[daneblazer]

1 unit
Arizona -2.5
Buffalo +3


YTD
39-23-3
+20.4 units

Adding more later. Will create a few game threads for discussion.

good luck this week

[1to1000]

good luck amigo

[BigdaddyQH]

Arizona plays very poorly in Northern California. They are 0-5 ATS at Cal, and 1-3 ATS when they play at Stanford. They are also 0-7 ATS after the UCLA game. Cal just held Washington State to 3 points. A win here will come very close to putting themselves into a Bowl Game.

Buffalo has not lost a game ATS this season. Miami Ohio is 2-5 this season and 1-5 ATS. Buffalo looks like a solid wager.

[daneblazer]

Adding

2U
Marshall -3
North Texas +3.5

1U Michigan State -6.5

[daneblazer]

Arizona plays very poorly in Northern California. They are 0-5 ATS at Cal, and 1-3 ATS when they play at Stanford. They are also 0-7 ATS after the UCLA game. Cal just held Washington State to 3 points. A win here will come very close to putting themselves into a Bowl Game.

Buffalo has not lost a game ATS this season. Miami Ohio is 2-5 this season and 1-5 ATS. Buffalo looks like a solid wager.

Thanks BigDaddy. Good luck this week. You know the Pac 12 & West coast teams as well as anyone here. Do you have an opinion on Boise/Wyoming?

[BigdaddyQH]

Thanks BigDaddy. Good luck this week. You know the Pac 12 & West coast teams as well as anyone here. Do you have an opinion on Boise/Wyoming?

Wyoming is finally starting to come around and play like many expected them to, when the season started. Even though their QB has not had the season most expected out of him, he is still very good. Boise State's defense has either been very good, giving up 12 ppg when they win, or very bad, giving up 44 1/2 ppg. Wyoming is 4-1 ATS on Smirf Turf, and getting 14 points is too much for me to fade. I would take Wyoming or pass.

[Ralphie Halves]

Do you know for sure who's starting at QB for Buffalo this week? If it's that 3rd string freshman, I'd reconsider.

[BigdaddyQH]

Do you know for sure who's starting at QB for Buffalo this week? If it's that 3rd string freshman, I'd reconsider.

As of now, it is the 3rd stringer. That really is not why I based my statement. My Buffalo pick is based on the fact that Buffalo is 3-4 and Miami Oh is 2-5. Buffalo is also 5-0-1 ATS and Miami is 1-5 ATS. When yo are dealing with bad teams, there is not that much difference in the talent level. Miami's starting QB Ragland is also out, as well as two starting offensive linemen.

[Ralphie Halves]

As of now, it is the 3rd stringer. That really is not why I based my statement. My Buffalo pick is based on the fact that Buffalo is 3-4 and Miami Oh is 2-5. Buffalo is also 5-0-1 ATS and Miami is 1-5 ATS. When yo are dealing with bad teams, there is not that much difference in the talent level. Miami's starting QB Ragland is also out, as well as two starting offensive linemen.

Sounds like waayyyy too many unknowns and at the most important position, to bet on with any confidence. BOL though.

[BigdaddyQH]

Sounds like waayyyy too many unknowns and at the most important position, to bet on with any confidence. BOL though.

Had both teams been about even in the ATS catagory, I probably would have just passed on the game. But this shows me that Buffalo does not quit and Miami (Ohio), a team that was favored to win the Mac East by one publication, does. This is certainly no the strongest pick I will have for the rest of the season.

[Louisvillekid1]

great job so far

[daneblazer]

That 7 OT marathon not withstanding, buffalo has a pretty good defense. They’ve fought in all of their games. Miami was just beaten by an awful Kent St team. They look like they are heading south. I think buffalo wins SU

[Ralphie Halves]

Had both teams been about even in the ATS catagory, I probably would have just passed on the game. But this shows me that Buffalo does not quit and Miami (Ohio), a team that was favored to win the Mac East by one publication, does. This is certainly no the strongest pick I will have for the rest of the season.

A lot of what Buffalo did was from really strong QB play by Tyree Jackson and especially Drew Anderson. Drew Anderson has some Bledsoe in him, I'm not kidding. As soon as the 3rd stringer came in for the second half, they stopped scoring completely. Kid showed some moxy rolling out in his own endzone and completing a couple of long passes, but the offense was pretty helpless beyond that.

I should know, I had Northern Illinois that game, and they for whatever reason decided not to score either.

[Ralphie Halves]

Total is down to 45.5 -- might be too generous.

[daneblazer]

Updating

2units

Memphis +3
Marshall -3
North Texas +3.5

1Unit
Arizona -2.5
Buffalo +3
Mich St -6.5
Navy +7.5
Col St -7
Minnesota -13


Leans: ND, Arkansas, FSU, Wyoming, SMU, Syracuse

Prob will add a few tomorrow or tonight. Also may go to the FSU game tomorrow

[Notorious_Donk]

Memphis?

[Ralphie Halves]

Memphis?

He had it in another thread a few days ago.

[Notorious_Donk]

He had it in another thread a few days ago.

Gotcha, didn't see that thread. Thought he was pulling a fast one haha

[daneblazer]

Adding

1u
Wyoming +14
FSU ML/SMU ML parlay (about -107 but I’ll call it -110)

heading to the game. Good luck

[jjgold]

[Ralphie Halves]

And the 3rd stringer goes 40% completion, and Buffalo loses by 10. Gotta watch these things guys.

[daneblazer]

Going to be the worst week of the season

get backdoored on two with under 20 seconds left

fsu fumbles the game away.

Ugh

[eastvan09]

FSU was bad. North Texas got anielated.

[shocka1212]

Wyoming did the damn thing... saved my ass

[jjgold]

I started off well but got hurt at night

Losing day

[stevek173]

hang in there Daner

[daneblazer]

-2.8 units
4-7 week


Arziona, FSU, Colorado State, & Minnesota were rough. All last second losers.

On to next week

[JAKEPEAVY21]

rough week but impressive season

get 'em next week