Originally Posted by
iifold
Written 363 days ago by your King... It never goes as planned, I promise you.. So put down the Fantasy football magazine's and close the nfl.com window. The worst thing you can do is "study" for the upcoming football season. You fukks are bored of baseball and now you look to football to revive your "inner gambler". The problem with over analysing football this early is you might make up your mind ("Titans cant stop the pass" or "Texans are over-rated") and not be able to adjust your thinking quick enough during the season. The only chance you have against the books is to adjust quicker than they do. They have the benefit of square action on the other side so they can afford to be a little late to adjust at times, you dont. If you have a clear mind coming in, you can watch the games for what they are the first couple weeks and make up your own mind, with no outside distractions you'll be suprised just how simple football really is at the end of the day. Simplifying Football Do yourself a favor, next time you watch a football game, try your hardest to ignore the skill guys. Focus as much as you can (depending on camera angles) on the trenches. Look for the cohesivness and strength of the offensive and defensive lines of each team. Take notes on how each team rushes/protects the passer, stops the run, keeps containment..Look for pure athletic dominance, but also look to see if the line is working as a unit. This will seem weird at first but you will actually get a feel for it and see a dramatic difference when you compare good lines to bad ones. You have to pay attention to scheme as well, some teams will get continuous pressure on the QB and not take full advantage of it. (Cowboys last year, Youd think with their great defensive line they would get up in receivers faces and create turnovers and havoc on defense, sometimes their D-line and secondary seemed to be on different pages.) You will notice alot of teams playing a "bend but dont break" style of pass defense. This usually happens when they cant get pressure up front. The Raiders had to do this alot a couple years back (Even though they had a top 3 cornerback) and it would baffle me. You either have the guys in the trenches or you dont, it took me a while to realize this. When you start to break down football from the trenches outward, you will start to understand the game more. You will be so suprised how fast you will be able to spot a good pass defense from a bad one, a team that "cant" run the ball from a team that can at will. Once you start to realize what teams can and cant do, you will be able to predict the outcome of certain matchups. (barring stupid ass fukkin fumbles ) A bad team that relys on running the ball and play action pass will sometimes keep the game suprising close against a good team known for having a great pass rush on defense. Teams with little to no pass rush sometimes do suprisingly well against good running teams by default. These are rather vague examples but Im just trying to make you think more about the trenches and schemes instead of stats and superstars. So trust the King when I promise you that there isnt much difference between Chad Ochocinco and Jerry Rice.. There isnt much difference between Tom Brady and Matt Schaub.. There isnt much difference between Emmitt Smith and Frank Gore.. What was and is different about these guys was there offensive lines and schemes.. It makes that much of a difference.. dont believe me? just watch. KING