1. #36
    Mac4Lyfe
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    Quote Originally Posted by tastylacey2019 View Post
    speaking of which im heading back over there to double up on this play and maybe some poker...ill revisit this thread saturday night.
    Go Pro, Mr. big money spender...

  2. #37
    BigdaddyQH
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    Despite what Mac4Lyfe thinks (and that is something he does not do very well), Florida LOSES this game, and loses it by double digits. The only question is whether they lose by 14. Florida has a very poor offense. They have played NOBODY outside of Auburn, who now looks like an easy 4 loss team. LSU's offense has not scored less than 42 points in any one game. If anyone bothered to actually study the LSU game results they would see that LSU had big leads before the games in which they allowed 38 points became track meets. The same could happen against Florida, which is the reason why I am hesitant to give 14. I think the line will go down. Only a complete and total FOOL thinks that Florida can win this game.

  3. #38
    MinnesotaFats
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe View Post
    Do you think LSUs defense is better than Auburn’s? I certainly don’t. But different team, different weeks, who knows?
    I believe LSU defense to finally be in form. Held US to 150 ttl yards + 3 picks last week. Trending up.

    Auburn plays that same susceptible D tha Bama plays, never deviating from a 4 man rush. Once a RB breaks a tackle and gets to the second tier it's a 6 + yard gain....LSU tackles for loss will push FL into passing situations they will get turned over in.

  4. #39
    Mac4Lyfe
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    Quote Originally Posted by MinnesotaFats View Post
    I believe LSU defense to finally be in form. Held US to 150 ttl yards + 3 picks last week. Trending .
    That was clearly LSUs best game this year but that 1st quarter into the 2nd quarter the game was close. The LSU DBs are damn good and the LBs too. I’m not as high on their DLine this year. We shall see.

  5. #40
    Mac4Lyfe
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    If anyone bothered to actually study the LSU game results they would see that LSU had big leads before the games in which they allowed 38 points became track meets. The same could happen against Florida, which is the reason why I am hesitant to give 14. I think the line will go down. Only a complete and total FOOL thinks that Florida can win this game.
    What the hell are you talking about? UT and LSU went back and forth, neither team able to stop the other. The entire game was a track meet. And Vandy had 31 points in the 3rd quarter?

    I wasnt even even thinking about betting this game but a lot of dumb dumbs are blindly throwing money on LSU. If BigDummyQH is on LSU... God help them.

  6. #41
    Mac4Lyfe
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    LSU Opponents Passing Yard per game defensive rank

    Ga Southern - 81
    Texas - 122
    Northwestern St - N/A
    Vandy - 110
    Utah St - 118

    Burrow has put up numbers versus some shitty passing defenses...

  7. #42
    Mac4Lyfe
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    And before BiDumbDaddy responds...

    here are the rankings for each opponent the week before they played LSU:

    Ga Southern - NA (first game)
    Texas - 116
    Northwestern St - NA
    Vandy - 118
    Utah St -115

  8. #43
    firedawg
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    If game was on a neutral field I'd take Fla +7

    Problem is Death Valley at night 14 may not be enough

    I could see LSU with a cover to end game up by 9 or 10


    Dangerous game

  9. #44
    fecgp40
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    This is a very dangerous game but I see them hanging. Trask's health concerns me some, but Gator defense is legit. It will be a very tall task for Florida to win but I could certainly see them hanging within the number. 13-14 seems like a big number for LSU to cover. Florida really dominated Auburn. That game wasn't as close as the score i.m.o. Mullen is a fantastic coach and will have a good plan for this game. I certainly cant wait to watch it.

  10. #45
    jtoler
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    they will cover easy

  11. #46
    ZIPPER HEAD
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    Quote Originally Posted by tastylacey2019 View Post
    no air bets here. If you are in rhode island feel free to meet me at twin river Casino. They wont take your monopoly money there but you can see how others wager and maybe learn something.
    Who the fuk is in Rhode Island? Good God man
    Points Awarded:

    Mac4Lyfe gave ZIPPER HEAD 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  12. #47
    2daBank
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    Wow. Crazy high. But can gators score w them? Is LSU offense as legit it looked??

  13. #48
    ZIPPER HEAD
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    Despite what Mac4Lyfe thinks (and that is something he does not do very well), Florida LOSES this game, and loses it by double digits. The only question is whether they lose by 14. Florida has a very poor offense. They have played NOBODY outside of Auburn, who now looks like an easy 4 loss team. LSU's offense has not scored less than 42 points in any one game. If anyone bothered to actually study the LSU game results they would see that LSU had big leads before the games in which they allowed 38 points became track meets. The same could happen against Florida, which is the reason why I am hesitant to give 14. I think the line will go down. Only a complete and total FOOL thinks that Florida can win this game.
    Can I put a funnel in your mouth and take a shit please

  14. #49
    ZIPPER HEAD
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Wow. Crazy high. But can gators score w them? Is LSU offense as legit it looked??
    LSU is legit 2da-- I just don't know if their -14 legit-lol

  15. #50
    apatjude
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    Is 138 a thing for college football betting? SBR Betting Odds page currently has LSU at -4.5 (not -14.5) but can't find the line anywhere on the site.

  16. #51
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by ZIPPER HEAD View Post
    LSU is legit 2da-- I just don't know if their -14 legit-lol
    I know they Good but not used to their offense being this good. This best d they have seen by a mile.

