Originally Posted by
Chimneyfish
That's my point. Gore had a busted up ankle going into that game, then he got a knee injury and was out for the second half. He's fully healthy now, which means the 49ers are a better team than they were the first time they beat the Giants. Beating a team in yardage is irrelevant if you lose on the scoreboard. One of the Niners' greatest strengths this year is their efficiency on both sides of the ball. They require very little yards per point on offense, but force a high number of yards per point on defense.
I'm not going to spend as much time here explaining why I think the 49ers will beat the Giants as I did in the Niners/Saints threads, because it seems to boil down to the same mistaken reasoning: "The 49ers won't be able to beat the hottest QB in the league right now (Eli/Brees) because all they can do is kick FGs." It's in my best interest for other gamblers to not understand how to properly evaluate football teams. The 49ers are 8-0-1 ATS at home for a reason.