1. #1
    MrXYZ
    MrXYZ's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-18-11
    Posts: 2,342
    Betpoints: 3627

    Bulls/Grizz total

    Sitting at 179. Thoughts? Lowest total I think we've seen this year.

  2. #2
    PerfectGrape
    PerfectGrape's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-11
    Posts: 6,761
    Betpoints: 1887

    Seems too low, kirk will be back

  3. #3
    easyliving
    easyliving's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-25-12
    Posts: 8,876
    Betpoints: 11

    Pretty sure I've seen a 176. just dont remember who the teams were.

  4. #4
    MrXYZ
    MrXYZ's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-18-11
    Posts: 2,342
    Betpoints: 3627

    Australia's squarest book, TAB, opened it at 180.5.

    I'm expecting it to be close game, wouldn't be surprised with an 88-83 type scoreline. They're evenly matched on defense, but all it takes is a couple of late FTs so it's a tough call either way.

  5. #5
    hawley
    hawley's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-10-10
    Posts: 14,270
    Betpoints: 79

    Lowest total I can think of this season.

    Previous years Boston and Chicago match ups and a few other eastern conference teams have gone that low.

    I would not play the over with any confidence.

  6. #6
    brainfreeze0
    brainfreeze0's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-12
    Posts: 2,146
    Betpoints: 962

    I took the under in this game already. Chicago plays really good D and I've hit almost everyone of their unders I have bet ranging from 180 -189. Memphis plays really good D as well plus on their first game back from the road so looking for some fudged shots.

  7. #7
    mrsolodolo21
    mrsolodolo21's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-05-10
    Posts: 248
    Betpoints: 7319

    Don't take the over simply because of the "sticker shock" of seeing a 170-something on the board.

  8. #8
    aleiverson02
    aleiverson02's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-30-11
    Posts: 304
    Betpoints: 228

    Quote Originally Posted by mrsolodolo21 View Post
    Don't take the over simply because of the "sticker shock" of seeing a 170-something on the board.

    more reason to take over

  9. #9
    Celtics08
    Celtics08's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-04-10
    Posts: 2,397
    Betpoints: 3444

    under 170

  10. #10
    aleiverson02
    aleiverson02's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-30-11
    Posts: 304
    Betpoints: 228

    Quote Originally Posted by aleiverson02 View Post
    more reason to take over
    meant under * more reason to take under* when its very low i generally lean under, when its very high i generally lean over

  11. #11
    BeeRye612
    BeeRye612's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-13-12
    Posts: 6
    Betpoints: 102

    nice

  12. #12
    mrsolodolo21
    mrsolodolo21's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-05-10
    Posts: 248
    Betpoints: 7319

    Quote Originally Posted by aleiverson02 View Post
    meant under * more reason to take under* when its very low i generally lean under, when its very high i generally lean over
    Right. The only reason the books put out 179 instead of 180 is for that "sticker shock" to beg you to take the overs.

  13. #13
    PerfectGrape
    PerfectGrape's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-11
    Posts: 6,761
    Betpoints: 1887

    Not sure how many people are "shocked" by a total in the 170s. Anyone who plays totals should see totals in the 170s all the time.

    edit: but I see what you mean, maybe that put out the 179 to entice over action, but i have no idea what the books are up to

    edit: or maybe the books thought people would instantly jump on the under because of the teams so they set the total too low so people would get a bad line?

  14. #14
    mrsolodolo21
    mrsolodolo21's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-05-10
    Posts: 248
    Betpoints: 7319

    Quote Originally Posted by PerfectGrape View Post
    Not sure how many people are "shocked" by a total in the 170s. Anyone who plays totals should see totals in the 170s all the time.

    edit: but I see what you mean, maybe that put out the 179 to entice over action, but i have no idea what the books are up to
    It's the first time in awhile a total has been in the 170's. To the average guy, this looks really low, especially with two quality teams going against each other.

  15. #15
    brainfreeze0
    brainfreeze0's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-12
    Posts: 2,146
    Betpoints: 962

    Quote Originally Posted by mrsolodolo21 View Post
    It's the first time in awhile a total has been in the 170's. To the average guy, this looks really low, especially with two quality teams going against each other.
    Exactly. Most casual bettors don't keep up with strong D and low scoring in matchups. They just see "oooo its the Bulls and Memphis. They're both good. This ones going over"

  16. #16
    BeeRye612
    BeeRye612's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-13-12
    Posts: 6
    Betpoints: 102

    even better

  17. #17
    MrXYZ
    MrXYZ's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-18-11
    Posts: 2,342
    Betpoints: 3627

    I went with the over - got in at 179.0. Good luck everyone.

  18. #18
    MrXYZ
    MrXYZ's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-18-11
    Posts: 2,342
    Betpoints: 3627

    Thanks for all the comments fellas. I ended up buying out for a grand total profit of $1.20. Had a bad feeling about the over after the total started heading down again before tipoff.

    Bet receipt number: O/1014619/0000219/D


    Selection Selection Details Result
    1 Basketball - US
    NBA Matches Chicago Bulls At Memphis Grizzlies
    18/12/2012 12:10
    Total Points Scored
    Under @ 1.92 (179.5)
    Settled against market handicap

    Stake and Return Details

    Bet Placed on 18/12/2012
    Bet Type Over/Under
    Number of lines 1
    Stake per line $110.00
    Channel SB Internet

    Total stake $110.00
    Free bets redeemed $0.00
    Total amount paid $211.20
    Returns $211.20

    O/1014619/0000218/D 17/12/2012
    17:56
    Chicago Bulls At Memphis Grizzlies – Over/Under(179.0) – $100.00
    Bet receipt number: O/1014619/0000218/D

    Selection Selection Details Result
    1 Basketball - US
    NBA Matches Chicago Bulls At Memphis Grizzlies
    18/12/2012 12:10
    Total Points Scored
    Over @ 1.92 (179.0)
    Settled against market handicap

    Stake and Return Details

    Bet Placed on 17/12/2012
    Bet Type Over/Under
    Number of lines 1
    Stake per line $100.00
    Channel SB Internet

    Total stake $100.00
    Free bets redeemed $0.00
    Total amount paid $0.00
    Returns $0.00


Top