1. #1
    AbeFroman
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    Maryland -3 at Georgia Tech

    On Sunday, Maryland will travel to Georgia to take on a Georgia Tech team that is getting some respect from odds makers after thumping Va. Tech 72-57 last time out.

    All the meaningful stats: points for and against, rebounding, and field goal percentage points towards the Terps coming out on top.

    However, let's look at some not so, shall we say, stand-out statistics:

    • Maryland averages 35 rebounds per game, but on the road, that number jumps to 40, which is fourth in the nation. Meanwhile, G-Tech comes in to the contest with the 275th ranked offensive rebounding unit at home, still stuck at their average of 35. That can and will be a huge factor.
    • Maryland plays lock down defense on the road. Gary Williams side gives up an average of 63 per game, but on the road have dropped that number to 60 ppg. Meanwhile, GT is dumping in an average of 73 points per game at home. Something's gotta give here, and I like the defense to win that battle.

    The final stat I will throw at you in this one is the all so important assist to turnover ratio:

    Maryland has a total of 339 assist on the season, and a total of 283 turnovers, for an average of 1.20, good for 19th in the nation.

    G-Tech? 1.06 assist to turnover ratio, good for 101st in the nation!

    In conclusion, don't over think this one folks.. I leave you with these final bits:

    Maryland senior point guard Adrian Bowie has had eight double digit scoring nights in his last nine, and it's starting to pay dividends for the ability to get Jordan Williams open in the post!

    Also, today there was a bit from Gary Williams concerning the ACC not doing enough to get their teams position in the polls:

    "Some leagues do a better job of accentuating the positives and aren't afraid to throw stuff out there," Williams said Saturday. "The ACC has won five of the last 10 national championships, so don't tell me that we're a weak league. I believe [ACC teams won the NCAA championship] the last two years, the last time I checked. I believe [Maryland] beat the [last two] national champions, the last time I checked. But everybody's afraid to say that around here, for some reason."

    Seems to be a good spot for Gary and his Terps to show how strong the ACC, and particularly his team, is on the road tomorrow evening.

    The pick: Maryland -3

  2. #2
    agharah1
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    "at Georgia Tech."

    Famous last words.

  3. #3
    LLXC
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    As much as I like betting against GTech, they have played great at home lately.

  4. #4
    AbeFroman
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    This is very true, G-Tech has been very good at home lately.

    This being said, I believe this comes to an end tomorrow evening. Something's gotta give here, either G-Tech's home court play, or Maryland's strong road play. I'm on the road play coming in and getting a W, with the stats above as my reasoning.

    BOL tomorrow!

  5. #5
    Dukebluejms
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    Maryland has the better players and better coach and should beat GT by double figures 7 out of 10, so why is the line only 3? Gun to my head I take Maryland, but I wouldn't put my money on this one. Smells fishy. Many better plays on the board.
    Points Awarded:

    16johnnymac gave Dukebluejms 3 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  6. #6
    jboy4
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    Ya, I dont like this game at all. Good luck though

  7. #7
    raidersfan
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    Quote Originally Posted by AbeFroman View Post
    On Sunday, Maryland will travel to Georgia to take on a Georgia Tech team that is getting some respect from odds makers after thumping Va. Tech 72-57 last time out.

    All the meaningful stats: points for and against, rebounding, and field goal percentage points towards the Terps coming out on top.

    However, let's look at some not so, shall we say, stand-out statistics:

    • Maryland averages 35 rebounds per game, but on the road, that number jumps to 40, which is fourth in the nation. Meanwhile, G-Tech comes in to the contest with the 275th ranked offensive rebounding unit at home, still stuck at their average of 35. That can and will be a huge factor.
    • Maryland plays lock down defense on the road. Gary Williams side gives up an average of 63 per game, but on the road have dropped that number to 60 ppg. Meanwhile, GT is dumping in an average of 73 points per game at home. Something's gotta give here, and I like the defense to win that battle.

    The final stat I will throw at you in this one is the all so important assist to turnover ratio:

    Maryland has a total of 339 assist on the season, and a total of 283 turnovers, for an average of 1.20, good for 19th in the nation.

    G-Tech? 1.06 assist to turnover ratio, good for 101st in the nation!

    In conclusion, don't over think this one folks.. I leave you with these final bits:

    Maryland senior point guard Adrian Bowie has had eight double digit scoring nights in his last nine, and it's starting to pay dividends for the ability to get Jordan Williams open in the post!

