1. 03-01-11 05:09 PM #1
    lunchbawks
    NB#
    lunchbawks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 12,873
    Betpoints: 173

    Tonight will make or break my handicapping career

    Not really, but i threw a few units around the board today.

    strong plays :

    dallas -1.5 (-105)
    knicks/magic o213 (+100)
    pacers -5.5 (-105)
    hornets -5.5 (-110)

    all 1 unit..

    any words of encouragement?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 03-01-11 05:11 PM #2
    HedBustah1
    HedBustah1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-05-09
    Posts: 653
    Betpoints: 24

    like that over as well
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 03-01-11 05:13 PM #3
    DemoralizdDreamr
    DemoralizdDreamr's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-04-11
    Posts: 4,319
    Betpoints: 78

    if you lose, which I'm confident you won't, don't chase
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 03-01-11 05:15 PM #4
    panik
    panik's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-08-09
    Posts: 1,108
    Betpoints: 3139

    I like the Dallas and knicks OVER. Not so much Pacers and Hornets.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 03-01-11 05:15 PM #5
    NickS8753
    NickS8753's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-25-10
    Posts: 106
    Betpoints: 0

    looks pretty good to me, thanks!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 03-01-11 05:16 PM #6
    lunchbawks
    NB#
    lunchbawks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 12,873
    Betpoints: 173

    considering a small play on portland 1H
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 03-01-11 05:27 PM #7
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    You were fading me on Dallas and now you are playing them, thoughts?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 03-01-11 05:29 PM #8
    lunchbawks
    NB#
    lunchbawks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 12,873
    Betpoints: 173

    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    You were fading me on Dallas and now you are playing them, thoughts?
    I locked in Mavs the second i saw them @ -1.5 last night. i just hope the mavs get a strong 1H which is worrying me
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 03-01-11 05:30 PM #9
    lyon804
    lyon804's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-09
    Posts: 6,526
    Betpoints: 1011

    [quote=lunchbawks;9029508]Not really, but i threw a few units around the board today.

    strong plays :

    dallas -1.5 (-105)
    knicks/magic o213 (+100)
    pacers -5.5 (-105)
    hornets -5.5 (-110)

    all 1 unit..

    any words of encouragement?[/quote]


    yes, quit gambling if 4 1 unit bets are going to make or break your gambling career.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 03-01-11 05:32 PM #10
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Not a fan of -5.5 plays, but GL.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 03-01-11 05:35 PM #11
    oChRoNiCo
    DON'T TALK ABOUT IT, BE ABOUT IT SON!
    oChRoNiCo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-18-09
    Posts: 2,984
    Betpoints: 12049

    GL with the plays tonight hope everything works out for you.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 03-01-11 05:37 PM #12
    lunchbawks
    NB#
    lunchbawks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 12,873
    Betpoints: 173

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Not a fan of -5.5 plays, but GL.
    thanks. gl with nebraska tonight i played them at -2
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 03-01-11 05:38 PM #13
    NBA_Brosuf
    Fade me to Become A Pro LOL
    NBA_Brosuf's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-13-11
    Posts: 2,489
    Betpoints: 47

    Take GS until they win and do the martingale system with it. Now that is how you ride or break your career. I'm on it like sticky glue.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 03-01-11 05:41 PM #14
    lunchbawks
    NB#
    lunchbawks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 12,873
    Betpoints: 173

    Quote Originally Posted by NBA_Brosuf View Post
    Take GS until they win and do the martingale system with it. Now that is how you ride or break your career. I'm on it like sticky glue.
    im not familiar with the martingale system, care to explain?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 03-01-11 05:45 PM #15
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,720
    Betpoints: 32412

    I'm on the under Knicks, but I wish you well.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 03-01-11 06:07 PM #16
    Deep_Rest
    Deep_Rest's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-29-10
    Posts: 841
    Betpoints: 10319

    Quote Originally Posted by lunchbawks View Post
    im not familiar with the martingale system, care to explain?
    It's when you double or triple your next bet when you lose and if you lose again you bet like 10x your original bet and so forth. Basically you just multiply what you risk by 2 or 3 depending on how many games you lose. Donkeys go:

    "Well I have a 50-50 shot vs any game vs the spread so if I choose one wrong, there's a 75% chance I get the next one right (since .5x.5=.25, meaning there's a 75% chance you don't lose both games). They bet double bet amount for the 2nd game. Then they lose that game, and they go 'well it's a 12.5% I lose 3 in a row so I'm a favorite to win this one (.5x.5x.5)' and they bet 4x or more their original bet. Then you get a call from your best friend complaining how unlucky he was and that he's down like 100U on a 5 game losing streak.

    In theory it should work, but since each game is independent of one another, it doesnt work out in the end (or else Vegas would be BROKE!). Over a meaningful sample size, you will either win a little, or lose a ton. You should look up Martingale systems on the Wizard of Odds site then look up the Gambler's Fallacy and you'll see what I mean.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 03-01-11 06:10 PM #17
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by lunchbawks View Post
    thanks. gl with nebraska tonight i played them at -2
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 03-01-11 06:12 PM #18
    myr10
    myr10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-20-08
    Posts: 483
    Betpoints: 42

    with you on the dallas play gl
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 03-01-11 06:49 PM #19
    Ca$hfloW
    Ca$hfloW's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-16-09
    Posts: 1,196
    Betpoints: 435

    Im on pacers -5.5 as well BOL to us
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 03-01-11 06:58 PM #20
    NBA_Brosuf
    Fade me to Become A Pro LOL
    NBA_Brosuf's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-13-11
    Posts: 2,489
    Betpoints: 47

    Quote Originally Posted by lunchbawks View Post
    im not familiar with the martingale system, care to explain?
    The oldest fallacy around is the martingale system. I advise you not to do it unless you know when to stop with the system. Preferable at your 3rd loss and hoping that you get a run again and will not have to triple up your money again.

    Martingale system kills folks. They are chasing that 1 win so they can take all of their money back and more. Once they win, they starts off at small again.

    Only play it if you can afford the loss though. With your cussing behaviors of late, I don't think you should play this system at all.

    There is another system of play that is the reverse of this martingale system and that is as follows.

    Ante up when you win and bet small when you lose. When you lose small, you can still have that budget bankroll in hoping to catch that winning streak again. When you win, you keep some and take the house money, along with your money to ride that winning streak. Basically, you are playing with the house money.

    I use this system of play at the blackjack tables. If I loose, I'm going to loose small but if I win, I'm going to win big. Risk small for high rewards....that's a better way to bet instead of risking high in the martingale system just to win small.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 03-01-11 07:06 PM #21
    ParlayKing
    ParlayKing's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-02-10
    Posts: 774
    Betpoints: 0

    Indiana really shit the bed in the 2nd qt lol
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 03-01-11 08:22 PM #22
    lunchbawks
    NB#
    lunchbawks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 12,873
    Betpoints: 173

    1-1 so far
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 03-01-11 08:38 PM #23
    ShogunRua
    Update Status
    ShogunRua's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-09
    Posts: 4,668
    Betpoints: 6

    3-1. Nice job.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 03-01-11 11:45 PM #24
    lunchbawks
    NB#
    lunchbawks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 12,873
    Betpoints: 173

    3-1 NBA 1-0 cbb
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 03-02-11 12:59 AM #25
    face
    face's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-11
    Posts: 14,740
    Betpoints: 201

    thanks for reminding me that golden state might win ATS soon. but sometimes teams go 9-0 ats. maybe tomorrow +1 at wizards?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | NBA Basketball Betting | Next Thread »