1. 01-22-13 06:49 PM #526
    sportsguy04
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    Was on Iowa and providence as well. Both going to get slaughtered. Well Iowa is a loss down 23. Providence getting fuked too.
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  2. 01-22-13 06:51 PM #527
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsguy04 View Post
    Was on Iowa and providence as well. Both going to get slaughtered. Well Iowa is a loss down 23. Providence getting fuked too.
    Iowa has just been awful on the road.

    at Virginia Tech
    at Michigan
    at Ohio State

    Look these games up. It's hard to believe you can be much worse.
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  3. 01-22-13 06:54 PM #528
    sportsguy04
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Iowa has just been awful on the road.

    at Virginia Tech
    at Michigan
    at Ohio State

    Look these games up. It's hard to believe you can be much worse.
    I agree but still...
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  4. 01-22-13 06:55 PM #529
    sportsguy04
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    Lets see how bad Wisconsin can blow in 2h.
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  5. 01-22-13 07:42 PM #530
    thes0vereign
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    Wisconsin
    3pt shooting: 8-27
    FT shooting:7-18

    Garbage. They were being given this game with questionable calls and airball threes.
    Last edited by thes0vereign; 01-22-13 at 08:03 PM.
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  6. 01-22-13 11:04 PM #531
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    Quote Originally Posted by thes0vereign View Post
    Wisconsin
    3pt shooting: 8-27
    FT shooting:7-18

    Garbage. They were being given this game with questionable calls and airball threes.
    That game set basketball back about 30 years.
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  7. 01-22-13 11:28 PM #532
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    4-2, +1.2U tonight
    118-126, -91.43U thread

    Wisconsin game killed what would've been a big night.
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  8. 01-23-13 05:25 PM #533
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    LaSalle 1H -1 (3.3U to win 3)
    Youngstown State -130 (2.6U to win 2)
    Kent State -120 (1.2U to win 1)
    Loyola Chicago -2 (1.1U to win 1)
    Last edited by No coincidences; 01-23-13 at 05:29 PM.
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  9. 01-23-13 05:27 PM #534
    Louisvillekid1
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    ON LaSalle 1h as well, lets get it
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  10. 01-23-13 05:29 PM #535
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    ON LaSalle 1h as well, lets get it
    Keeping my fingers crossed. I just want to win that and be done with that game before Stevens is allowed to make his adjustments.
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  11. 01-23-13 05:32 PM #536
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    My thoughts exactly
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  12. 01-23-13 05:36 PM #537
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    Still looking at Colorado State, Texas A&M and Nevada.

    Will be on Washington for sure.
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  13. 01-23-13 05:57 PM #538
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    LaSalle 1H -1 (3.3U to win 3)
    Youngstown State -130 (2.6U to win 2)
    Kent State -120 (1.2U to win 1)
    Loyola Chicago -2 (1.1U to win 1)
    Adding:

    Towson +2 (1.1U to win 1)
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  14. 01-23-13 06:09 PM #539
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    Washington +1.5 (3.3U to win 3)
    Nevada +4.5 (2.2U to win 2)
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  15. 01-23-13 06:20 PM #540
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    Nice to see LaSalle come out and play inspired ball.

    6 points in the first 8 minutes.
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  16. 01-23-13 06:33 PM #541
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    I pass on Miami and they're curb-stomping Duke.
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  17. 01-23-13 06:54 PM #542
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    Colorado State +5 (2.2U to win 2)
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  18. 01-23-13 06:57 PM #543
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    LaSalle 2H -2.5 (4.2U to win 4)

    Let the chasing/crashing/burning commence....
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  19. 01-23-13 08:23 PM #544
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    Washington State +11 (4.2U to win 4)
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  20. 01-23-13 08:28 PM #545
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    i passed on miami too. that hurts. good luck on the night caps.
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  21. 01-23-13 08:45 PM #546
    sportsguy04
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Washington State +11 (4.2U to win 4)
    These guys again? I'm scared to lol. They have talent but coach is a idiot.
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  22. 01-23-13 08:45 PM #547
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsguy04 View Post
    These guys again? I'm scared to lol. They have talent but coach is a idiot.
    Yep and yep.
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  23. 01-23-13 08:49 PM #548
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    Can we get another Iowa Ohio state round 2 cover with Colorado state?
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  24. 01-24-13 12:23 AM #549
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    4-5, +0.1U tonight
    122-131, -91.42U thread

    I'm in an absolute groove with the NBA lately, but college hoops....

