[dioforce]

NBA Saturday NBA Total's LA Clippers @ Milwaukee Under 197 (-110 Pinnacle) 1x Memphis @ Utah Over 192 (-105 Pinnacle) 1x

bump

[dioforce]

MMA UFC TUF Finale Melvin Guillard v Jamie Varner Guillard (-120, $1.83, Sportingbet) 2x (-130, $1.77 IAS, Sportsbet) Parlay D Poirier v J Brookins Poirier R Nelson v M Mitrione Nelson (+103, $2.03 5 Dimes) 1x

and bumped

[Yinz Hooligan]

Sando,

Do you have any read on why that jazz total is going the opposite direction?


Seems solid over with jazz playing a solid over pace and mem having to keep up with jazz also I feel both teams probably won't be motivated to play a lot of defense from fatigue due to b2b....

[tblues2005]

I will be back on later to check if Sando has any sides on the NBA.

[Byrone09]

Grizzlies/Jazz is now 189

[Catchn_Picks]

Thanks sando..gl all big night

[MTM]

Sorry double post accidentally

[MTM]

Im with you for the ATS picks, let's get it!

[sando]

NBA Saturday

Brooklyn @ Chicago
Nets +5.5 (-110 Pinnacle) 2x
(+5 is ok if that's all you can get).

Yes the Nets are coming off double OT game and playing back to back, however regardless the Bulls are very poor ATS (8-13) and other than one blow out win against Dallas, they tend to play a lot of tight games that are decided in the final minutes. JJ and D-will to dominate a severely depleted Bulls back court.

Indiana @ Detroit
Pacers -2.5 (-102 Pinnacle) 1.5x
*Pacers are rolling at the moment and Detroit probably not in a good spot mentally, playing back to back tonight after the heartbreak of JJ's dagger at the buzzer in double OT last night. Would not be surprised if they are flat, especially early on and Pacers are a dangerous front running team.


Orlando @ Charlotte
Bobcats m/l (-107 Pinnacle) 1.5x
*Great spot for the Bobcats to end their losing streak tonight and they will know it. Expect them to be full of intensity and hustle.

LA Clippers @ Milwaukee
Bucks +5 (-103 Pinnacle) 1x
*Clippers might have won 8 games in a row, but their 3 away wins within this streak have been by an average of 4 points per game and in the meantime Milwaukee has quiety gone about it's own 4 game winning streak. Unlikely anyone on the Clippers list who can trouble Ellis who has started to heat up lately.


NBA Total's

Cleveland @ NY
Over 194 (-105 Pinnacle) 1.5x

LA Clippers @ Milwaukee
Under 197 (-110 Pinnacle) 1x

Memphis @ Utah
Over 192 (-105 Pinnacle) 1x
*Looks like I jumped the gun on this one. Lot's of late money for the under so those that do wish to play the over can now get 190.

Big card but I am quietly confident in these picks. I have been doing some analysis of my plays lately and there have been quite a few that do not seem like strong plays under review. I think I have been guilty of forcing some plays, a cardinal sin in handicapping but very important that I have been able to recognize this. So anyway it just so happens that I decided to severely tighten the criteria for putting out plays and was predicting there would be no more than 2-3 ATS picks max on most days from here on in. It just so happens that today's card is one of those rare one's where there are a lot of great match-ups and/or angles from a betting point of view. I also really liked Minnesota but could not pull the trigger due to Kevin Love's unknown status and the whole "fade the team with the returning star" angle (Rubio is back today).


No more plays today.

[freshguy222]

didnt you want to stay away from the totals sando?

[MrXYZ]

Grizzlies/Jazz is now 189

Im fukkd, got it at 192 & no hope of buying out now. Chalking this one up as a loser & moving on.

[MTM]

Im fukkd, got it at 192 & no hope of buying out now. Chalking this one up as a loser & moving on.

??? Wait til the march starts ???

[Yinz Hooligan]

Im fukkd, got it at 192 & no hope of buying out now. Chalking this one up as a loser & moving on.

pretty sure this isnt the books adjusting to something..majority just likes the under alot for some reason..probably because of the way jazz played last night..they will score points at home!

give it a chance man! i still like this game ending in the 194-196.

[JustMike]

i really like the nets +5.5.. gl really hoping you have a good night.

