Take the Miami Heat + the points over the Okla City Thunder. Dating back to last year's Playoffs, Miami's now lost four NBA Finals games in a row, but that streak should come to an end here in Game 2. What we want to do is play on any .667 (or better) team if it's off a SU/ATS loss in Game 1 or Game 2 of a series, in which it scored more than 90 points, and is not favored in the current game. With Miami off a 105-94 loss in the series opener, it falls squarely within our 22-0 ATS System. There's no doubt that the Thunder are playing superbly right now, with five straight wins and covers against the league's best competition. But teams off five or more ATS wins have burned money in the Playoffs, including an awful 25% (3-9 ATS) in the NBA Finals.
I am tossing 15% of my bankroll at the spread, and 4 units at the ML. For some perspective, the largest I have gone all NBA season is 6% of my roll.
Good luck, gents.
Let's cash this.