I mean look at this game.. This right here is the DEFINITION of Too Good To Be True:
Northern Illinois (18-10) at HOME vs W Mich (11-17) and they are ONLY -4.5.. W Mich is prob going to win this game.. However, no plays are guaranteed, so please dont make a huge wager and then blame me if they lose by 20.. All im saying is based on everything I see here, W Mich +4.5 is the play.