ML = +110, how can you pass that up Goat?

    I'm on it.

  10. #45
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    1. Maybe

    2. Sample size is infinite.


    Patriots/Packers ML = +110, how can you pass that up Goat?

    I'm on it.
    fuk the packers.

    Pats ML, Falcons ML, Lions ML, Eagles ML.

    Best plays for week 1. Falcons only one going separate on

    Go ahead and take the Titans. Let me know how it goes betting against Brady week 1.

  11. #46
    ericool007
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    i took NE -4.5 might be a short season for me as i went all in.
    I just feel brady is itching to show off all his weapons and will want to get the season off with a bang plus no britt doesnt hurt either.

  12. #47
    Jesse6878
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    Are you a traveling man Slacker?
    Quote Originally Posted by slacker00 View Post
    This is a classic trap line, stay away. There are plenty of good bets on other games, this is an easy pass.

  13. #48
    slacker00
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jesse6878 View Post
    Are you a traveling man Slacker?



    I change my mind, hammer the Pats. Belichick eats young QBs. For some reason, I thought Hasselbeck was starting.

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