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Im fukkd, got it at 192 & no hope of buying out now. Chalking this one up as a loser & moving on.

Have faith man.

NBA - where amazing happens everyday!

I had the under 180.5 in the philly/pacers game yesterday and thought I was dead with the foul on Sam Young - but he missed the first one and it hit - JUST!

[MrXYZ]

pretty sure this isnt the books adjusting to something..majority just likes the under alot for some reason..probably because of the way jazz played last night..they will score points at home!

give it a chance man! i still like this game ending in the 194-196.

Have faith man.

NBA - where amazing happens everyday!

I had the under 180.5 in the philly/pacers game yesterday and thought I was dead with the foul on Sam Young - but he missed the first one and it hit - JUST!

Yeah it's still alive, we can still cash this one if Gasol/Randolph turn up to play & the Jazz rebound from yesterday's poor shooting. Just a pain when the line moves 3 points in the opposite direction.

Nice hit on the Philly under TGM - that's as close as it gets!

[aussieH]

NBA Saturday

Brooklyn @ Chicago
Nets +5.5 (-110 Pinnacle) 2x
(+5 is ok if that's all you can get).

Yes the Nets are coming off double OT game and playing back to back, however regardless the Bulls are very poor ATS (8-13) and other than one blow out win against Dallas, they tend to play a lot of tight games that are decided in the final minutes. JJ and D-will to dominate a severely depleted Bulls back court.

Indiana @ Detroit
Pacers -2.5 (-102 Pinnacle) 1.5x
*Pacers are rolling at the moment and Detroit probably not in a good spot mentally, playing back to back tonight after the heartbreak of JJ's dagger at the buzzer in double OT last night. Would not be surprised if they are flat, especially early on and Pacers are a dangerous front running team.


Orlando @ Charlotte
Bobcats m/l (-107 Pinnacle) 1.5x
*Great spot for the Bobcats to end their losing streak tonight and they will know it. Expect them to be full of intensity and hustle.

LA Clippers @ Milwaukee
Bucks +5 (-103 Pinnacle) 1x
*Clippers might have won 8 games in a row, but their 3 away wins within this streak have been by an average of 4 points per game and in the meantime Milwaukee has quiety gone about it's own 4 game winning streak. Unlikely anyone on the Clippers list who can trouble Ellis who has started to heat up lately.


NBA Total's

Cleveland @ NY
Over 194 (-105 Pinnacle) 1.5x

LA Clippers @ Milwaukee
Under 197 (-110 Pinnacle) 1x

Memphis @ Utah
Over 192 (-105 Pinnacle) 1x
*Looks like I jumped the gun on this one. Lot's of late money for the under so those that do wish to play the over can now get 190.

Bump

[Bbr]

Gl sando. Just one play for me so far. Magic/bobcats under. Thinking griz but I'll decide later

[Catchn_Picks]

gl everybody...let's get em

[Bill_Hicks]

MMA

UFC TUF Finale

Melvin Guillard v Jamie Varner
Guillard (-120, $1.83, Sportingbet) 2x
(-130, $1.77 IAS, Sportsbet)


Parlay

D Poirier v J Brookins
Poirier
R Nelson v M Mitrione
Nelson
(+103, $2.03 5 Dimes) 1x

(NSAC Executive Director Keith Kizer informed MMAjunkie.com at 7:45 p.m. ET that Varner was vomiting in his dressing room and that this fight has been scratched from tonight's card.)

[mvanja]

Sando waiting for Nelson to cash on ur parlay, cashed already on Indiana. Thx, Waiting also for the Brooklyn, bought them to +8, so hopefully will cash some

[Romerowned]

lol @ at that over/under.

[Tim Gerry Mander]

WOW - calling a foul with 0.7 seconds to go - thought our under was dead

[hawley]

That parlay was too easy

[sando]

MMA

UFC TUF Finale

Melvin Guillard v Jamie Varner
Guillard (-120, $1.83, Sportingbet) 2x
(-130, $1.77 IAS, Sportsbet)

Fight Cancelled (due to Varner being ill)

Parlay

D Poirier v J Brookins
Poirier
R Nelson v M Mitrione
Nelson
(+103, $2.03 5 Dimes) 1x

Cash it.

