1. #1
    Crayzee
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    question for totals experts

    do unders come in alot more than overs?
    is the oddsmaker geared towards expecting more money (losers) towards overs?

    i havent analyzed any stats but over the years it just seems you can win more consistently with unders than overs

  2. #2
    AC1318
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    at least when you play under you are winning from the begining.
    When you bet over you are already a loser to start
    Last edited by AC1318; 03-21-07 at 10:15 PM.

  3. #3
    Checkerboard
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    I handicap the game and play it appropriately. I don't think there's any long term tendency to unders covering.

  4. #4
    AC1318
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    I think you can decipher better home and away games of two teams some have a tendency to go over or under vice versa pending who's court. I don't see over or under as a whole going either way.

  5. #5
    Ganchrow
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    Of the 17,591 games from 02 November 1990 through 18 November for which I happen to have totals and scores readily available, 8,665 games (49.3%) went under, 8,772 (49.6%) went over, and 204 (1.2%) pushed.

    This means that over the relevant time period, of games that did not push the total about 49.8% went under and 50.2% went over.

    Over the 17,387 non-push outcomes in the sample, this is within a single standard deviation of what would be expected given a 50/50 proposition.

    So the short answer is that there's insignificant statistical evidence to reject the hypothesis that NBA overs and unders occur with equal likelihood.

  6. #6
    Illusion
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    Great info as always Ganch.

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