Hi guys thanks for the advice. I've got your book Justin and have read it over a couple of times. It's a great read. I'm not trying to model NFL though, it's actually quite a niche area: second-tier Australian Rules football. I think Australian
sportsbooks are plump, lazy and not as receptive to market dynamics as compared to their offshore counterparts. I don't think it would take much to beat the line here in my nominated area.
There's this one particular second-tier league that I've managed to get 5 years worth of data for. However, only nine teams play a total of 92 games in the regular season. By round 5, only 16 games have been played in the first 4 rounds. Will this satisfy Justin's/your contention that four weeks is enough to start forward testing?