Originally Posted by
JMon
The Saints, historically do not play well in this spot...that is as a home favorite against a division rival. They are 13-34-1 ATS since 1989. Ask them to lay 7 or more points and they are a 1-14 ATS and 3-12 under since 1989. They lost SU to TB (17-20) as 14pt favs in 2009 and (13-23) as 7pt favs in 2010 in this particular spot.
Are Saints too rebound after an ugly loss? Not so fast, they are 5-11 SU and 1-14-1 ATS in this particular spot (home fav v. division rival) after a ATS loss and SU loss.
While they may win SU (although not certain by any historical means), IMO the best play(s) in this matchup is on TB +8.5 and UN 50.
In any case.. bol with your play.