    Also, today there was a bit from Gary Williams concerning the ACC not doing enough to get their teams position in the polls:

    "Some leagues do a better job of accentuating the positives and aren't afraid to throw stuff out there," Williams said Saturday. "The ACC has won five of the last 10 national championships, so don't tell me that we're a weak league. I believe [ACC teams won the NCAA championship] the last two years, the last time I checked. I believe [Maryland] beat the [last two] national champions, the last time I checked. But everybody's afraid to say that around here, for some reason."

    Seems to be a good spot for Gary and his Terps to show how strong the ACC, and particularly his team, is on the road tomorrow evening.

    The pick: Maryland -3
    Nice Write Up..

  8. #8
    gators0708
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    Should be tough

  9. #9
    gators0708
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    but BOL to you!

  10. #10
    BGboothA
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    great read....good work on the write up and good luck tomorrow.

  11. #11
    AbeFroman
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    You guys make good points, it does seem odd that this line is so low. Reasoning I'm backing today is because I've been scared of winners one too many times before just because it seemed to easy. Not taking that bait today.

    BOL!

  12. #12
    3PtShooter
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    french toast bacon coffee

  13. #13
    Foggy
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    Terps will win by double digits imo. A very young team but they are just now starting to click. Terps have won 9 of the last 10 vs Ga Tech

  14. #14
    mart59a
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    Hard game to figure out...stay away.

  15. #15
    steelers4me
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    Quote Originally Posted by AbeFroman View Post
    This is very true, G-Tech has been very good at home lately.

    This being said, I believe this comes to an end tomorrow evening. Something's gotta give here, either G-Tech's home court play, or Maryland's strong road play. I'm on the road play coming in and getting a W, with the stats above as my reasoning.

    BOL tomorrow!
    i'm with you on this one i think they jump out early...good luck

  16. #16
    Bigcheez
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    GTech playing really well at home. If it's a close game have to give the edge to GTech because Terps absolutely suck at making free throws.

  17. #17
    16johnnymac
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    You sound like you know your NCAA hoops I need a few strong plays on the west coast. Thanks

  18. #18
    Flight
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    Line has moved to Maryland -1

    I don't understand it, I estimate Maryland -6, and it opened at -3 !!!

    Something fishy, but I think I'm still going to play Maryland at -1 or -1.5

  19. #19
    sweethook
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    great input man i like it , gl

  20. #20
    Foggy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Foggy View Post
    Terps will win by double digits imo. A very young team but they are just now starting to click. Terps have won 9 of the last 10 vs Ga Tech
    Mismatch

  21. #21
    AbeFroman
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    Congrats to those of you who stuck with or tailed with the Terps, a handy 11 point win on the road will cash the tickets!

    I lean Washington in the late game, but I'm not going to make a play. Instead going to start looking at tomorrow. BOL the rest of the evening!

  22. #22
    CappinTerp
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    Terps .!!

  23. #23
    pacocn
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    abe i thought i knew more than you and it
    hit me where it hurts in the pocket book gt
    sucks

  24. #24
    AbeFroman
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    Hey Pac,

    Sorry to hear you were on the other side of this one.. G-Tech just hasn't done enough for me to back them tonight, and parlaying that with the stats above, I felt comfortable backing Maryland.

    BOL tomorrow!

  25. #25
    CindyCryBaby
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    thanks for the writeup

  26. #26
    AbeFroman
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    Going to make this a posted play:

    Washington -3 2H

    The Huskies looked strong through the first fifteen minutes or so before WSU went on a brief free throw aided run to close the half with a 45-43 lead.

    Looking at the results thus far, both of Washington's losses in conference play have come in games where the score was under 70 points for both sides, and neither team was over 40 at the half. On the flip side of that, WSU has four conferences losses, two of which where they finished the loser to a team that scored over 75 points.

    With Washington averaging 87 points, I like the Huskies to come out in half number two and the contest.

  27. #27
    davus4
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    Quote Originally Posted by AbeFroman View Post
    Going to make this a posted play:

    Washington -3 2H

    The Huskies looked strong through the first fifteen minutes or so before WSU went on a brief free throw aided run to close the half with a 45-43 lead.

    Looking at the results thus far, both of Washington's losses in conference play have come in games where the score was under 70 points for both sides, and neither team was over 40 at the half. On the flip side of that, WSU has four conferences losses, two of which where they finished the loser to a team that scored over 75 points.

    With Washington averaging 87 points, I like the Huskies to come out in half number two and the contest.
    yo, i would have made the exact same play!! (i also had WASH -4 for game) ... sorry it didn't work out.

  28. #28
    AbeFroman
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    Hi Davus,

    Yup, doomed by the fantastic WSU run to start the 2H. Just was too much to overcome.

    Oh well. Back at it tomorrow! Too limited a card this evening.

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