1. 10-06-10 08:38 PM #1
    No coincidences
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    Let me get this straight

    UCF was -11.5 to start the game, they're up 21-0, now they're -6.5 for the 2H?

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  2. 10-06-10 08:41 PM #2
    chimp
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    yes. what does this mean?
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  3. 10-06-10 08:43 PM #3
    emat
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    UAB will not score more than a trash TD. Would you take UCF over 13 this half. I would.
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  4. 10-06-10 08:44 PM #4
    uanl
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    books were just way off on this game??? weird stuff...
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  5. 10-06-10 08:46 PM #5
    COOGI
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    maybe book think gonna be a blow out game
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  6. 10-06-10 08:47 PM #6
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    I don't know if I've ever seen a line go from -11.5 -- with late money on UAB -- to -27.5 after one half before.
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  7. 10-06-10 08:50 PM #7
    $Burm$
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    late movement pounded the under 2, idk if thats going to hold up either...did play anything on this NC??
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  8. 10-06-10 08:52 PM #8
    lakerfan420
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    UCF Interception turns into TD
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  9. 10-06-10 08:52 PM #9
    $Burm$
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    it was a fumlbe, but fuk that, there goes my under...wat a terrible day.
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  10. 10-06-10 08:53 PM #10
    lakerfan420
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    fumble my bad. yea same here im getting destroyed today man not good day at all
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  11. 10-06-10 08:55 PM #11
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    This might wind up being easy money for those who were smart enough to take UCF.
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  12. 10-06-10 09:22 PM #12
    $Burm$
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    if that fumble recovery for a td doesnt happen, uab would cover this game...and the over woouldnt hit...which means...terrible for me haha
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  13. 10-06-10 09:23 PM #13
    $Burm$
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerfan420 View Post
    fumble my bad. yea same here im getting destroyed today man not good day at all
    yah i hear yah, i knew it was going to be bad when you have the over in that rays/rangers game...could not believe that didnt go over, and i had it at 6.5
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  14. 10-06-10 09:26 PM #14
    uanl
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    lol i took +17.5 over 43 teaser....then at halftime i gave it for dead and tried getting my cash back with UCF -6 and over 21.5 ...i could potentially lose all 3 bets on this game..dont feel too bad burm .. lol
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  15. 10-06-10 09:30 PM #15
    $Burm$
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    Quote Originally Posted by uanl View Post
    lol i took +17.5 over 43 teaser....then at halftime i gave it for dead and tried getting my cash back with UCF -6 and over 21.5 ...i could potentially lose all 3 bets on this game..dont feel too bad burm .. lol
    haha that is rough, hopefully it will still turn out good for ya
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  16. 10-06-10 09:45 PM #16
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    Someone knew something here.
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  17. 10-06-10 09:47 PM #17
    uanl
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    wow..i needed that pick 6 bigtime lol
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  18. 10-06-10 11:17 PM #18
    Blazermaniac
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    When more than 60% of the bettors taking UAB plus the 11.5 and it's the the 7th most played in Vegas tonight...it's not going to happen. Vegas will not only cover the spread but a lot of times the teaser spread....usually most teaser played is 7. Someone had UAB plus 21.5 tonight and it wasns't even close. Vegas works in mysterious ways. I love 'em and that's why I am broke. But I'll get 'em...just be patient. Anyone interested...N Ill minus the 3. Why???? That's how Vegas does it. And so far everyone is jumping on it.
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  19. 10-06-10 11:23 PM #19
    THE PROFIT
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    did that score answer your questions??? My only question is how did my fukin VOLS let these guys take them to double OT & would have lost if they had a fukin kicker
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  20. 10-06-10 11:43 PM #20
    $Burm$
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    Quote Originally Posted by THE PROFIT View Post
    did that score answer your questions??? My only question is how did my fukin VOLS let these guys take them to double OT & would have lost if they had a fukin kicker
    wonderin the same thing, I was considering playing CFU, but my local had it at 13 and pinny closed at 11.5 so i thought id beat closer and take the 13 pts..oh well, rough day, well get em 2morro
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  21. 10-06-10 11:57 PM #21
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    Notice where the game total ended up as well.

    This was an off-the-radar game that had a lot of weird shit going on. Makes you wonder.
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  22. 10-07-10 12:04 AM #22
    HoulihansTX
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    Weekday Foots is garbage. Not worth betting at all.

    last two games has no business being on TV.
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  23. 10-07-10 12:44 AM #23
    $Burm$
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Notice where the game total ended up as well.

