1. #1
    bubblebuttluv
    Derek Jeter, the best shortstop ever.
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    7-0 record, write-up for tonight

    Back to capping the NBA. Here is my one pick of the night. As always,

    IMPORTANT: THESE WRITE-UPS DO NOT FACTOR IN ANY ROSTER CHANGES! (This preface will be copy pasted into all my future threads).

    Here are my previous write-ups:

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basketball-betting/2085382-write-ups-early-games-tonight.html

    Write-ups for today's games

    NBL game this morning

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basket...p-tonight.html

    When I crunched the numbers I arrived at Washington -21 tonight, and even though I always trust my numbers, even i think that is a little rich. So for tonight:

    1/1/2013

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    Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets
    Los Angeles Clippers:


    1.) Avg points last 4 games: 110.25
    2.) Avg points last 4 road games: 104.5
    3.) Avg points last 4 home games: 105.5
    4.) Avg points last 2 meetings: only played once this season (112)
    5.) Avg rebounds last 4 games: 41.25
    6.) Avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 11.5
    7.) Avg free throw % last for games: 65.2
    8.) Avg turnovers last 4 games: 12.5
    9.) Avg points allowed last 4 games: 96.75

    Denver Nuggets:

    1.) Avg points last 4 games: 101
    2.) Avg points last 4 road games: 92.75
    3.) Avg points last 4 home games: 111.75
    4.) Avg points last 2 meetings: only one meeting this season (100)
    5.) Avg rebounds last 4 games: 47.75
    6.) Avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 14
    7.) Avg free throw % last for games: 66
    8.) Avg turnovers last 4 games: 15.25
    9.) Avg points allowed last 4 games: 98

    The Clippers win in 5 out of 9 categories so they should win straight up. For the clippers the number is 13.5 (110.25 – 96.75), the nuggets number is 3 (101 – 98). My raw spread has Clippers favored by 10.5. For the pad the Nuggets have more rest and home court so let’s give them two points. My spread has Clippers -8.5 and 5Dimes has it at Nuggets -1. I have rarely seen a b-ball games end with a 1 point difference, but taking Clippers and the points would be the most conservative play. 5Dimes reduced lines has Clippers +1 at -103, and Clippers ML at +102. My “one pick of the day” is Clippers +1, but for me personally I am taking Clippers ML.

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  2. #2
    davopnz
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    this is a trap. 7-1 time son

  3. #3
    bubblebuttluv
    Derek Jeter, the best shortstop ever.
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    We'll see. Gl on whatever bets you have tonight.

  4. #4
    innovation
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    Trap? Please the spread could've been anywhere from Clippers -3 and Denver -3.5. The books nailed this line for everyone to give it there personal opinion. I'm staying away. GL

  5. #5
    johnnymapalo
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    Yes, I was initially thinking Clippers but I figured this was going to be a tight game and I didn't want to be pulling my hair out. Lol. I went with the safe bet at Hawks -2. I just hope the Hawks show up tonite. They're so damn inconsistent. We shall see..

  6. #6
    HardCore
    I Win Some, I Lose Less
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    i hope so johnny cause thats all they really have to Fn do is show up to beat this sorry ass team

  7. #7
    Khiaao
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    tailing

  8. #8
    Yinz Hooligan
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    love the clippers here, should be an awesome game to watch.

    i love that avatar also bubblebuttluv!


  9. #9
    bubblebuttluv
    Derek Jeter, the best shortstop ever.
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    Thanks bruh, I like it too.

  10. #10
    tatddy
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    Hope you're right...

    Jan 01 05:00 PM
    Jan 01 09:00 PM
    Jan 01 03:39 PM CFB
    NBA
    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
    [256] STANFORD -175
    [509] L.A. CLIPPERS +1-110
    1000.00 / 2000.00

  11. #11
    Leo818
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    Tailing, BOL!

  12. #12
    Honda
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    looks like the clippers is done tonight bro

  13. #13
    Honda
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    btw, i like that butt avatar of yours...looks hot

  14. #14
    davopnz
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    Quote Originally Posted by davopnz View Post
    this is a trap. 7-1 time son
    yip

  15. #15
    DOM-Ganador
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    Good run BB, start another tomorrow.

  16. #16
    bubblebuttluv
    Derek Jeter, the best shortstop ever.
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    Ya, the Clippers clearly didn't care tonight. davopnz, pile on your trolling. NBA pisses me off sometimes, the passion isn't always there for some guys. I might lay off nba for a while, idk. I have a few other sports I bet on.

  17. #17
    davopnz
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    how am i trolling? i like your work was just stating its a trap....

  18. #18
    Yinz Hooligan
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    Dude, your still doing great, your not gonna win them all.

  19. #19
    riskyProps
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    Quote Originally Posted by bubblebuttluv View Post
    Ya, the Clippers clearly didn't care tonight. davopnz, pile on your trolling. NBA pisses me off sometimes, the passion isn't always there for some guys. I might lay off nba for a while, idk. I have a few other sports I bet on.
    Too much partying for a lot of athletes new year's eve. A lot of teams didn't show up today in all sports.

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