1. 02-25-14 06:21 AM #1
    Gaze73
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    Best NBA expert ever

    I have found the key to riches, a good honest guy with over 75% winrate since november who bets standard overs/unders in NBA @1.95 odds. I know, it sounds impossible, but I will post the picks here every night to prove it, without editing my posts. He usually gives the picks about 10 minutes before each game starts.

    I could say he's 3-1 in the past 2 days with a profit of 10 units(5u on each play), but I'm gonna be fair and start tracking from scratch. Let's win

    I decided I'll also track my personal plays here, to see if I can compete with the guy. I will track the overall progress in this post and in unedited daily recap posts. The following bankrolls are virtual, I don't have that much money...yet

    Current bankroll for the Pro's picks: $9480
    Pro W/L: 1-2

    Current bankroll for my picks: $10.300
    My W/L: 1-0

    Also, some of the pro's games are too late for me(9:30pm+), so I can't confirm them. And sometimes, he himself doesn't show up to confirm his selections, but that should be rare. These will be tracked separately as unofficial picks with probably a weak 60% win rate.

    Unofficial W/L: 0/0
    Unofficial net profit: +0u

    Disclaimer: Follow at your own risk, I'm laying 5 units / $500 on each match for tracking purposes, and 1 unit on the unofficial picks.
    Last edited by Gaze73; 02-26-14 at 05:42 AM.
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  2. 02-25-14 06:55 AM #2
    Jikos
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    He's been giving you 75% winners since November?
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  3. 02-25-14 07:08 AM #3
    Gaze73
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    No, I found him just a month ago, but all his picks are transparent and seen by other people (he has a thread on a certain private forum), he's 100% legit, you'll see
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  4. 02-25-14 07:13 AM #4
    Jarman
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    Looking forward to the picks
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  5. 02-25-14 07:13 AM #5
    44 Mag
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    Can't wait to see this...
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  6. 02-25-14 07:14 AM #6
    BCC585
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  7. 02-25-14 07:17 AM #7
    Gaze73
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    Hope we start off with a succesful night But I can guarantee there will be profit in 30 days.
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  8. 02-25-14 07:18 AM #8
    Jikos
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    Ok go for it
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  9. 02-25-14 07:29 AM #9
    lukey016
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    1 month is a fair length of time to see how good he is, good luck
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  10. 02-25-14 08:00 AM #10
    TheSpread
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    Can i ask if he gives out multiple picks or just one per day?
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  11. 02-25-14 08:04 AM #11
    Gaze73
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    Yesterday he gave 3, but sometimes he doesn't like any match.
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  12. 02-25-14 08:04 AM #12
    trobin31
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    75% sounds like money in the bank.

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  13. 02-25-14 08:43 AM #13
    nickos86
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gaze73 View Post
    I will post the picks here every night to prove it, without editing my posts.
    Edits first post Jks
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  14. 02-25-14 08:59 AM #14
    Gaze73
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    Yeah I know I just added the words "since november" because someone might think the 3-1 record over the past 2 days means 75%.
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  15. 02-25-14 06:04 PM #15
    Gaze73
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    First pro pick: Pacers under 206 @2

    My pick: Raptors ML @1.6
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  16. 02-25-14 06:18 PM #16
    DOM-Ganador
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    BOL, but God couldn`t pick 75% in the NBA over the long haul.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Dan Kelly
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  17. 02-25-14 06:29 PM #17
    Gaze73
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    His sample is like 320 games over 3 months, good enough for me.
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  18. 02-25-14 07:51 PM #18
    Gaze73
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    All games confirmed today:
    POR/DEN over 214.5
    MIN/PHO over 211
    HOU/SAC over 213
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  19. 02-25-14 08:16 PM #19
    TheSpread
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    hmm, lets see how it goes.

    1st pick @ Pacer under 206 resulted in a loss. Ross Benjamin, gave an over 206 pick, and he won. That's 0-1 for your expert.
    Last edited by TheSpread; 02-25-14 at 08:20 PM.
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  20. 02-25-14 09:00 PM #20
    stefan084
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    Quote Originally Posted by DOM-Ganador View Post
    BOL, but God couldn`t pick 75% in the NBA over the long haul.
    God is currently 83% over his last 200 plays but he lays serious juice and mostly big favs
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  21. 02-25-14 09:02 PM #21
    EasyPicks
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    it seems to me that you are gonna win the challenge with your own picks!

