1. 12-15-12 02:02 AM #1
    chinoloco212
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    HUGE PLAY SATURDAY (Memphis at Utah)

    I rarely post here but I wanted to throw some insight and help some of you out. Memphis is reeling losing to Phoenix and then losing to Denver last night in an hard fought game. Memphis had a hot start but I see them coming back to earth now. One final reason is a back to back from Denver to Utah is extremely tough, as those are two of the toughest places to play.


    Utah Jazz -2 (LARGE) BOL
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  2. 12-15-12 10:16 AM #2
    chinoloco212
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    opinions?
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  3. 12-15-12 10:23 AM #3
    hubbard689
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    plus Jazz are 9-1 at home.. Only thing that would scare me is Jazz lost pretty handily to Phoenix last night as well, but probably a good bet
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  4. 12-15-12 10:26 AM #4
    vrksayy
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    JAZZ -2. Lack of oxygen in higher elevations. This is Utah, where the Jazz are king and where the Spurs lost the other night. Jazz have only lost to Clippers at home in a game I watched. Randolph and Gasol only combined for 20 pts and Gay was off point. I'm on Utah, too.
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  5. 12-15-12 12:04 PM #5
    chinoloco212
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    guess noone likes making money here lol
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  6. 12-15-12 02:03 PM #6
    Pete0
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    Absolutely love this play and on it myself.

    GL
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  7. 12-15-12 02:12 PM #7
    celtics3388
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    This is a terrible matchup for the Jazz. They have the worst paint defense in the league against the one team that can exploit that. Everyone knows how good Utah is at home, that advantage is already built into the line. Why isn't Utah -3.5 or at least off the key number of 2? Because they are outmatched.. all they got going is their homecourt advantage.
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  8. 12-15-12 02:27 PM #8
    Goat Milk
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    Memphis is a bad matchup for utah, agreed.
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  9. 12-15-12 03:22 PM #9
    Pete0
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Memphis is a bad matchup for utah, agreed.
    Memphis has not won in Utah in 6 years, they are 0-9 @ Utah.

    Also Memphis has no bench.
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  10. 12-15-12 04:12 PM #10
    lonegambler
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    i think the UNDER is the play on this game...
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  11. 12-15-12 04:15 PM #11
    chinoloco212
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    Quote Originally Posted by celtics3388 View Post
    This is a terrible matchup for the Jazz. They have the worst paint defense in the league against the one team that can exploit that. Everyone knows how good Utah is at home, that advantage is already built into the line. Why isn't Utah -3.5 or at least off the key number of 2? Because they are outmatched.. all they got going is their homecourt advantage.
    Cause of the way Memphis played basketball in the first quarter of the season, betting nba is about picking spots and this spot is GREAT for the Jazz
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  12. 12-15-12 04:20 PM #12
    El Sol
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinoloco212 View Post
    Cause of the way Memphis played basketball in the first quarter of the season, betting nba is about picking spots and this spot is GREAT for the Jazz
    Betting is about finding value in a line...Sports fans often forget that
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  13. 12-15-12 05:12 PM #13
    chinoloco212
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    Quote Originally Posted by El Sol View Post
    Betting is about finding value in a line...Sports fans often forget that
    There is value for sure here in this spot
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  14. 12-15-12 05:15 PM #14
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pete0 View Post
    Memphis has not won in Utah in 6 years, they are 0-9 @ Utah.
    That doesn't mean anything. Your right Memphis has no bench but the starting 5 is just a bad matchup for Utah. Utah bench will have to play well to win this game.
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  15. 12-15-12 05:35 PM #15
    JM92
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    Match-up is bad? wrong. These are two similar teams. Much of the points the Jazz suffer in the paint are because they aint able to stop penetration... Foye and Williams are their starting backcourt, lets not forget. Marvin Williams should cause trouble to Rudy just has he did in the first game where gay went 3-17. The jazz bench is much better and without Arthur, we might have Haddadi against Kanter and Speights against Favors... good luck there Memphis. Wellington and Pondexter? please. Only Bayless a way better pg than Watson. Plus, Jazz at home love to run and scorre lots of fast break points. What's the worst part of memphis defense, if not the only bad part? transition. There's your "tough matchup" right there, in my eyes.

