1. 02-05-13 10:23 AM #1
    Frenchy616
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    Lakers @ Brooklyn

    I don't know about you, but I was very surprised to see that this spread was a PK, I was expecting around a -3 to -3.5 for the Nets. Which of course, prior to a college exam got me thinking... Why would the Net's not be favorites coming off 3 days rest, at home, against a Lakers team who is inefficient on the road?

    Then I did some research, and besides the Knicks, the Nets have really struggled against decent teams. A majority of their wins are against weak opponents. they are 17-0 against teams with under 500 records while 10-19 against teams with over .500 records. With many of those 10 teams being those who are great home teams, poor road teams. So would you assume the streak ends tonight? I think I do, the Lakers for the first time this season are not playing like a true under .500 team.

    The Vegas perspective (and please correct me if you think I am over thinking). When Vegas makes odds they account for the Laker (major market) effect with a ton more money coming in on them than other teams. But have a PK at Brooklyn IMO begs people to put money on the Nets and scares people from betting the lakers. To me this looks like a 100% trap game, that Vegas believes the Lakers are going to win, hence knowing they will get most their original action on the Nets. Then even more once Dwight Howard is confirmed out. The line has already moved 2.5 points.

    Kobe loves playing in the East coast and generally does very well. Pau Gasol has been playing very well on the Offensive end the last few games, and the Lakers bench has finally started hitting some 3s. On the other hand, Williams and Johnson have been inconsistent.

    I like lakers +2.5, will wait to see if I can get 3 or 3.5 though.

    Opinions?
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  2. 02-05-13 10:27 AM #2
    JM92
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    I think the Lakers will simply want this more. They match-up very similar across the board specially if you read advanced statistics with brooklyn having the only edge between the two on turnovers forced. I think I will bet the Lakers specially if Brooklyn can't get Brooks and Blatche on the floor. Both should have it easy here and would certainly contribute if they play, so if they don't I think that's a plus for the Lakers in a big time.
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  3. 02-05-13 10:44 AM #3
    Melda
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    Close game, teasing lakers to 7.5 and ind -1
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  4. 02-05-13 10:49 AM #4
    Vinnie Paz
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    Lakers are not a 500 team though
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  5. 02-05-13 10:54 AM #5
    tralala
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    The only worrying thing for anyone backing Lakers at +2.5 would be how long can they hold out in the 2nd half. Compared to the Nets, who have shown that they can really close out tight games, Lakers pretty much suck at that. I highly doubt DH12 is gonna play, so eventually... as much as I hate to say, it boils down to Kobe. Anyway I agree with you Frenchy616, a +3.5 would be more optimal given that it's gonna be a really tight game with close matchups. BOL!
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  6. 02-05-13 11:17 AM #6
    virtualguru28
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    The Lakers will not lose today. They are desperately trying to get to a respectable record before the all star break and things seem to finally be clicking for them.

    If the nets do end up having a few last minute scratches this line could actually move to +1 or PK. Best bet is if you are going to take the Lakers (and i suggest you do), take it early.
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  7. 02-05-13 11:23 AM #7
    Frenchy616
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    Peace is now out... I still like Lakers. I truly believe they are coming into this game ready to go.. Will no wait for +4 or better.. Line already to +3.5 in some books
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  8. 02-05-13 11:23 AM #8
    Frenchy616
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    Actually, 3.5 in all books....
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  9. 02-05-13 11:24 AM #9
    Melda
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    At 4 on mine..quickly
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  10. 02-05-13 11:27 AM #10
    CallmeJake
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    well no howard and no world peace...
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  11. 02-05-13 11:27 AM #11
    HardCore
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    Can't call this gm either way because bk is so overrated and the lakers can't hold leads against bad teams what happens when bk goes on a run and actually takes a lead does Kobe revert back to Kobe or will continue to pass the ball hmmm
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  12. 02-05-13 11:28 AM #12
    Frenchy616
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    Yea but this was never going to be a defensive game... I am tempted to go over 197 on this as well now. Lakers are going to focused on scoring tonight, if Brooklyn wants to hang with they will have to score back.
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  13. 02-05-13 11:43 AM #13
    Frenchy616
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    This could very well explain why the line opened PK, maybe vegas knew this was going to happen and planned accordingly for the lopsided amount of money that is going to be on this game?
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  14. 02-05-13 11:57 AM #14
    virtualguru28
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    I am seeing now +4.5 and ML +165
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  15. 02-05-13 12:04 PM #15
    CaVengo
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    Just play Brooklyn and be happy that you didn't roll with the retirement home!
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  16. 02-05-13 12:14 PM #16
    hazeee
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    No Dwight no Metta, BROOKLYN
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  17. 02-05-13 01:14 PM #17
    nammertl
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    ^lakers have been playing better without dwight and metta is metta. definitely leaning towards brooklyn because lakers have shown to be prone to losing big leads even to inferior teams and brooklyn is not an inferior team.