    It's a mathematical anomaly picking 75% winners at -105 (1.95) odds! Over a sample that large.
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  22. 02-25-14 09:04 PM #22
    mojo13
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    best case scenario for these 4 bets is 50/50...
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  23. 02-25-14 10:46 PM #23
    Celtics08
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    Join Date: 01-27-14
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  24. 02-26-14 05:40 AM #24
    Gaze73
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    1st night Recap:
    POR/DEN over 214.5 -loss
    MIN/PHO over 211 -push
    HOU/SAC over 213 - win
    Pacers under 206 @2 -loss
    My pick: Raptors ML @1.6 -win

    Pro bankroll - $9480 (-520)
    My bankroll - $10300 (+300)
    Last edited by Gaze73; 02-26-14 at 05:43 AM. Reason: Lol, can't count, just woke up :) My winning is +300
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  25. 02-26-14 07:26 AM #25
    TheSpread
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    lets see tomorrow.
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  26. 02-26-14 05:54 PM #26
    Gaze73
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    My pick: Orlando ML
    Pro pick: ORL/PHI Over 215

    5 more games to be confirmed tonight.
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  27. 02-26-14 06:04 PM #27
    coitus_maximus
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    Well, picking NBA large ML...Wouldn't say that is a pro pick. Who is stupid enough to lay that vig on large favs. My 9 year old can make those picks.
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  28. 02-26-14 06:47 PM #28
    mojo13
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    The topic of this thread is ,, best nba expert ever ,, ? that is so funny man...
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  29. 02-26-14 06:58 PM #29
    Gaze73
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    GSW/CHI OVER
    LAL/MEM OVER
    PHO/UTH UNDER
    BKN/POR OVER
    HOU/LAC UNDER

    All should be confirmed.

    Also GSW -3.5 is my other pick for today.
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  30. 02-26-14 07:08 PM #30
    EasyPicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gaze73 View Post
    My pick: Orlando ML
    Pro pick: ORL/PHI Over 215

    5 more games to be confirmed tonight.

    you will get a lot of heat around here if you don't put the odds etc.
    Try to be more accurate from now on.

    Cheers and gl
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  31. 02-26-14 07:09 PM #31
    EasyPicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gaze73 View Post
    GSW/CHI OVER
    LAL/MEM OVER
    PHO/UTH UNDER
    BKN/POR OVER
    HOU/LAC UNDER

    All should be confirmed.

    Also GSW -3.5 is my other pick for today.

    ohh waiting for confirmation. my bad!
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  32. 02-26-14 07:53 PM #32
    Gaze73
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    Odds are on average ~1.96 on the solid bookies, so I take the standard overs/unders at those odds. Going to sleep now, hope to wake up to some profit finally...
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  33. 02-27-14 05:59 AM #33
    Gaze73
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    Night 2 recap:
    Pro picks
    ORL/PHI OVER - loss
    GSW/CHI OVER - loss by a goddamn half a point, happened 3 times to me this week, will start buying it to save myself some headache
    LAL/MEM OVER - win
    PHO/UTH UNDER -win
    BKN/POR OVER - loss
    HOU/LAC UNDER - win

    So 3:3, 1 point short of 4:2, damn.
    Pro BR: $9420(-60)

    My picks: Orlando ML @1.6 - win 300
    GSW -3.5 loss 500, they played like zombies and blew our over.

    My BR: $10.100(-200)

    Wtf I can't edit OP anymore? That sucks.
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  34. 02-27-14 05:29 PM #34
    Gaze73
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    Pro pick: Milwaukee Bucks @ Indiana Pacers / Total Points - Over 195 @ 1.96
    My pick is: Washington Wizards @ Toronto Raptors / Total Points - Under 198.5 @ 1.96
    Last edited by Gaze73; 02-27-14 at 06:00 PM. Reason: The Pro showed up
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  35. 02-27-14 06:48 PM #35
    EasyPicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gaze73 View Post
    Night 2 recap:
    Pro picks
    ORL/PHI OVER - loss
    GSW/CHI OVER - loss by a goddamn half a point, happened 3 times to me this week, will start buying it to save myself some headache
    LAL/MEM OVER - win
    PHO/UTH UNDER -win
    BKN/POR OVER - loss
    HOU/LAC UNDER - win

    So 3:3, 1 point short of 4:2, damn.
    Pro BR: $9420(-60)

    My picks: Orlando ML @1.6 - win 300
    GSW -3.5 loss 500, they played like zombies and blew our over.

    My BR: $10.100(-200)

    Wtf I can't edit OP anymore? That sucks.
    br 9.800

    cheers
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