[stevek173]

for those of you who do "all in" plays; I don't but this will be as high as I go and the chalk I will eat will be disgusting too (-167 5dimes, I am not waiting for it to get worse because people will be POUNDING NYR). For those of you who know anything about my my betting I am a spot bettor and you had better believe this is a big spot.

This is a team that completely outclasses their opponent, and that found some of their rhythm on the road last game. Even though Boston is the reigning champ I cannot believe they are bigger favorites than NYR tonight.

For those of you on the NYR puck line I do think it is a sexy value but I'm not touching that.

Enjoy the games tonight all and BOL.

[allabout the $$$]

game is tomm night

[stevek173]

Hah yeah it is thanks bud, been working a ton. Not touching Boston tonight, hitting NYR now. I wouldn't be surprised if they are over -200 by game time.

[dzzznutz]

sharp

[dzzznutz]

like the rangers, goal line and the under 1000 3 teamer

[JJJ]

[remeedella]

like the rangers, goal line and the under 1000 3 teamer

what?

[dzzznutz]

rangers -1.5 +190, under 5 goal line, and under in washington boston, 3 teamer 1000

[stevek173]

Wow that is a smooth play man.

GL GL.

[jjgold]

No thanks

Ottawa fukkin dangerous

[Harry N. Lloyd]

rangers -1.5 +190, under 5 goal line, and under in washington boston, 3 teamer 1000

Contact me and I will gladly accept your wager.

[lakerboy]

Stevey no. One of the 2 dogs win game 7 on the road. Taking both ott and was is better option. Line has gone down as well. Value only with dogs in nhl playoffs round 1.

[stevek173]

Stevey no. One of the 2 dogs win game 7 on the road. Taking both ott and was is better option. Line has gone down as well. Value only with dogs in nhl playoffs round 1.

I know one has a good chance at winning.

It's one of the most talented teams in the league, the Washington Capitals.

BOL tonight man

Nothing compares to the fact that we are awaiting the winner of Fla/NJ

[mynameismud]

lundqvist stands on his head tomorrow night. ottawas' hitting the golf course.

[cecil127]

lundqvist stands on his head tomorrow night. ottawas' hitting the golf course.

'fraid so my friend.....90 sum betpoints on the rags it is.

[PhillyFlyers]

Ottawa wins.

[cecil127]

Ottawa wins.

but...but then you cant tell canada they suck and the whole (well thought out BTW!) post about their pride will have been in vain.
such the whirling dervish you've come to be young man

[PhillyFlyers]

but...but then you cant tell canada they suck and the whole (well thought out BTW!) post about their pride will have been in vain.
such the whirling dervish you've come to be young man

wtf are you reading?

I never told Canada they sucked.

[lunchbawks]

all in and he thinks the game is tonight.. SBR at it's finest

[hockey216]

i hope the rangers choke

[High3rEl3m3nt]

I would hate to have to sit on this play for another day...thinking about the possibility of it missing...However, sleeping on it could lead to you reloading and taking some the other way. Scary.

[Inkwell77]

Following here if the Caps win tonight.

[hockey216]

Following here if the Caps win tonight.

think your logic is based on "both top seeds probably wont lose."

Be careful because these are whats known in the probability world as independent events. whether Boston wins doesn't influence whether rangers will win, so conditional probability does not apply.

Not saying rangers are going to lose. Just saying make your bet on rangers independent of whatever happens in boston game.

[Inkwell77]

think your logic is based on "both top seeds probably wont lose."

Be careful because these are whats known in the probability world as independent events. whether Boston wins doesn't influence whether rangers will win, so conditional probability does not apply.

Not saying rangers are going to lose. Just saying make your bet on rangers independent of whatever happens in boston game.

I do not disagree with what you are saying, and obviously the events are independent, but when handicapping I like to take into account certain situations and hopefully develop little edges.
I looked back to 1994 and not once have both 1 seeds lost in the first round. There have been plenty of 1 seeds who have been upset in the first round, 8 1-seeds have lost in the first round since 1994.

