[homie1975]

disclaimer: I am not wagering on this, it is simply a lean. it's the only value i see on the highly limited CBB board today.

my feeling: the bigger the spread in a situation where you have brand names playing in CFB or CBB, the more comfortable the favorite is going in and likely to take the heavy underdog lightly, while the big dog is smarting all week. max effort by underdog + the fave overlooking them a bit, usually = closer game than the large spread.

I think the Zags win it straight up (not going out on a limb, obviously) but the scrappy Bruins make it a battle for most of the game and have just enough in them to keep it inside the two touchdowns + the hook.

UCLA BRUINS BASKETBALL +14.5

[jtoler]

nobody is taking anybody lightly in a final four and especially a brand name as you put it. just dump all of your resources on zags ml if u do wanna do spread big homie

[gauchojake]

Homie noooooo

[homie1975]

nobody is taking anybody lightly in a final four and especially a brand name as you put it. just dump all of your resources on zags ml if u do wanna do spread big homie

Toler you don't think the Zags know they're favored by two td's? and the Bruins don't know they're expected to get run outta the building?

[jtoler]

Toler you don't think the Zags know they're favored by two td's? and the Bruins don't know they're expected to get run outta the building?

but by that logic they would have taken other teams lightly and I think they’ve covered every tourney game and they had much bigger spreads. uconn girls fav by double digits and lose by double digits these kids don’t care about spreads like us they know they can be beaten by f they don’t do what they’re supposed to do

[texhooper]

Toler UConn losing plays into homie’s theory though. They may or may not have know the spread because women’s lines aren’t as public as men’s but they did feel disrespected that they weren’t in the Final Four promo video. It is possible that UCLA feels disrespected by the spread. The question is, does it even matter against a team like the Zags

[johnnyvegas13]

Toler UConn losing plays into homie’s theory though. They may or may not have know the spread because women’s lines aren’t as public as men’s but they did feel disrespected that they weren’t in the Final Four promo video. It is possible that UCLA feels disrespected by the spread. The question is, does it even matter against a team like the Zags

Lol thinking same after watching womens

still I just can’t see zags losing to juzang

[jtoler]

I see wut ur saying and agree that’s prob the gist of it. bruins have nothing to lose on one hand, expected to lose, more pressure on zags and really a matter of are they really THAT good to overcome expectations and a team with nothing to lose who were not expected to be here, I think so on ml, spread a matter of how much those things above come into play

[jjgold]

Homie hopefully you guess right

[funnyb25]

Tremendous disclaimer. Play hits he is a hero. Play loses, he didn't bet it. Sharp..

[Eddy Munny]

I have money on UCLA +8.5 first half and highly recommend it to anyone reading this.




Disclaimer: I may or may not be kidding.

[POTVINSUX]

I have money on UCLA +8.5 first half and highly recommend it to anyone reading this.




Disclaimer: I may or may not be kidding.

like it Eddie, However expect Zags to blow doors off in 2H. BOL

[masr]

Bruins blew thier load against the Wolverines.
They go into hibernation this game...see them back in the spring

[Mr KLC]

Tonight you will see a human sacrifice by Gonzaga that will make the ancient Aztecs look like dedicated Christian missionaries.

[d2bets]

Everybody knows the line. Should be fun if the score is right around the spread at the end.

[johnnyvegas13]

They will get smoked tonight

zags will b wise to juzang

[homie1975]

Dem titties is sittin up real nice tonight !!!

[trevor123698]

I think if you bet this game you have to be an idiot to not take a 7.5 to 1 payout on a final four game. The team is here for a reason. Michigan was going to play Gonzaga right down to the wire had they met. Well, guess what? UCLA beat them.


sidenote: I haven't seen a game in like 4 years from any sport. I gave up sports after that rigged patriots comeback super bowl win. This is completely based on feel. But when I used to be active betting wise I was a killer in the NCAA tourney. That shabazz napier title run I had them huge in every game on the way there.

[Thrilla]

Johnny is in the mood

[homie1975]

I think if you bet this game you have to be an idiot to not take a 7.5 to 1 payout on a final four game. The team is here for a reason. Michigan was going to play Gonzaga right down to the wire had they met. Well, guess what? UCLA beat them.


sidenote: I haven't seen a game in like 4 years from any sport. I gave up sports after that rigged patriots comeback super bowl win. This is completely based on feel. But when I used to be active betting wise I was a killer in the NCAA tourney. That shabazz napier title run I had them huge in every game on the way there.

ML on ucla loses while +14.5 very live imo


Btw Shabazz Napier was fricken 2014, a long asss time ago !!

[Kermit]

UCLA came to play today.

[homie1975]

UCLA came to play today.

Zags will pull away in second stanza

[Thrilla]

Matter of time

[King Mayan]

Ucla!!

[homie1975]

Bruins blew thier load against the Wolverines.
They go into hibernation this game...see them back in the spring

They still have residual jizz left so far....

[homie1975]

Tonight you will see a human sacrifice by Gonzaga that will make the ancient Aztecs look like dedicated Christian missionaries.

We're waiting.

[homie1975]

They will get smoked tonight

zags will b wise to juzang

Great game so far. No smoking so far.

[homie1975]

[jjgold]

Winner

[Thrilla]

[homie1975]

Winner

Congrats to all who bet on their own or tailed.

It's amazing how not having money on the line clears the mind lol

[homerbush]

Winner

Not yet a winner

[MinnesotaFats]

It's like ucka has Shane battier hitting 14 ft baseline jumper

Guy never misses

[Kermit]

That was one of the best games that I've ever watched.

[ThaTopMoron]

That was one of the best games that I've ever watched.

i'm fukkn pumped up and want to fight Kispert for being a little pussy bitch