Originally Posted by
Jarman
I like Cleveland to cover the +5.5 spread as they haven't been looking too shabby at home as of late. In their last home game, they pulled the upset win over Toronto and prior to that, they only lost to Houston and OKC by 7 points. Before that, Cleveland came close to upsetting Miami, only losing by 4 points. On the flip side, Indiana hasn't been looking so hot on the road lately, losing their last 3 road games by more than 10 points against Washington, Chicago, and Memphis. Prior to that, Indiana suffered a loss on the road to the NY Knicks, and we all know how pathetic NY is lately from their blowout losses to the Lakers and Phoenix this past week. I'm thinking Cleveland plays well enough to at least cover the +5.5 spread and possibly even win outright.
As for the Over/Under, I like the Under 184.0. None of the three meetings between Cleveland and Indiana this year have exceeded 167 points (163, 167, 160). Additionally, Cleveland has averaged a total of 101 points scored in their last 4 home games, while Indiana has averaged a total of 78 points scored in their last 4 road games. The total of these averages (179) still comes short of the 184. That being said, Under 184.0 is the play for me.
Please feel free to share thoughts/opinions.