[jillmark]

LAST WEEK (week #3)

BEST BETS (1-2)(-3.60 units)
STRONG PLAYS (1-1)(-0.20 units)
REGULAR PLAYS (0-3)(-3.30 units)

WEEKLY TOTAL (2-6)(-7.10 units)
------------------------------------------------


2010 SEASON

BEST BETS (2-6)(-13.80 units)
STRONG PLAYS (2-4)(-4.80 units)
REGULAR PLAYS (2-8)(-6.80 units)

SEASON TOTAL (6-18)(-25.40 units)
------------------------------------------------


Just like last week I won my first bet on Thursday and really sucked with everything else. I probably win 8 out of 10 year in college football and I just cannot believe how bad I am right now. This is by far the worst start I have ever had in college football. Week four can only get better you would think. Going to get some in a little early and try not to over think some of these games.

Pittsburgh +4 vs Miami-Florida (strong play)…………Key here is where this game is at. I personally think Pitt should be favored at home. I fully expect Pitt to win this game, but I am not going to get greedy and play the moneyline. At this point I will just take a win and these Thursday games have been about the only thing I have picked right so far this season.

W Virginia +8 vs LSU (best bet)…………I just have a strong gut feeling that this game goes down to the wire. I like W Virginia’s defense to keep this low scoring and close. I think these two teams are dead even and home field will not be enough to blow this one wide open.

Back with more later…….

[jillmark]

Getting everything in early. Don't want to over think these games like I have been. Going with first instincts and gut feelings.


NC State +8.5 vs Georgia Tech (best bet)………..This game reminds me of the WVU/LSU game, with a dog of more than a TD that could very easily win the game outright. I think State might even be the better team here. Tech’s home field is not worth 8.5 points. I love both of these best bets.

Cincinnati +13.5 vs Oklahoma (strong play)…………Almost made this a best bet as well. Something not right with the Sooners. Sure they are undefeated, but they are barely winning against average competition. Cincy only 1-2, but they are better than that. When I first saw this line I thought the game was at Oklahoma. Oklahoma will win this game, but it will be much closer than one might expect.

Boston College +4 vs Virginia Tech (regular play)……Starting to get a little nervous as I am on all dogs so far this week, but that is who I like, so I am going to stick with it. Home field I feel makes the difference in this one. Tech better offense, BC better defense. I will take the defense and home field plus the four points.

Florida International +12 vs Maryland (regular play)…………I am a follower on this one. Seen a bunch of cappers that I repect that are on FIU, so I will jump on board. I need all the help I can get at this point.

Arkansas +7 vs Alabama (regular play)………..Might as well make my final play of the week a dog too. No matter how good you are, even if you go undefeated, you are going to have some scares along the way and I think this is going to be one of Bama this week. Arkansas has one of their best teams in recent memory and will bring their A-game this week. Nice home dog giving a supreme effort and getting the cover and maybe with a few bounces their way, who know…Bama may suffer their first loss.

There are a few others I like, but the way I have started I don’t want to bet more games than what I already have. Other I like but will not play are……….

Temple +13.5 vs Penn State
Fresno St +2.5 vs Mississippi
Kentucky +14 vs Florida


Good Luck Everybody!!