    Man.
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  25. 01-24-13 12:47 AM #550
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    Thursday's leans:

    Tennessee State +5 at Eastern Kentucky
    Richmond +8 vs. VCU
    Western Carolina +7 vs. Davidson
    UCLA +8.5 at Arizona
    BYU +9 at Gonzaga
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  26. 01-24-13 12:50 AM #551
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    4-5, +0.1U tonight
    122-131, -91.42U thread

    I'm in an absolute groove with the NBA lately, but college hoops....

    Man.
    its getting more impossible every year to grind out a solid profit for all but the top 2% of cappers. too many teams, too many sharp lines, too much parity. its not getting any easier. usually i am up a good solid 10-15 units by the end of January and 30-40 units by the end of the season but this year has been tough.
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  27. 01-24-13 01:05 AM #552
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    Quote Originally Posted by numismatist View Post
    its getting more impossible every year to grind out a solid profit for all but the top 2% of cappers. too many teams, too many sharp lines, too much parity. its not getting any easier. usually i am up a good solid 10-15 units by the end of January and 30-40 units by the end of the season but this year has been tough.
    The weird thing is that dogs are cashing left and right, and I bet a lot of dogs.

    Honestly, if you just took the times I took small home faves big out of my record, I'd probably be breaking even. I'll never learn.
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  28. 01-24-13 05:36 PM #553
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    Tennessee State +6.5 (2.2U to win 2)
    Furman +9 (2.2U to win 2)
    Tennessee +9 (2.2U to win 2)
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  29. 01-24-13 05:39 PM #554
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    Richmond +9 (2.2U to win 2)
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  30. 01-24-13 06:28 PM #555
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    NC...why is the public hammering UCLA? are they a very public play every night?

    im starting to pay attention to these %'s for nationally televised games....i think the logic makes sense.
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  31. 01-25-13 01:05 AM #556
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dexter View Post
    NC...why is the public hammering UCLA? are they a very public play every night?

    im starting to pay attention to these %'s for nationally televised games....i think the logic makes sense.
    I don't know, but the public was spot on.

    I honestly think KenPom is the worst thing that could've happened to oddsmakers and books. They lazily tail his projections (so obvious if you look at sides and totals) and it leaves their jaw wide open on games like this, where advanced statistics supersede logic.

    I don't know how many games this year in college hoops that I've passed on because the line looked "too good to be true." In watching UCLA since Muhammad came back, there's no way in hell they should've been +8.5 here. Yet I'd be willing to bet that is almost exactly where KenPom had them (I'm sure someone could verify).

    Same goes for Richmond. I know VCU is ranked and on a roll, but a pretty solid Spider squad is +9 at home? What? A horrible line. Just horrible.

    I took UCLA but didn't get a chance to post it; was busy most of the night. Of course, I also took BYU, so I'm still making zero progress trying to figure out the "new world" of college hoops, where everyone apparently needs to react to KenPom's numbers first and foremost -- oddsmakers included.
    Last edited by No coincidences; 01-25-13 at 01:08 AM.
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  32. 01-25-13 09:54 AM #557
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    Manhattan +3 (3.3U to win 3)
    Manhattan +130 (1U to win 1.3)
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  33. 01-25-13 09:58 AM #558
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    Coin kenpom had
    Zona 81 ucla 68 for his prediction if thats what your looking for..

    It seems like games he is way off on thats about 5 points towards the favorite.. usually go the opposite way or vice versa
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  34. 01-25-13 10:00 AM #559
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    Tonight all his predictions comparef to game lines are within a point or 2
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  35. 01-25-13 10:05 AM #560
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    Quote Originally Posted by ebbearsfb1 View Post
    Coin kenpom had
    Zona 81 ucla 68 for his prediction if thats what your looking for..

    It seems like games he is way off on thats about 5 points towards the favorite.. usually go the opposite way or vice versa
    Thanks. That's obviously why Vegas had UCLA at the absurd number they did -- because KenPom had an absurd number for the game in the first place.

    I'm not saying KenPom isn't a valuable resource -- he's great at what he does -- but there are also obvious chinks in his armor when you look at some of these scores vs. the lines and it's pretty pathetic that oddsmakers just blindly follow his numbers instead of creating their own.
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