    Playing the Jazz as well, of course.
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  16. 12-15-12 05:39 PM #16
    JM92
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    Quote Originally Posted by celtics3388 View Post
    This is a terrible matchup for the Jazz. They have the worst paint defense in the league against the one team that can exploit that. Everyone knows how good Utah is at home, that advantage is already built into the line. Why isn't Utah -3.5 or at least off the key number of 2? Because they are outmatched.. all they got going is their homecourt advantage.
    If you want to talk like this, these line means the Grizz are 1 point, 1.5 half better at max then the Jazz in neutral court. Yet they have had a stronger schedule and their margin of victory is still 4 points better than the Jazz and they are 3 games ahead in the stadings even after 3 straight losses. So they should be more then 1 point better, now? Or are the bookies actually saying the Jazz are better than the Nuggets? no way.

    Sorry for double posting.
    Last edited by JM92; 12-15-12 at 05:59 PM. Reason: switched the name of the teams.
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  17. 12-15-12 05:44 PM #17
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by JM92 View Post
    If you want to talk like this, these line means the Grizz are 1 point, 1.5 half better at max then the Jazz in neutral court. Yet they have had a stronger schedule and their margin of victory is still 4 points better than the Jazz and they are 3 games ahead in the stadings even after 3 straight losses. So they should be more then 1 point better, now? Or are the bookies actually saying the Nuggets are better than the Jazz? no way.

    Sorry for double posting.
    The Nuggets are better than the Jazz. In a 7 game series, Utah wouldn't win more than 2 games against Denver.
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  18. 12-15-12 05:58 PM #18
    JM92
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    I agree with you, henceforth my point being that the line was hardly saying that the Grizz is the play.

    edit: yeah I spelled that the wrong way. Im going to edit. obviously switched the teams names.
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  19. 12-15-12 06:03 PM #19
    lewsparks77
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    I live in Utah and have followed them for 25 yrs. you are right, home court is all they have. Memphis wins big tonight.
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  20. 12-15-12 06:06 PM #20
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by JM92 View Post
    I agree with you, henceforth my point being that the line was hardly saying that the Grizz is the play.

    edit: yeah I spelled that the wrong way. Im going to edit. obviously switched the teams names.
    Sure you can always look at the line and take something out of the way it's set but obviously books are not always right. I might take the grizzlies tonight but we'll see. I'm definitely not taking utah.
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  21. 12-15-12 06:33 PM #21
    JM92
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    I dont care for the line though. My reasoning for taking utah was on the previous post.
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  22. 12-15-12 07:19 PM #22
    Ambition
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    Over
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  23. 12-15-12 07:39 PM #23
    fastball00
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    The Nuggets are better than the Jazz. In a 7 game series, Utah wouldn't win more than 2 games against Denver.

    After viewing his previous post this guy "goat milk" must be the worst capper I have encountered. Do you actually wage real funds? Even with the salary I make I could not imagine losing in the manner you do. wow!
    Last edited by fastball00; 12-15-12 at 07:43 PM. Reason: EDIT: oh ok I get you wager $2 games
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  24. 12-15-12 07:56 PM #24
    MrTwiz
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    Isnt goatmilk leading one of the sbr basketball pickems?
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  25. 12-15-12 08:06 PM #25
    fastball00
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    Quote Originally Posted by MrTwiz View Post
    Isnt goatmilk leading one of the sbr basketball pickems?

    Have no idea bud.. I do not even know what that is..I would never get that involved to understand what that maybe..I assume a contest of sorts? I just looked through the previous post.

    Good look my friend and save your money for your family and enjoy life!
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  26. 12-15-12 08:27 PM #26
    chinoloco212
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    you know memphis is tired when haddadi is playing LOL, pound 2half if it is close
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  27. 12-15-12 08:49 PM #27
    JM92
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    arthur isn't playing. i said it here...
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  28. 12-15-12 10:18 PM #28
    Goat Milk
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    Dear Fastball,

    Thanks.

    Your friend,

    Goat MIlk
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  29. 12-15-12 10:20 PM #29
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Dear Fastball,

    Thanks.

    Your friend,

    Goat MIlk
    Can't believe how cocky you're getting, given your track record on this site.
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  30. 12-15-12 10:21 PM #30
    JM92
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    the jazz will be in trouble. 4 road games next. just no energy tonite. corbin asleep through the whole 3rd quarter. I will be looking to bet against them on the road now.
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  31. 12-15-12 10:21 PM #31
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Can't believe how cocky you're getting, given your track record on this site.
    Go place a $17 bet then start 3 threads about it after it loses.
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  32. 12-15-12 10:41 PM #32
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Go place a $17 bet then start 3 threads about it after it loses.
    You are the most insecure poster at SBR, which is saying a lot.

    Had that rib removal surgery yet?
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  33. 12-15-12 10:42 PM #33
    Riceboi
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    grizz
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  34. 12-16-12 12:05 AM #34
    shimeon40
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    Chin...stick to colledge hoops....
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