MMA YTD 5-0

[MTM]

Mixed results but you landed the bigger unit bets. It's a pleasure tailing! Keep up the good capping

[aussieH]

Awesome work Sando. Pity your main bout was cancelled. Nba was a good day as well

[sando]

4-3 Today in the NBA +2.1 Units
2-2 ATS
2-1 Totals

NBA YTD 113-83-8 (+38.33 Units) 57.7%

(NBA ATS/ML 84-59-5 YTD) 58.7%

(NBA totals 29-24-3 YTD) 54.7%

Unofficial NBA prop bets YTD 2-2


________________________________________ _________________________

1-0 MMA Today +1.03 Units
(Poirier/Nelson Parlay)

MMA YTD - 5-0

All time SBR Picks

Tennis 31-25-4 (+17.16 Units)
Rugby Union 7-7 (+2.97 Units)
Rugby Sevens 28-24-1 (+2.27 Units)
MMA 5-0 (+22.21 Units)
MLB 4-1 (+9.49 Units) *See spreadsheet

**Above record based on picks posted at SBR forum.

[Goat Milk]

great pick on brooklyn you assessed that game perfectly with the backcourt mismatch. if brooklyn hadn't played 2 ots last night they would have won straight up most likely

[sando]

NBA Sunday

Houston @ Toronto
Rockets -3.5 (-110 Bet 365) 1x
*For those that can only get -4, just take it, I wouldn't bother with the hook, I would have been happy with -4 but obviously will take the best line I can get at my books.

The heavily criticised Raptors are a wounded beast at the moment. They have been (supposedly) called the worst team in the League by their own star player and they are also under fire in the media for their own lack of effort, energy and general cohesion. They are missing two of their best three players in Bargnani and Lowry and hence Houston will have a vastly superior line-up on the floor, but there are too many possible factors that can affect this game to be overly confident on it, so lets stick to the 1 unit on this one boys.


NBA Total of the Day

LA Lakers @ Philly
Under 196.5 (-109 Pinnacle) 1.5x
*Unfortunately this under has been getting pounded since the line was released about an hour ago (Opened 198) and we have lost a point and a half already, but regardless still looks nice at 196.5 (I have total at 191-192) so if you like it then get in quick.

[Bbr]

rockets line does seem a bit low.

Maybe because of the rockets poor record at the ACC but, the rockets are a whole different team this year. Calderon will play Lin hard. Last time Lin hit that massive game winner from beyond the arc, right in his face. Both played well last time but I would give props to Lin over cald for hitting the game winner- Cant split them otherwise. However, the knicks didint have someone like harden...so the raptors need to not only check lin but to also check harden.

Rockets comfortable imo. Worthy of a bill or two.

[Bbr]

Harden has put up 20 + pts the last three times against the raptors coming off the bench for okc.

[MTM]

the rockets line is low because of their poor road record

Some Angles.
Bargnani's teammates maintain the intensity after he effectively labels them the worst team in the league
They carry on the confidence from a big and unexpected home win against the mavs

Lin will have his fair share of supporters in toronto (more NBA Asian fans there)
Houston have their preferred lineup and two stars missing from Toronto. Will Kleiza drop another 5 3's.

Personally I think rockets should win and cover the spread. they have a bad road record but of the road trips you'd tip them to win... The "worst team" is one especially missing a couple stars.

I'd be interested in goat milks matchup analysis.

[MrXYZ]

---

Selection	Selection Details	Result
1	Basketball - US NBA Matches Indiana Pacers At Detroit Pistons 16/12/2012 11:40 Handicap Betting Indiana Pacers @ 1.92 (-2.0)	Settled against market handicap

---

Stake and Return Details

Bet Placed on 16/12/2012
Bet Type Handicap
Number of lines 1
Stake per line $700.00
Channel SB Internet

Total stake $700.00
Free bets redeemed $0.00
Total amount paid $1344.00
Returns $1344.0


Thanks for the easy winner Sando!

[JM92]

I actually hate to now that Calderon is going to play 30 plus minutes without Lowry. Might even get to 40. Calderon does a terrific job of not making mistakes and controlling the pace of the game. The Rockets won't be allowed to run wild tonight unless they do it off missed shots, don't expect the Raptors and Calderon to let them do it otherwise or to even enter in their game... unless, of course, they get completely destroyed in the half-court which is a possibility with Harden against Derozan. I like it and I want to take the Rockets but I would actually prefer it if Lowry was starting.