1. 03-19-23 07:22 AM #1
    Jayvegas420
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    Fairleigh Dickinson/Florida Atlantic

    This game has Blow Out written all over it.
    No chance this total reaches 140.
    Under 149.5 is a lock.
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  2. 03-19-23 08:10 AM #2
    BOA12
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    This game has Blow Out written all over it.
    No chance this total reaches 140.
    Under 149.5 is a lock.
    Will add this to my six pak. I have it at 139. GL Jay, heading to the yard to burn a jay with my 2pack of dogs.
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  3. 03-19-23 08:42 AM #3
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    This game has Blow Out written all over it.
    No chance this total reaches 140.
    Under 149.5 is a lock.
    Good Luck, Jay. Questions:
    *If you say Blow-out, why not FlaAtl -15.5?

    FDU did show some ability to deny Purdue shots late, so I see your Under angle. Why not FDU team total UND 67?

    PS: the Balloons Girl from Circus Circus was asking about you.
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  4. 03-19-23 09:29 AM #4
    pavyracer
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    Who is blowing out who?
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  5. 03-19-23 09:37 AM #5
    Snowball
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    fading FAU every game now
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  6. 03-19-23 09:42 AM #6
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    fading FAU every game now
    Why?
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  7. 03-19-23 09:54 AM #7
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Why?
    just sophomores, and a low SoS @ 104.
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  8. 03-19-23 10:35 AM #8
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    This game has Blow Out written all over it.
    No chance this total reaches 140.
    Under 149.5 is a lock.
    144.5 now. Total dropped like a rock. Sharp as a (fukin) arrow, this guy.
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  9. 03-19-23 10:41 AM #9
    Jayvegas420
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    Quote Originally Posted by BOA12 View Post
    Will add this to my six pak. I have it at 139. GL Jay, heading to the yard to burn a jay with my 2pack of dogs.
    Good luck.
    What did under 139 pay...(+170)?
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  10. 03-19-23 10:41 AM #10
    goduke
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    It would qualify as the biggest second round upset spread wise in tournament history.
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  11. 03-19-23 10:43 AM #11
    gauchojake
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    Lay the 15.5 and hold your breath boys!
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  12. 03-19-23 10:46 AM #12
    Jayvegas420
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Good Luck, Jay. Questions:
    *If you say Blow-out, why not FlaAtl -15.5?

    FDU did show some ability to deny Purdue shots late, so I see your Under angle. Why not FDU team total UND 67?

    PS: the Balloons Girl from Circus Circus was asking about you.
    I guess I consider DD a blow out. FlaAtl can win by 11 & FDU can go over 67 with the game total still staying under.
    Im a happily married man Chucky with a beautiful wife and no interest in big boobed women from the Dirty Clown









    ....what did they say about me?
    asking for a friend
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  13. 03-19-23 10:50 AM #13
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    I guess I consider DD a blow out. FlaAtl can win by 11 & FDU can go over 67 with the game total still staying under.
    Im a happily married man Chucky with a beautiful wife and no interest in big boobed women from the Dirty Clown









    ....what did they say about me?
    asking for a friend
    Yeah, Jay. DD minimum.

    I know you're solid as a rock. Your wife lucked out when she landed you.

    My god, what a rack. Wow-wow-wow.
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  14. 03-19-23 10:54 AM #14
    Jayvegas420
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    whats your lock of the day Chuckster?
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  15. 03-19-23 11:01 AM #15
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    whats your lock of the day Chuckster?
    I played Mich St +3.

    But my opinion is worth as much as an expired Circus Circus 2-for-1 coupon nowadays.
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  16. 03-19-23 11:42 AM #16
    BOA12
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    Good luck.
    What did under 139 pay...(+170)?
    139 my #/belief. At 149-110 before the crash. Need to explain myself better. Early bird special, glad I saw this post.
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  17. 03-19-23 11:45 AM #17
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    This game has Blow Out written all over it.
    No chance this total reaches 140.
    Under 149.5 is a lock.
    I have this game at 147, but the Forecasts haven't been great with Totals.

    I'm not adjusting, I'm letting the market adjust around me.

    Looking at some middle opportunities.
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  18. 03-19-23 11:48 AM #18
    kingdom
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    15.5 was a surprising number to me. possible, but i wouldn't take it. the under is possible in a blowout so i think it is a wise play instead of that number
    Last edited by kingdom; 03-19-23 at 12:16 PM.
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  19. 03-19-23 11:56 AM #19
    Crayzee
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    so stupid f-ing around with total - if you think its a blowout hammer it - hammer it at bigger spread + money , hammer it live if its a blowout keep hammering if the point spread keeps going up- sad i cant bet it because i'm in jersey
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  20. 03-19-23 12:10 PM #20
    KVB
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    I don't think a #9 seed has ever been a -15.5 favorite in the tourney before.