    BUT....this just seems like the type of game the lakers will win.
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  18. 02-05-13 01:18 PM #18
    riskyProps
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    If Metta was in, I would bet a mint on Lakers 1st half. The Lakers had a lot of recent explosive starts. But I'm not sure. Lakers will probably fade in the 2nd half still so that's a good spot to bet the Nets.
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  19. 02-05-13 05:50 PM #19
    jabro21
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    someone alluded to the lakers wanting to get to a respectable record, i think you may have seen both of those games take place already with minnesota and then on sunday at detroit. i think that angle is played even though kobe does do well on east road trips. this is a showdown game, i'll pass.
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  20. 02-05-13 05:53 PM #20
    krk1030
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    Nets should be -8.

    Lakers are crap, have been all year, and tonight have no howard or world peace.

    Lopez johnson and williams should have a field day.
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  21. 02-05-13 06:01 PM #21
    Ron29301
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    Not buying in on these Lakers. They burnt me to many times. Ask PHX?
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  22. 02-05-13 06:04 PM #22
    play4win
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    it's fackin another set up!
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  23. 02-05-13 06:17 PM #23
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by hazeee View Post
    No Dwight no Metta, BROOKLYN
    And Kobe is banged up.
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  24. 02-05-13 06:52 PM #24
    YoungAD7
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    Im on the nets games close so far
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  25. 02-05-13 06:55 PM #25
    krk1030
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    Nash and Blake defending williams and johnson, lol
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  26. 02-05-13 07:09 PM #26
    sjm5122
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    Both these teams suck
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  27. 02-05-13 07:12 PM #27
    YoungAD7
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    Sloppy game lol
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  28. 02-05-13 07:35 PM #28
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by krk1030 View Post
    Nash and Blake defending williams and johnson, lol
    And yet the Lakers lead by 9 at the half.


    lol
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  29. 02-05-13 07:48 PM #29
    Pauulzcappin
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    laker fan & backer tonight but refs are all over our nuts
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  30. 02-05-13 08:34 PM #30
    Mac213
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    Nets are a fraud... Lakers are figuring it out with and without Howard. About time
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  31. 02-05-13 08:41 PM #31
    Pauulzcappin
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    laker fan & backer tonight but refs are all over our nuts
    nevermind, they are making up for it now badly.
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  32. 02-05-13 08:48 PM #32
    Sport_Fish
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    Lakers have def picked up their intensity since the earlier part of the season, but lets face it, they're being gifted some of these games and at this rate make the playoffs no problem.

    I've seen Lakers in their previous couple of wins and they're barely getting by - DET was a prime example. And now Nets throw up a few airballs down the stretch to hand LA another victory.
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  33. 02-05-13 11:04 PM #33
    Frenchy616
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    Well not to be cocky, But I told ya'll so... Felt like a trap game from the start
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  34. 02-05-13 11:15 PM #34
    STAY STRONG
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    lakers are too good
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  35. 02-05-13 11:35 PM #35
    Matt1144
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    Reminiscent of the Wizards-Clippers game last night in a way. Good call
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