Is Middle Tennesse State +3 vs St Mary's a STEAL in tonight's play-in game? Let me break it down a bit...
St Mary's will be flying from west coast all the way to Dayton. IF there are any fans at this game they will be for MTSU.
St Mary's relies heavily on 2 things: Dellavedova and 3pt shots. MTSU has one of the better 3pt defenses in the nation.
Both teams played in weak divisions. St Mary's lost all 3 matches to Zaga, while their best wins are home against creighton and at BYU by 1. SMC also looked ugly in its last win in OT against a weak San Diego. MTSU strung up wins against Mississippi, Vanderbilt, and then went on a run of 17 straight wins until they dropped one in their conf tourney.
Both teams lost in the conf tourney and got a 2nd chance to play-in here. Both teams want this. But if one team were to want it more, wouldnt MTSU be dying to win tonight and get a chance to knock off in-state power and overrated Memphis? I think MTSU wins tonight outright and if not they are very capable of keeping it close.