Originally Posted by
kiknit
Hey Jake - Ive been traking the Sagarin numbers/system every week of this season just for historical purposes. Im assuming youre going to apply the standard filters: Fade teams ATS whose Strength of Schedule is less than 60 unless that team is playing a team who has a lower Strength of Schedule - assuming at least one of the two teams are in the top 60? Basically take every team who has a Strength of Schedule better than 60 and who is playing against a team who has a Strength of Scheudle less than 60?
55) BYU 72.15 (52) vs. 112) UTEP 60.55 (127)
30) West Virginia 79.10 (74) vs. 29) NC State (45)
40) Maryland 75.80 (60) vs. 77) East Carolina 67.71 (62) - right on the bubble
37) Kansas State 76.40 (44) vs. 70) Syracuse 70.03 (85)
46) Clemson 75.06 (37) vs. 65) South Florida 70.66 (78)
36) Georgia 77.18 (35) vs. 49) UCF 74.47 (107)
39) Texas Tech 75.81 (27) vs. 72) Northwestern 69.25 (73)
5) Alabama 90.51 (17) vs. 20) Michigan State 82.42 (65)
6) Oklahoma 90.36 (8) vs. 54) UConn 72.45 (79)
3) Stanford 94.21 (10) vs. 16) Virginia Tech 85.58 (59) - right on the bubble
11) Ohio State 87.91 (68) vs. 7) Arkansas 89.74 (19)
41) Pittsburgh 75.73 (48) vs. 67) Kentucky 70.46 (61)
18) Nevada 83.98 (86) vs. 57) Boston College 72.03 (55)
I havent had a chance to run the rest of the numbers - including the capping and vs the spread, but the teams in BOLD fit the model last time I checked.