Originally Posted by
cyp213
I use advanced model where I can calculate my own probabilities to find value % edge and I'm testing out on the market early numbers and somehow that's the numbers I have where I beat the closing line because I track all my bet numbers and compare with closing line value. I see that this numbers is going up gradually which is kinda interesting to me, I read about that Pinnacle article where they show that you need to beat the closing line 75% or more to profit, but beating the line 75% of the time is not an absolute. Let's say I can beat that much time but only winning like 1-2 cents per play while others could make 5-6-7 cents per play. How much cents on average per play do you think is necessary to show gradual profit. I'm profiting from this method but somehow this is very hard working process for small profit so far.