[Jay Edgar]

MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Friday, 2-7, -5.34u
(NJ, IND, PHI, BOS, CHA, MIL, NOK, POR, SEA)
YTD 184-319, +57.78u

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Friday, 4-5, -1.25u
YTD 274-222 (.552), +40.90u

POWER RANKINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 PHX 63
2 HOU 63
3 DET 63
4 DAL 62
5 CHI 57
6 LAC 57
7 MIA 56
8 IND 55
9 WAS 54
10 UTH 54
11 CLE 53
12 SAN 52
13 TOR 52
14 ORL 51
15 SAC 50
16 NOK 49
17 NY 49
18 MIN 48
19 CHA 48
20 PHI 47
21 POR 47
22 LAX 46
23 DEN 46
24 NJ 45
25 ATL 44
26 MEM 44
27 GS 43
28 SEA 42
29 MIL 33
30 BOS 32

EDGAR LINES FOR 02.03.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

ORL 3.5/144 over NY

WAS 5.8/206 over LAX

CHA 6.0/215 over GS

MEM 5.0/177 over IND

MIL 2.5/126 over MIA

DAL 6.9/262 over MIN

HOU 6.9/262 over NOK

PHX 4.7/171 over UTH

SAC 6.4/240 over DEN

POR 3.9/158 over CHI


STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

NY +172, ORL -121

LAX +251, WAS -171

GS +263, CHA -178

IND +213, MEM -148

MIA +150, MIL -106

MIN +326, DAL -214

NOK +327, HOU -214

UTH +205, PHX -143

DEN +296, SAC -197

CHI +189, POR -133


20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Results this far out have been subpar.)

NY +350, ORL +149

LAX +619, WAS +106

GS +672, CHA +102

IND +476, MEM +122

MIA +293, MIL +171

MIN +1029, DAL -115

NOK +1031, HOU -115

UTH +451, PHX -126

DEN +840, SAC +107

CHI +400, POR +136

[bigboydan]

Not the best of starts for the month of February I see Jay

[DarkProdigy]

Yea...i noticed that also...lol. Look forward to your stellar system though!

[Jay Edgar]

Not the best of starts for the month of February I see Jay

"...this is nothing. This is nothing. D'you ever shoot in Italy? Try three Italian starlets on Benzedrine, this is a walk in the park..."


Anybody?

[bside]

Wag the Dog

[Jay Edgar]

Winner!

Prize is free NBA ratings for the rest of the year, which Bside has graciously agreed to share with all.

[LT Profits]

Jay,

Just curious, do you use this methodoligy to analyze NBA Totals?

[Jay Edgar]

LT -

That's a negative.

I have no objective method for totals and don't play many of my own leans.

(Which isn't to deny that plenty of good methods for totals exist or could be created.)

As a related aisde, one thing I'd like to see done on totals is for someone to check how often that initial 1.5-2 point hit on the first overnight release of the total at CRIS or the Greek is on the winning side. How often does it win when there's eventual buyback, and how often where there's no appreciable buyback? With the SBR pointspread data records (presuming you can get around the silly childproof cap on them), this could be figured out.

[DrSlamm]

with no access to pinnacle where could a US player attempt to get comparable moneylines?

[Jay Edgar]

At Matchbook, if you don't get better moneylines than Pinnacle, you're not trying hard enough.

Beyond that, you do have to take a hit of a couple basis points some of the time -- though less so on the dogs on average.

[onlooker]

LV Hilton, Coast Casinos, MGM Group, or the Caesars Group. Most of the others wont have a money line on the big time dogs.

Oh. Your talking offshore.

[bside]

Nice rebound day Jay. Didn't have time to cap many games for today. Played the card this morning based on your lines. Good day but then again you owe me NBA ratings for the rest of the year anyway

[DrSlamm]

literally a MIRACLE cover by the blazers.. i stormed out of my TV room and came back and my bet had won

[bigboydan]

Miracle is right Dr.Slamm.

[Jay Edgar]

Assuming that the stolen Blazers +3 money is now solid . . .

==================
GAP TEAM ATS ML
8 CHA WIN 100
8 NY WIN 197
9 WAS LOSS -144
10 NOK WIN 450
14 MIN WIN -100
15 MEM LOSS -100
21 POR WIN -100
22 MIL LOSS -100
24 UTH WIN 650

=====================

MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Saturday, 4-5, +8.53u
(NY, WAS, CHA, MEM, MIL, MIN, NOK, UTH, POR)
YTD 188-324, +66.31u

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Saturday, 6-3, +2.85u
YTD 280-227 (.552), +43.75u