1. 06-09-08 02:44 PM #1
    SBR Lou
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    How would one fair blindly betting MLB dogs of +200..

    throughout a season?
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  2. 06-09-08 04:17 PM #2
    RickySteve
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    This question never gets old.
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  3. 06-09-08 04:45 PM #3
    Wheell
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    If you were to line shop and have some basic market timing skills (ie, wait a bit), you would historically make a tiny profit.
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  4. 06-09-08 04:55 PM #4
    SBR Lou
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    Quote Originally Posted by RickySteve View Post
    This question never gets old.
    Just interested to hear what others think, I really am disgusted most of the time at the thought of laying -220 or so in an MLB game.

    Now I don't personally blindly bet dogs in this situation, but I'm curious to hear if others might.
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  5. 06-09-08 04:59 PM #5
    Wheell
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    I one saw a -400 in baseball. I would say that general handicapping matters more than market bias.
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  6. 06-09-08 10:45 PM #6
    sickler
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    Baseball is way too unpredictable to be laying that much chalk.

    People who are consistently successful with sides in bases rarely lay more than -130
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  7. 06-09-08 11:01 PM #7
    Wheell
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    Sickler: That doesn't happen to be true, but I understand the sentiment. EV is EV though and sometimes a team that should be -180 is only -155.
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  8. 06-09-08 11:46 PM #8
    sickler
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    Wheell, that might be one of the rare instances of laying more than -130, but playing big faves in bases on a regular basis is a good way to end up in the poorhouse.
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  9. 06-09-08 11:57 PM #9
    SlickFazzer
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    -130 to +150 is where its at. Betting heavy chalk will get you no where, high priced dogs, while often appealing, are often priced at that number for a reason.

    Baseball is a grind, grind out the small dogs and favorites for a full season, and then collect your $$...
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