1. #1
    gojetsgomoxies
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    how many points to beat -110?

    can someone tell me how points you need to beat a -110 vig?

    say a game is nfl and proper spread is pick-em (i.e. zero)...... how many points better than that spread do i need to have a break-even ROI vs. -110?+2? +1.5? and of course, i mean EV so long-term.

    cliff-notes: what's the value of a point in the NFL in a close game?

  2. #2
    Gaze73
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    I don't know but I do know that NFL is one of the toughest markets to beat so I wouldn't waste my time there.

  3. #3
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by gojetsgomoxies View Post
    can someone tell me how points you need to beat a -110 vig?

    say a game is nfl and proper spread is pick-em (i.e. zero)...... how many points better than that spread do i need to have a break-even ROI vs. -110?+2? +1.5? and of course, i mean EV so long-term.

    cliff-notes: what's the value of a point in the NFL in a close game?
    The SBR half point calculator will probably interest you

    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...nt-calculator/

    click the fold outs underneath for instructions

  4. #4
    turbobets
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    On or off 3, 7 and 10 a half point is worth more than 10 cents for full game. Other spreads a half point is worth 6 cents on average according to my numbers.

  5. #5
    gojetsgomoxies
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    thx very much for the responses, especially turbobets

    not sure why i can't figure this out easily myself as i'm mathematically inclined. have to give it more thought. i don't think it's the same as convert from point spread to moneyline. i think it has more to do with distribution of results.

  6. #6
    BrickJames
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    A half point usually costs 10 cents unless it's on or off the key numbers in football.

  7. #7
    gojetsgomoxies
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    BrickJames, thx

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