    It could a first with a line this high.
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  21. 03-19-23 12:48 PM #21
    BeatTheJerk
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I have this game at 147, but the Forecasts haven't been great with Totals.

    I'm not adjusting, I'm letting the market adjust around me.

    Looking at some middle opportunities.
    letting the market adjust around you. I think Billy Walters once said that before lol damn KVB on a different level or is that just the “quality weed” telling you that while your mind is slightly stimulated ?
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  22. 03-19-23 12:55 PM #22
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk View Post
    letting the market adjust around you. I think Billy Walters once said that before lol damn KVB on a different level or is that just the “quality weed” telling you that while your mind is slightly stimulated ?



    I don't know about Walters, but my Forecasts have been all over the place, yet surprisingly decent.

    I'm not going to let a little UNDER streak break me from my methods.

    That would be a bad move. Sometimes you have to weather a storm and not panic, sometimes you have to accept there are mistakes. I don't see any mistakes.

    Yet.

    So I am weathering and not panicking. I guess we'll see how it all works out. The market has a way of tossing even the best bettors around, I won't be swayed....lol.

    Good to see you Jerky, I know you are comfy at the other place, but I still like to see you around here.

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  23. 03-19-23 01:02 PM #23
    BeatTheJerk
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post


    I don't know about Walters, but my Forecasts have been all over the place, yet surprisingly decent.

    I'm not going to let a little UNDER streak break me from my methods.

    That would be a bad move. Sometimes you have to weather a storm and not panic, sometimes you have to accept there are mistakes. I don't see any mistakes.

    Yet.

    So I am weathering and not panicking. I guess we'll see how it all works out. The market has a way of tossing even the best bettors around, I won't be swayed....lol.

    Good to see you Jerky, I know you are comfy at the other place, but I still like to see you around here.

    Yeah you explained that rather well, I appreciate you breaking down your mindset on how the markets can potentially adjust around your forecast. Yeah across the street is my home & a lot of great posters over there. I miss my brethren here though. A lot more old school guys here still. Good luck the rest of the way in the tourney brother
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  24. 03-19-23 01:19 PM #24
    Jayvegas420
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    Quote Originally Posted by Crayzee View Post
    so stupid f-ing around with total - if you think its a blowout hammer it - hammer it at bigger spread + money , hammer it live if its a blowout keep hammering if the point spread keeps going up- sad i cant bet it because i'm in jersey
    would never have guessed you were from Jersey
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  25. 03-19-23 01:22 PM #25
    Jayvegas420
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I don't think a #9 seed has ever been a -15.5 favorite in the tourney before.

    It could a first with a line this high.
    How heavily favoured was Kansas state over UMBC after they beat Virginia in the 1st round?
    ...anyone?
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  26. 03-19-23 01:25 PM #26
    Jayvegas420
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    Found it.
    It was -10
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  27. 03-19-23 03:28 PM #27
    play4win
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Why?
    they won against memphis by luck. the refs faded memphis timeout in last 5sec. their luck will be over
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  28. 03-19-23 04:56 PM #28
    asiagambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by play4win View Post
    they won against memphis by luck. the refs faded memphis timeout in last 5sec. their luck will be over
    They won because Memphis coach dumb as a box of rocks
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  29. 03-19-23 04:59 PM #29
    Thor4140
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    God this is going to be an awful game to watch. How the fuk can this shithole (and i know they beat memphis cause i bet this shithole and if the refs didn't give them every break in the game they would have gotten murdered) be a 15 point fav over anyone especially a team that beat a team that was number one a lot of the year. they will probably have the game covered by halftiime and if they throw up airball after airball they will be on the line 40 times. This poor Fairleigh Dickinson team is about to get raped.
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  30. 03-19-23 04:59 PM #30
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by asiagambler View Post
    They won because Memphis coach dumb as a box of rocks
    Yeah, fuk.

    My only future down the drain.

    FAU is good though.
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  31. 03-19-23 05:00 PM #31
    Thor4140
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    Quote Originally Posted by play4win View Post
    they won against memphis by luck. the refs faded memphis timeout in last 5sec. their luck will be over
    it wasn't luck. if i had Memphis i would have been livid the whole game.
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  32. 03-19-23 05:03 PM #32
    asiagambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Yeah, fuk.

    My only future down the drain.

    FAU is good though.
    Top 20 team in the country
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  33. 03-19-23 05:04 PM #33
    asiagambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by play4win View Post
    they won against memphis by luck. the refs faded memphis timeout in last 5sec. their luck will be over
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  34. 03-19-23 05:11 PM #34
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by asiagambler View Post
    Top 20 team in the country
    Yeah, I knew they could be the toughest test Memphis sees until late.

    I think either team, Mem or FAU would have beaten Purdue. Not surprised FDU is here.

    But I sure do wish Memphis was....lmao.
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  35. 03-19-23 07:43 PM #35
    Thor4140
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    good lord this shithole is up by 9 going 1-11 from three
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