This system consists of many variables that contain personal players stats that run across the board, travel, injuries, team stats(PPG[Home/Away])FG%, 3PT%, FT% and APG. It also determines SOS and the teams power ranking. Wagers are varied from high-to-low on the strength of the play. I run through all the variables and if I reach a consensus, I wager more on that certain game.
My plays vary from .5x-5x, and consist of 1Q/1H/2H/Totals/Full Game involving NBA/NCAAB. I heavily preach bankroll management and that everyone plays with in your means. Chasing your losses is that last thing you should do. Losing streaks happen and the best remedy is to take a break and enjoy another hobby.
Any insightful comments, information or advice is appreciated. If I may, I was referred here by a friend who doesn't post, just lurks, and I'm currently a student taking Political Science and Business in Canada. I'm a pretty easy going guy, and a little banter here or there is welcomed. I'll be keeping track of my units and year-to-date record in my signature and posts for everyone to see. I have been religiously reading many respected cappers threads, and I must say that it's great that there's a community where everyone can discuss plays in a laid-back environment and win.
Thank you very much for taking your time to read through this and best of luck in the future.
NCAA Basketball Year-to-date Record: 4-5 -3.9x (-$390)1 game pending. Still tweaking this NCAA Basketball system. Had Ball State and Cal-State winning by 2-5 points.
NCAA Basketball:
2.5x New Mexico -2.5
2x Texas A&M CC +1
2x Dayton -1.5
2x Marquette +7.5
1.5x Wake Forest +16.5
NBA:
4x Minnesota Timberwolves TT Under 111.5
4x Denver Nuggets TT Under 109.5
2.5x Indiana/Washington Under 196
2x LA Lakers ML (-115)
2x Golden State Warriors +7
NBA YTD: 9-0 +17.5x (+$1750)
NCAA Basketball YTD: 5-5 -2.15x(-$215)
NCAA Basketball:
5x Virginia ML (-145)
2.4x Villanova ML (-240)
2x Wisc. Green Bay +7
1.5x Georgia State (+150)
1x North Texas -9
NBA:
5x New York Knicks/Orlando Magic (1st Quarter) Under 54.5
5x New York Knicks/Orlando Magic (1st Half) Under 108.5
5x Utah Jazz -1
5x San Antonio Spurs ML (-155)
NBA YTD as of December 31st, 2010: 15-4 +25x (+$2500)
NCAA Basketball YTD as of December 31st, 2010: 11-9 -4.15x (-$415)
NCAA Basketball: No plays today
NBA:
7.5x Houston Rockets -9
5x Washington Wizards/Indiana Pacers (1st Half) Under 99.5
5x New Orleans Hornets/Boston Celtics Over 185
5x Chicago Bulls ML (1st Quarter)
5x Golden State Warriors +4
5x Washington Wizards/Indiana Pacers (1st Half) Under 99.5 winner. NBA YTD: 17-4 +32.5x (+$3250) 3 games pending. I'll have some 2H plays later. Not sure for which games.
That's what I assumed as well. David West would have more open shots and the lane would be cleared for NOH to score more. Both teams aren't shooting the greatest FG%, so it should pick up a bit. The 2H O/U is set low and I'm tempted to hit the over, but I'll stay away.
3-1 today +$750, hoping this Houston Rockets game hits as well to end a good day. 18-5 YTD +$3250. I said I was going to have a 2H play but didn't feel comfortable making one. My system had some line projections that were off from the actual lines. I probably won't be back to update after the Houston/Toronto game due to me being out for New Years. May be back online around 3am wasted though. Have fun and stay safe!
Good stuff...pissed about the HOU game too...thought we had it but they did get the push on FT to end the game so at least we got that much. It's amazing how tight some of these lines are.