My PLAYS:
Providence +8 @ Villanova $100 to win $91
Providence +8.5 @ Villanova $49 to win $45
Iowa State +2.5 @ Oklahoma State $100 to win $91
Iowa State/Oklahoma State UNDER 139 $100 to win $91
Purdue +14 @ Ohio State - $100 to win $91
Ohio State/Purdue OVER 128 $150 to win $136
Maryland/Clemson over 134.5 $100 to win $91
Maryland +9 $100 to win $91
Florida +9 @ Kentucky - $100 to win $91
Florida ML +375 $30 to win $112.50
Maryland ML +360 $30 to win $108.00
Providence ML +320 $30 to win $96.00
Useless Parlay... Providence, Maryland, Florida ML +9080. $10 to win $908.
Wow, it's scary that i'm leaning towards all road teams that I'm taking sides on.
Thoughts here SBR?
I like Providence +8 and Iowa State +2.5 the most.
Providence shoots a better fg% and from the 3 pt mark, plays better D, gets more blocks, and has a better assist/turnover ratio. They don't have any injuries, so confused why the line is so high.
Oklahoma State beat Mizzouri at home... Okay, that's it. I can't find any positives to say about them. Iowa State beat Kansas and Kansas State recently (granted, they were at home). The only way Oklahoma State has a chance in this game (in my opinion) is if they slow the game down. That makes me want to bet the under 138.5 a little bit as well. Iowa State is just hands-down better. but the low line is TERRIFYING to me. Is it a trap?
Purdue is going to play Ohio State hard, think they keep it in the 8-12 range. I know Robbie Hummel hasn't been the same this year, but he's due for that game where he breaks out. I like Lewis Jackson in this game tonight as well. I think they hold Sullinger/Thomas/Buford under 50, which I think will keep them in the game... at least within 15. OSU's been known to blow out teams at home though, so I'm going back and forth on it. Is the over 128.5 a play?
Alabama is one of those weird teams where it seems that they play to the level of their competition. They have some real talent in JaMychal Green and Trevor Releford. I could see either/both of these guys going for 20. According to covers.com, line opened up at 6.5, it's down to 5. Wonder if it'll move anymore by tonight. Bama is also better in every statistical category than Auburn w/ the exception of bench play and 3 pt shooting.
Maryland has Terrell Stoglin. Not much else on their team, but some capable role players. I feel like Devin Booker is going to have a big game tonight for Clemson. I'd be willing to bet he has at least 2 OREBS and put backs. I just get this feeling that Maryland's really going to show up tonight though. This would be a huge loss for Maryland's slim tournament chances, so I think they'll shoot lights out. Maryland has given up 83, 90, 69, 74, 73, 84 pts their last 6 games. Clemson does have a slightly better defense, but this is going to be a fast-tempo game. I'd bet each team puts up 65+. A 70-65 score gets the over, but I expect more points than that. Debating if Maryland +7.5 is a play.
I know Kentucky has been EXTREMELY hot lately, but 9 is a lot to give to a good team in Florida. Florida makes so many big shots, that I think I'm going to throw a small amount on the money line. It's at +380 right now on 5D, but my balance is on BI and not posted yet. The thing is that Kentucky is so young that I can see them having an off-night here. I'll prob bet Florida 1h, a small bet on the Florida ML, and very possibly under 142.
Anyways, those are my early leans. Will do more research. What do you guys think?