1. #1
    solman
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    Denver -9, ml -475 very risky

    I am taking Philadelphia ML 15x +375. This looks like a trap to me with Denver. How can you back a team that has lost four straight at home and seven in a row overall with -475 and -9. OK I agree that Philadelphia looks dismal also but they just beat Lakers on Dec 29 and recently got back their confidence with that win. Cant give many positive stats about Philadelphia and comments will come in such as the worst defensive team in the league, 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games, 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road, 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road. Sorry but I just cant back a Denver team at these high $ with that much risk. Win/loss records looks variably different but side by side these teams are very similar.I would rather take my chances with Philadelphia considering the possible payoff. Same thing happened with Milwaukee in Wash, had Milwaukee +425 ML road win Vs. Washington and they won in OT with a dismal record also. These ML/spreads are inflated and the books are playing tricks. Sorry I wont fall for it. Play at your own risk. This is merely my opinion. GL with your plays.

  2. #2
    flyingcarbs
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    I agree, take a look at the Kings game last night, same situation and underdog won.
    Last edited by flyingcarbs; 01-01-14 at 03:20 PM.

  3. #3
    ParlayBricker
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    Philly scores a good % of there points in the paint. Denver very solid at not allowing points in the paint. I agree that the line is to heavy probably should be -6 or so , but that's just them shading because publics opinion on Philly being atrocious this year. Denver will win this game,though it may be closer than most people think.

  4. #4
    ShogunRua
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    Quote Originally Posted by solman View Post
    I am taking Philadelphia ML 15x +375. This looks like a trap to me with Denver. How can you back a team that has lost four straight at home and seven in a row overall with -475 and -9. OK I agree that Philadelphia looks dismal also but they just beat Lakers on Dec 29 and recently got back their confidence with that win. Cant give many positive stats about Philadelphia and comments will come in such as the worst defensive team in the league, 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games, 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road, 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road. Sorry but I just cant back a Denver team at these high $ with that much risk. Win/loss records looks variably different but side by side these teams are very similar.I would rather take my chances with Philadelphia considering the possible payoff. Same thing happened with Milwaukee in Wash, had Milwaukee +425 ML road win Vs. Washington and they won in OT with a dismal record also. These ML/spreads are inflated and the books are playing tricks. Sorry I wont fall for it. Play at your own risk. This is merely my opinion. GL with your plays.
    All the more reason to take Denver tonight. Good luck with your '15x ML' play.

  5. #5
    R.P. McMurphy
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    Shotgun is right I laid the 9...and if anyone believes in Vegas conspiracy the pub is all ov Philly Ml at a pretty high clip. Dead $$ Ml backers dead $$ gl tho! Haha

  6. #6
    LRKontroll
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    nice review

  7. #7
    SEKTAUR
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    good call

  8. #8
    IllyPhilly[DOC]
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    Man monster call! Wish i checked this post out today. I was on denver-9 and over 213. I would have stayed away from the nuggets -9 and put a little on Sixers ML. SMH mad i missed this! Sixerse +400 great call.

  9. #9
    solman
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    Quote Originally Posted by R.P. McMurphy View Post
    Shotgun is right I laid the 9...and if anyone believes in Vegas conspiracy the pub is all ov Philly Ml at a pretty high clip. Dead $$ Ml backers dead $$ gl tho! Haha
    My "dead" ML money is alive!!!!!!! Come on tell me you didn't take Denver at -9? Lucky just like Milwaukee at Wash right a few weeks ago? You gotta be in the know I guess.

  10. #10
    solman
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShogunRua View Post
    All the more reason to take Denver tonight. Good luck with your '15x ML' play.
    Guess one of us was right..

  11. #11
    solman
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEKTAUR View Post
    good call
    I am guessing you cashed

  12. #12
    solman
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    Quote Originally Posted by IllyPhilly[DOC] View Post
    Man monster call! Wish i checked this post out today. I was on denver-9 and over 213. I would have stayed away from the nuggets -9 and put a little on Sixers ML. SMH mad i missed this! Sixerse +400 great call.
    Come on a Philly guy not on Philly? No I know they looked terrible on paper/win loss record but against Denver they had a great chance after the confidence building win over Lakers. When I see these inflated ML/spreads I smell BS. Gotta study and be lucky also.

  13. #13
    Ant2nv
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    I was on denver -9..for the reason they are on a bad run and need a big win for confidence, playing worst team at home..buy damn denver really do suck lol..good call!!

  14. #14
    solman
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    Date Ticket # Title Status Risk Won Description
    01/01 03:26 PM 145XXXXXX-X 1 Straight Won $1,500.88 $5,628.29 Basketball NBA - Philadelphia 76ers +375 for Game (Won)

  15. #15
    killacappapilla
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    gj, i took them at half lol

    $435.62 $281.05 Win Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets Money Line 76ERS PK

  16. #16
    ShogunRua
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    I was on Denver -9.

    Nice call solman.

  17. #17
    YINSANITY
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    very nice! cashed in on 76ers as well!

  18. #18
    IllyPhilly[DOC]
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    Quote Originally Posted by solman View Post
    Come on a Philly guy not on Philly? No I know they looked terrible on paper/win loss record but against Denver they had a great chance after the confidence building win over Lakers. When I see these inflated ML/spreads I smell BS. Gotta study and be lucky also.
    I'm horrible at calling Sixers/Eagles games on or against them LOL

  19. #19
    IllyPhilly[DOC]
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    Try Sixers +8 vs Kings tomorrow or ML? He he.

  20. #20
    flyingcarbs
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    Quote Originally Posted by IllyPhilly[DOC] View Post
    Try Sixers +8 vs Kings tomorrow or ML? He he.
    I'd stay away from that game, both teams are "underdogs" that end up biting.

  21. #21
    Mocknroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShogunRua View Post
    I was on Denver -9.

    Nice call solman.
    I like this.
    Not that you lost, but that you called the play out before the game, checked in and congratulated the guy and stated you were on the other side after the result. Most would just disappear from the thread.
    Classy. Well done!

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