    This was an off-the-radar game that had a lot of weird shit going on. Makes you wonder.
    yah, i think the UAB qb lobbing the ball straight up in the air gave it away......
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  24. 10-07-10 01:53 AM #24
    BernardMadoff
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    Why do people keep thinking "Vegas" knows whats going to happen in games, they dont, if they did they would be gambling instead of taking wagers.
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  25. 10-07-10 03:45 AM #25
    kp126
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    Quote Originally Posted by BernardMadoff View Post
    Why do people keep thinking "Vegas" knows whats going to happen in games, they dont, if they did they would be gambling instead of taking wagers.
    they dont know what will happen but they are good at predicting what will happen.
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  26. 10-07-10 05:08 AM #26
    BernardMadoff
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    Quote Originally Posted by kp126 View Post
    they dont know what will happen but they are good at predicting what will happen.
    Its called gathering data, lots of data, and a little public perception, nothing more. They arnt predicting anything.
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  27. 10-07-10 06:12 AM #27
    Intuitive_Edge
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    Quote Originally Posted by THE PROFIT View Post
    did that score answer your questions??? My only question is how did my fukin VOLS let these guys take them to double OT & would have lost if they had a fukin kicker
    Tenn is the worst team in the SEC, thats why.
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  28. 10-07-10 08:24 AM #28
    tripleblack1705
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    Man I love those live halftime plays.
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  29. 10-07-10 08:53 AM #29
    darkenergy
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I don't know if I've ever seen a line go from -11.5 -- with late money on UAB -- to -27.5 after one half before.
    You flooded this forum with every single thought of yours about why line move like this, why line move like that NC. What's so strange about UCF giving 6.5 when they are clearly dominate this game, and UAB can't play shit.

    live-betting, and 2H line are most of the time solely base on current in game performance. I got Yankee ML +525 when they are down by 3 last night during live betting. Last year, I got Laker +500 or more when they played Heats and down by 17+, they came back and won the game. Why do you think books are so generous for Yanks or Laker? Books know they will not come back? No books didn't know that. Line the way is it because Yanks performance like shit in first few innings..........can't pitch, can't hit.

    Same concept with line for this college game, UAB look awful in 1H.

    I've read this somewhere, and if I remember correctly public betting percentage has to be 60 or more on 1 side, and 1 point move to opposite direction. Last night game, number of bettors flirting around 51 to 49, or something like that. How can you tell late money coming to UAB????? because line drop .5 point to 11.5? You don't eliminate the possibility of the outcome of troy game the night before when dog won SU has some effect on this game???

    Beside, full game is 11.5, 2H is 6.5 is somewhat reasonable. Unlike the game on the night before, full game Troy +3 (I got 4 in last minutes), 2H Troy +5.....more than spread of full game (never take favorite in spread like this, including NBA)
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  30. 10-07-10 03:32 PM #30
    kp126
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    Quote Originally Posted by BernardMadoff View Post
    Its called gathering data, lots of data, and a little public perception, nothing more. They arnt predicting anything.
    So they gather data and do what with that data?
    If they arent predicting anything than how do they come up with spreads? You have to predict an outcome to set lines.

    Im agreeing with you but i think you misinterpreted my orignal post.
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  31. 10-07-10 05:33 PM #31
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    Quote Originally Posted by darkenergy View Post
    You flooded this forum with every single thought of yours about why line move like this, why line move like that NC. What's so strange about UCF giving 6.5 when they are clearly dominate this game, and UAB can't play shit.
    Because about an hour and a half before that, UAB was getting hit up by sharps at +11 or even 10.5. Typically, if a game is in that range at halftime compared to the original line, you'll be lucky to get a Pick 'Em line for the team getting slaughtered if Vegas thinks the game is over. You rarely see + money offered, let alone nearly a touchdown.

    To go from the original number to +27.5 is a huge jump, regardless of how the first half went. The line told the story -- as it usually does -- for the 2H, which means UCF was the play.
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  32. 10-07-10 05:41 PM #32
    darkenergy
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    Can you elaborate of what you mean by UAB getting hit up by sharps?????????????
    Which book do you use for your trigger? What's the percentage of late money coming to UAB? Do you know the size of those late bets?

    So from the line tonight, what can you say. Line drop from Neb -12, now -10.5 which side sharps are on?
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  33. 10-07-10 05:48 PM #33
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    Quote Originally Posted by darkenergy View Post
    Can you elaborate of what you mean by UAB getting hit up by sharps?????????????
    Which book do you use for your trigger? What's the percentage of late money coming to UAB? Do you know the size of those late bets?
    I'd say if Pinny had UCF at -13 the day before and it was -11.5 by kickoff -- with more of the public on UCF -- then yes, sharp money was driving the line down. Maybe not huge, but enough for the 1.5 point shift in the last 24 hours.

    So from the line tonight, what can you say. Line drop from Neb -12, now -10.5 which side sharps are on?
    Depends on what happens about 5 minutes before kickoff.
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  34. 10-07-10 05:58 PM #34
    Sunde91
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    darkenergy, thanks for putting the simpleton in his place. We see about 3 threads a day from him about shit like this.

    Can someone explain to me why he's trying to relate closing line movement with a 2h spread? Thanks.
    Last edited by Sunde91; 10-07-10 at 06:02 PM.
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  35. 10-07-10 06:04 PM #35
    clonecat
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    Quote Originally Posted by darkenergy View Post
    Can you elaborate of what you mean by UAB getting hit up by sharps?????????????
    Which book do you use for your trigger? What's the percentage of late money coming to UAB? Do you know the size of those late bets?

    So from the line tonight, what can you say. Line drop from Neb -12, now -10.5 which side sharps are on?
    There is RLM on the game this evening with 63% on Nebraska and line going down to 10.5.
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