Since 2000 (not including 2005 because of the lockout) if you take the seed of all 8 teams who have advanced to the second round and average their seed number the average seed is 3.75. The lowest average was last year (2011) with an average second round seed of 2.75, and the highest average seed number has been 4.5 which happened in 2006 and 2010. The average seed over the course of 11 seasons is 3.75.

This year there are 4 possible outcomes left with Washington winning tonight.

NY & Florida - average seed - 4.125
NY & NJ - average seed - 4.5
Ottawa & Florida - average seed - 5
Ottawa & NJ - average seed - 5.375

Now Ottawa can definitely win, and I would never go all in on anything unless the game was fixed, but I think NY is in a good spot here. One of the reasons the line is so high.

[spippen]

all in and he thinks the game is tonight.. SBR at it's finest

Yes, I found that to be quite silly. A "All in Play" and did mot even know when the "All in Play" is being played!
However, I'm with him on this one-Rangers win tonight.

[jjgold]

Way more pressure on Rangers tonight so take that into consideration

I am laying off..Florida a much better bet

[LT Profits]

Rangers +100 Regulation (5 Dimes)

[Sam Odom]

good luck everyone & LT

LT , still have the Bird ?

[LT Profits]

good luck everyone & LT

LT , still have the Bird ?

Yes have two of them, a parrot and a cockatiel.

[ChalkyDog]

Stevey no. One of the 2 dogs win game 7 on the road. Taking both ott and was is better option. Line has gone down as well. Value only with dogs in nhl playoffs round 1.

Agree with the general concept. That is why I was slight on the Ovechkins last night. However, all of the value on the underdogs is done for rd. 1.

I make a killing every year on betting series and straight on dogs in the first rd. PHX paid me, as did Nashville. I was a bit late on the kings, but still was able to cash a bit.

The play tonight is screaming the Rangers. It's the only side play in that game that makes sense, unless you are adamant about not laying juice because you're a broke dikk fukk.

[stevek173]

Rangers +100 Regulation (5 Dimes)

Wow that is sexy.

BOL everyone.

Ok to clear the air what I said was I DON'T MAKE ALL IN PLAYS BUT IF YOU DO THIS ONE MIGHT BE A SPOT FOR YOU.

A little ridiculous that I had the day wrong? Yeah, I admit it some weak sauce there. Workaholic here and as a result sometimes I'll miss some stuff others will find entertaining.

At the same time BOL everyone, and congratulations to all Caps backers

Loving how my Flyers are most likely playing a very beat up Fla or NJ team next round, just hope they don't come out of the gate slow. As good as the Pens might be at scoring I'm starting to think their D was by far the worst in the playoffs.

[k13]

(-167 5dimes, I am not waiting for it to get worse because people will be POUNDING NYR)

Hah yeah it is thanks bud, been working a ton. Not touching Boston tonight, hitting NYR now. I wouldn't be surprised if they are over -200 by game time.

-150 now

Let us know when it hits over -200

Just another coin flip in hockey.

[No coincidences]

-150 now

Let us know when it hits over -200

Just another coin flip in hockey.

Like Washington last night, I can't believe the lines these books are giving out for Game 7's. Unreal value in the dog. I don't know shit about hockey, but it's obvious home ice makes very little difference so far. In these low-scoring, goalie-dominated matchups, how you can lay anything over like -120 in a toss-up game is beyond me.

I blindly took the Caps last night and cashed.

[ChalkyDog]

Rangers +100 Regulation (5 Dimes)

The way the playoffs have gone so far, a regulation play is pretty risky. But if you are willing to lay -160 or more on the Rangers, you probably should feel confident they're going to pull it off in regulation.

Nice, no juice line. I was smashing those 3 way lines earlier in the season. Got burned a few times mid-season and abandoned that, and went to my old "system".

Good luck, Ranger backers!

[opie1988]

Anyone who knows 175 is well aware of his deep seated love of vodka. No surprise here Stevie didn't know when this game was being played.

We're lucky Stevie even knew who the teams were!!

This being said....Stevie is a hockey sharp. Good luck, Stevie.