YTD: 176-124 +20.72 Units
2+ unit plays: 4-1
First of all shout outs to all my crew in the ML Parlay and discussion thread..
I usually don't start a thread here, my plays are posted daily in the ML parlay and discussion thread. But I figured what the heck, feel good about this play.. Don't usually risk this much on one play but feel this one to be worth the risk. Here is my play and the reasoning behind it.
3* ML PARLAY (-149)
Minnesota
Baylor
UNLV
Minnesota: Northwestern is pathetic, they haven't won a conference game all season and the only time they really got close was against crappy broken down Iowa.
DEF FG%
NW: 48.6%
Minn: 42.6
NW 0-17 in conference
NW 1-14 vs teams with winning record
NW 51.5 DEF FG% in conference..
A Tubby Smith coached team is not going out to a pathetic excuse of a team like NW.
Baylor: Colorado simply doesn't have the offensive firepower to keep up with Baylor.
Colorado 61.9ppg
Baylor 81.3ppg
Baylor's guard play is superior to Colorado and in games like this Guards are what gets it done.. Baylor needs this game to get into the tourney plenty of motivation. Baylor beat Colorado on the road by 11 recently..
UNLV: UNLV is at home where they are 16-2 this season. TCU is 1-10 on road with their only win coming against a pathetic Colorado St..
DEF FG%
Tcu 45.7%
UNLV 40.1%
I don't know if some of you have noticed, but the much better defense @ home angle is solid.. UNLV will not let down their fans.. Plus TCU has no answer for Wink..
TCU is bad at FT shooting..
I love this play.. Love it..