1. #1
    Snowball
    Snowball's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-15-09
    Posts: 30,021
    Betpoints: 3780

    Snowball Sunday comments

    Well yesterday I wagered thousands only to win $11.00
    Big cards can be like that. It was a strange day with definite
    home-cooking referees on the games I watched. Still up
    50x BR in about 2 weeks.

    Here's what I like today, although I see no reason to get into
    arrangements. 2 halfs also happen too fast to start threads on.
    Whats aggravating is half the plays are in conference tournament
    and others are final regular season. 2 hours of research went into
    this. ML pairings and Teasers when not ATS. Tease down big faves
    tease up big dogs.

    Mercer +1 (-106) and teased up.
    Big South Conference Championship
    Mercer vs. FGC, neutral court.
    -on 1/23, Mercer won at home, 68-55.
    -on 2/21, FGC won at home, 75-61. Mercer shot 34.4% FG, 25% 3P, 63.6% FT. This was far below avg. Mercer avg are 48% FG, 38.4% 3P, 72.4% FT. FGC stats were in-line.
    -no injuries

    Purdue to win Senior Day at home although they are overpriced on the ATS.
    Still no tease-up on NW as I question their motivation here.
    Wichita State to win, will probably cover but Tease down only as celebration
    could cause them to lose some focus.
    Delaware to win in tournament vs Northeastern. NE was hot against Drexel
    yesterday, but Delaware is a talented outfit. Also the Delaware game was
    earlier so they should be more rested.
    St. Josephs to win in tournament vs LaSalle. Line is a little high. Tease down/ML only.
    Iona to win in tournament vs Canisius. Iona breezed to victory yesterday, while Canisius had to mount a 2h comeback. Canisius is also a bit of a one-trick pony
    while Iona is well-rounded. ATS, ML.
    Vermont to win in tournament vs Albany. The line is smaller than it should be
    because the tournament is playing in Albany. They will probably cover but ML only because of Albany home motivation.
    Minnesota to win at home. Senior Day. Not crazy about the line. ML only.
    North Carolina State Wolfpack to win at home Senior Day vs BC. No ATS
    because BC can be a pain to cover against. ML.
    Davidson to win in tournament vs West Car, tease down/ML only. Tease-up on West Car also looks good.
    Stony Brook over Hartford in tournament. They probably cover.
    Wofford to win in tournament over Georgia Southern. Line is high.
    Like the tease-up on Georgia Southern. Over 125.
    South Dakota State in tournament vs Western Illinois. Tease Down/MLonly.

    note on Wisconsin/Nebraska game.. avoid this.. Nebraska has motivation
    because they have a shot, albeit an overrated one in my opinion to make
    the big tournament. Chances are they won't win the conference tournament.
    Their last home game hosting a team twice as good as they are. The line is
    priced to count on Wisconsin not showing up. Although that could happen and
    they may cover, it would only be if Wisconsin throws the game.
    Last edited by Snowball; 03-09-14 at 11:22 AM.

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