  17. #52
    tastylacey2019
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    Quote Originally Posted by ZIPPER HEAD View Post
    Who the fuk is in Rhode Island? Good God man
    providence is booming/ lots of drugs, gangs, prostitution, casino, sports wagering....men are flocking.

  18. #53
    tastylacey2019
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    i got 13.5 then rebet at -13 couldnt be happier. might rebet more if it falls to 12 somehow.

  19. #54
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by tastylacey2019 View Post
    i got 13.5 then rebet at -13 couldnt be happier. might rebet more if it falls to 12 somehow.
    Don’t be too happy bro. Lol

  20. #55
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by tastylacey2019 View Post
    providence is booming/ lots of drugs, gangs, prostitution, casino, sports wagering....men are flocking.
    Sounds awesome!!

  21. #56
    tastylacey2019
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Sounds awesome!!
    lots of action. Banker here is the deal with this game. I have 10 friends who gamble hard and have known them for years. 8 of them lose constantly 2 win. the 8 who lose all said the same thing this morning...14 points for an undefeated florida powerhouse they are all over florida the 2 guys who win said lsu would cover it easy. I know im on the right side here.

  22. #57
    tastylacey2019
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    but the sportsbook at twin river sucks you have to get in during the week otherwise you are in line for hours on the weekends.

  23. #58
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by tastylacey2019 View Post
    lots of action. Banker here is the deal with this game. I have 10 friends who gamble hard and have known them for years. 8 of them lose constantly 2 win. the 8 who lose all said the same thing this morning...14 points for an undefeated florida powerhouse they are all over florida the 2 guys who win said lsu would cover it easy. I know im on the right side here.
    Lmao. Makes sense. I have a few of those. I ain’t even capped it yet, baseball playoffs taking my time, I’ll get to it Friday or something. Just initial reaction is I don’t wanna lay it. I’m not much into big spreads.

  24. #59
    tastylacey2019
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Lmao. Makes sense. I have a few of those. I ain’t even capped it yet, baseball playoffs taking my time, I’ll get to it Friday or something. Just initial reaction is I don’t wanna lay it. I’m not much into big spreads.
    i dont like big spread games much either 14 is as high as i like to go. florida qb is not 100 percent health wise (sprained mcl) and he has no quality road wins..florida should have lost the first 2 games. what would the line be if florida lost the first 2 games? might be lsu -18

  25. #60
    firedawg
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    They probably cover at home at night


    I'm
    Just not laying 14

  26. #61
    milesbk23
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    LSU can put up 31 points and that is still a decent showing from Florida's defense considering how fast they play. Add in that it's at night in tiger stadium obviously makes it that much tougher for their new QB. I don't think LSU winning by two touchdowns is really that off the fair value

  27. #62
    teecee
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    All this talk about a game that's probably lined about where it should be and nobody talking about Memphis rolling Temple.

  28. #63
    Mac4Lyfe
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    Quote Originally Posted by milesbk23 View Post
    LSU can put up 31 points and that is still a decent showing from Florida's defense considering how fast they play. Add in that it's at night in tiger stadium obviously makes it that much tougher for their new QB. I don't think LSU winning by two touchdowns is really that off the fair value
    Since 2000, LSU is 5-6 vs Ranked SEC opponents at Tiger Stadium in games with a 7pm kick or after

    Wins:

    AU 2003
    Fla 2007
    AU 2008
    SCar 2012
    Ole Miss 2016

    Losses:

    Bama 2002
    Fla 2009
    Bama 2012
    Bama 2014
    Bama 2016
    Bama 2018

  29. #64
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe View Post
    Since 2000, LSU is 5-6 vs Ranked SEC opponents at Tiger Stadium in games with a 7pm kick or after

    Wins:

    AU 2003
    Fla 2007
    AU 2008
    SCar 2012
    Ole Miss 2016

    Losses:

    Bama 2002
    Fla 2009
    Bama 2012
    Bama 2014
    Bama 2016
    Bama 2018
    Interesting. I do think this tiger team is so drastically different tho with their ability to score. Not to mention practically all the losses are to bama so that don’t really count, take all those 6-3 losses away and their record looks much better!!! Lol

  30. #65
    tastylacey2019
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    i cant wait for this game. going to grill some steak and drink double ipas some very good prime time games to flip back and forth to as well.

  31. #66
    thetrinity
    penetrate me to tears
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    LSU blowout

  32. #67
    jts1207
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    Quote Originally Posted by thetrinity View Post
    LSU blowout
    I think this

  33. #68
    tastylacey2019
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    me too

  34. #69
    Mac4Lyfe
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Interesting. I do think this tiger team is so drastically different tho with their ability to score. Not to mention practically all the losses are to bama so that don’t really count, take all those 6-3 losses away and their record looks much better!!! Lol
    Yeah, those Bama games really don't count. They have been dominant at home for sure.

    The more I look at this game, I see either a very close 1 possession game or an LSU blowout. Which means for me to just lay off. I'm going to just sit back and watch. I really think more of the blowout but much better games to play. Mullen is known for laying an egg every year. This and UGA are the 2 games I can see him just rolling over. I want to hammer LSU but no way in hell do I lay that many points against a top notch defense.

  35. #70
    eastvan09
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    Leaning Florida but probably won't play it

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