1. 10-17-11 03:19 PM #1
    Snatch26
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    Miami +7

    Miami has the 2nd worst pass defense in the NFL but luckily they are facing Mark Sanchez and an offense that only puts up 221.2 yds/gm. Miami also has a solid run defense (13th) which is only giving 107.5 yds/gm so for them not to cover this big number Mark Sanchez is going to have to beat them and that's why I like my chances with Miami +7.


    Miami is 0-4 but has played Tom Brady, Matt Schaub, and Philip Rivers all QBs that are on a different level than Mark Sanchez. Statistically (offensively and defensively) the Jets are actually very comparable to the Cleveland Browns and Miami lost that game 17-16.


    A lot of times we overlook the numbers and see a play like Jets -7 and think this is too easy but I wonder how the Jets (22nd in passing yds/gm and 31st in running yds/gm) are going to cover -7 in a really intense rival game. They managed to only put up 166 yards passing against New England who has the WORST pass defense in the league.


    Matt Moore- By no means is he anything to write home about but he did manage to produce against the Chargers in a tough spot. To come off the bench (mid-game) and throw for 166 yards against the 2nd best passing defense on the road says a lot about this guy. Also, he has starting experience. Let's not forget he was a STARTING QB in the NFL and that experience mixed in with a bye week to learn the offense should have him ready to go tonight.


    I DO NOT THINK THE JETS WILL LOSE TONIGHT. I just think it is going to be a lot harder than most people think to cover the -7. Trends are favorable to teams coming off a bye week and being that this is an intense divisional game I don't see the Jets blowing this game open. The Jets have a lot more pressure to win this game and that locker room is a mess right now with the Derrick Mason debacle and the Santonio Holmes comments. I'm a NY guy and the media has been all over them this week so with nothing to lose I like Miami and the points.
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  2. 10-17-11 03:21 PM #2
    BigDofBA
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    Great write up.

    I'm on board. There is no such thing as free money. This line isn't a gift from Vegas.
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  3. 10-17-11 06:03 PM #3
    vietstuh
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    i agree, but I would really feel more comfortable if I teased it to +14 with the under. what do you think?
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  4. 10-17-11 06:09 PM #4
    betme
    hello
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    I teased 3teams 10pts

    dolphin +17 jet+3 over31... we'll see what happen
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  5. 10-17-11 06:20 PM #5
    broadway6
    on to the next one
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    good to see someone has balls... to many people on jets for that free cash
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  6. 10-17-11 06:23 PM #6
    mission
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    Quote Originally Posted by vietstuh View Post
    i agree, but I would really feel more comfortable if I teased it to +14 with the under. what do you think?
    im starting to like this play best. still deciding before making a small action play for TV purposes...
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  7. 10-17-11 06:24 PM #7
    CapperGuy
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    Miami is the play here! People are downsizing this Miami team. If you actually watched all there games this season you will see they aren't that bad of a team. Moore being a dual threat qb is going to cause problems for Jets defense especially there suspect safeties and will open opportunities for Fasano and Gates. 7 points is simply too much for a streaky qb in Sanchez to cover. Miami with the points or no play.
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  8. 10-17-11 06:26 PM #8
    loopydude11
    meh
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    Uh oh. I got my weekly email from BetOnline's Dave Mason and he's on the Dolphins. he always picks MNF correctly it's insane. i'm on the Jets so this worries me
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  9. 10-17-11 06:31 PM #9
    Glitch
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    aside from a few offensive coaching 'mistakes' (bad moves), they would be +2 or so in the win column.

    moore will be good. Ponder will be a great.
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  10. 10-17-11 06:38 PM #10
    odog11
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    Have Miami to close out a couple of teasters at 14.5.
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