Originally Posted by
BiffTFinancial
OK, I've run all my system forecasts for the day, and here are my thoughts:
- like the seton hall/marquette 1H under a lot b/c it's such a high number [and these teams have play low-scoring 1Hs against each other]. this is probably my favorite of your picks, and i wouldn't be surprised if there's another half-point to be had here over course of the day.
- like the maryland/clemson 1H under too, particularly in this spot. should be a defensive 1H. vazquez is good, but not good enough to make clemson pay for the press with layups at clemson the way that lawson did at UNC. clemson much better at not giving easy bucket in press at home.
- like ECU +4.5 1H a lot, almost as much as marq 1H under. USM hasn't had many 5 point leads at half this year, even at home, and is coming off a pasting by memphis in the 2H. biggest reservation here is that ECU yields almost 40 ppg 1H on the road, but USM isn't the type of team that can take advantage. like ECU +8.5 for game too. USM just sucks.
- like vandy 1H +1 with patterson out, but don't love it simply b/c vandy is pretty bad and simply can't shoot. that said, i think they'll be leading at half at home tonight.
- ambivalent on penn 1H +1.5. princeton has played solid 1H defense at home, but penn has always played good 1Hs against them. my concern is that, b/c this is an off year for penn, those numbers may not be a good indicator of what happens tonight.
- didn't like NM/BYU 1H under as much b/c they've played some high-scoring 1Hs plus revenge in favor of home BYU, but I can see that you've taken that one down. i think that's a good call to make that a no-play.