1. #1
    aljack
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    International Basketball - Rule Of 7.

    Has anyone ever heard of this ?? I tailed a guy from twitter who claimed that this was a fool proof way to hit 60% and make easy money betting on International Basketball.

    Rules:

    - Has to be International Basketball
    - Has to be 10min Qs
    - Only Bet Totals based on Qs.
    - Do not bet if Q has already started - unless you know for sure what the line started at for that Q.
    - Never bet an over on an even number.
    - Only bet odds @ -125 or better.

    Theory:

    Basically the theory goes like this.

    Take the starting total of any Q in an international basketball game - minus that number by 7. Once the total reaches the reduced by 7 number. Take the over.

    Example:

    Gravelines / Bilbao - Euro League.

    1Q - Total = 55.5

    55.5 - 7 = 48.5

    48.5 is an even number. So in this scenario the rule of 7 becomes the rule of 8.

    55.5 - 8 = 47.5

    Wait until the line gets down to 47.5 - once it does - pull the trigger and make the bet
    (as long as it's -125 odds or better)

    If the line doesn't get down to 47.5 - wait until the next Q starts and do the same thing.

    If you can't get a Q total line - wait until the start of the 2nd Q and bet the 1st half total.

    If you can't get a Q total line - wait until the start of the 4th Q and bet the full game total.

    -

    Apparently this system hits at about 61% rate. You have to stick to the rules for it be a solid system though.

    -

    If your book doesn't allow you to bet Q totals - the best thing to do is to wait until the start of the 2Q or 4Q and make a 1H total bet or full game total bet - however, you must know the EXACT number that the total started at for the start of that Q.

    IE:
    If the total is 156.5 at the start of the 4th Q. You are going to wait until it reaches 149.5

    DO NOT SET YOUR RULE OF 7 LINE IN THE MIDDLE OF A QTR - YOU NEED TO KNOW THE NUMBER AT THE BREAK OF THE Q BECAUSE THIS SYSTEM IS BASED ON THE ALGORITHM THE LIVE SPORTS BOOK IS USING.

    -

    I would recommend coming into this system very modestly wager wise because there is streaks of losses that are documented. However, in the long run - I have seen ample evidence that this system pays off between a 55 - 61% success rate.

    Food for thought.

  2. #2
    Bsims
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    Also, if you also make these wagers with your left hand only, it increases your return by 3%.

  3. #3
    domi
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    Do you ever add 7 for the under bet if the points go up?

  4. #4
    bozeman
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    coin toss

  5. #5
    PolishSensation
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    Quote Originally Posted by domi View Post
    Do you ever add 7 for the under bet if the points go up?
    Correct.

    I.E. 37.5 line is set for Q2. You would bet the under at 44.5. If it was 38.5, you would go 8 points to 46.5, since you only bet unders on even numbers. I think the idea was due to lack of 3's scored in these leagues.

    Been playing around with it at micro stakes. About even so far, but do not have near enough samples yet.
    Last edited by PolishSensation; 02-24-19 at 12:52 PM.

  6. #6
    TenPointMatt
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    Its safe to smash greek leagues under for infinite in the 4q any time the total is below 157, and there are > 120 points scored in first 3q. Same with Italy, ABA, and to a lesser degree Spain. The psychology for these leagues is just totally different than the others. Coaches and players are penetrating morons. Of course, youll probably only get like 2 bets down before you're booted, so there's that.

    Edit: Any time a German game is a blowout (> 16 points) at the start of the 4q, you can also bet under for infinity. Their etiquette in a blowout is completely different from, say, Finnish/Danish/Turks.

    Also, never bet UK games.
    Last edited by TenPointMatt; 02-26-19 at 12:03 PM.

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