1. #1
    jjgold
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    One Of Biggest Games Of Year Tonight: Stanford/Washington

    Point Spread stay away from

    It is a money line bet only

    Wash

  2. #2
    mcdonae101
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    Washington, one of my fav plays this week

  3. #3
    TheSideBet
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    I went with the Huskies here and all signs point to it being the right play but I just have a weird feeling about it after. Hope this isn't one of those off night games where everything that has happened now doesn't. Small bet but Washington it is.

  4. #4
    Courtesywipe
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    Washington = Haven't played anybody yet hence the 4-0 record. QB just a sophomore. They are at home and that's a plus.

    Stanford = Great defense and should be able to hold Huskies run game in check. QB manages game well and we all know about Stanfords run back averaging 8 yards a carry.

    Stanford 32
    Washington 20
    Points Awarded:

    PaperTrail07 gave Courtesywipe 5 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  5. #5
    triplecrown333
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    agree with above, washington played nobody

  6. #6
    The Kraken
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    Coach

    Take the Huskies AROUND THE WORLD

    You know what to do

  7. #7
    l7ustin
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    I like stanford.
    They have had the tougher road and will be more prepared for a real opponent

    Should be a good one

  8. #8
    psufan
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    Stanford is the play is the same reason Wisconsin is the play. The home opponent hasn't played anybody.

  9. #9
    yahoonino
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    washinton in a blowout,,,,,,35 -13

  10. #10
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by psufan View Post
    Stanford is the play is the same reason Wisconsin is the play. The home opponent hasn't played anybody.
    Wisky is not the play. They will get pounded.

  11. #11
    pilebuck13
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    Checking total under might be a play here

  12. #12
    psufan
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    Respect your opinion lakerboy but I disagree. I think its all media and harbaugh hype to make an epic ohio state / michigan showdown. Until they have a quality win I won't give them the benefit of the doubt. The media lovvvesss UM and always never gives Whiskey the benefit of the doubt.

  13. #13
    Whoopi
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    If you're ballsy enough to touch the line, Stanford easily the play. Sketch game though. More comfortable with the over.

  14. #14
    jjgold
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    It really is not a home game for Wash??

  15. #15
    The Kraken
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    It really is not a home game for Wash??
    Good point Coach

    Playing in Husky Stadium on the UW campus is pretty much a neutral site

  16. #16
    psufan
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    Yeah Stanford Moneyline is the ballsy play, but I agree, the over is the safer bet..

  17. #17
    gauchojake
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    I like a very close game. My less sophisticated model shows that Stanford +3 is the play. The more sophisticated model shows a WA win outright. My sources in Costa Rica say WA and my sources in Vefas say Stanford. So the play is...

  18. #18
    Sam Odom
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  19. #19
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    I like a very close game. My less sophisticated model shows that Stanford +3 is the play. The more sophisticated model shows a WA win outright. My sources in Costa Rica say WA and my sources in Vefas say Stanford. So the play is...
    What's Vefas like?

  20. #20
    Gooleez21
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    Stanford. Or the under

  21. #21
    klemopixx
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    I don't think Washington can stop the running game of Stanford. I think the Cardinal keep control of the clock and grind the Huskies down. I'm taking Stanford +3 and the ML for the double dip!

  22. #22
    jjgold
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    over???

  23. #23
    Pickem2win
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Kraken View Post
    Good point Coach

    Playing in Husky Stadium on the UW campus is pretty much a neutral site
    ?????? LMAO!! Are you drunk? How is this a neutral site?

  24. #24
    PaperTrail07
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    Colorado would have taken Mich to the wire if the QB didnt get hurt...
    Quote Originally Posted by psufan View Post
    Stanford is the play is the same reason Wisconsin is the play. The home opponent hasn't played anybody.

  25. #25
    PaperTrail07
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    Wash beats Stanford Good for them lol...Stanford is proven SOLID all around...

  26. #26
    funnyb25
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    Big big day tomorrow...

  27. #27
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    I like a very close game. My less sophisticated model shows that Stanford +3 is the play. The more sophisticated model shows a WA win outright. My sources in Costa Rica say WA and my sources in Vefas say Stanford. So the play is...
    Not bad gaucho, now let's put some numbers behind it.

    Unsophisticated bettors do see Stanford here in a few different ways. Most notably, the line I create that addresses a public gauge and is non-predictive gives Stanford a 27-20 win.

    As we change the metrics and get more sophisticated I produce a line with Washington winning 35-20, triggering a play on Washington and the OVER. That won't always win, but it's likely the sharpest forecast you'll see posted today.

    Can't get into the pressures on the line right now except to say that the opening spread and subsequent movement are in line with these predictions.

    Can't say the same for the Total, we'll see what moves before game time.



    Why make the first line?...I maintain that if you know why the line opens where it does and moves to where it moves you will go a long way towards being successful long term.

    Good Luck on the Washington winner.

    Points Awarded:

    gauchojake gave KVB 10 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  28. #28
    PaperTrail07
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    Well when I adjust my algorithm with today's humidity and temp===it shows Stanford winning by 1......Late FG.....I'll have to add in the line movement, carry the 1, talk to my uncle vinny, then get the final # for everyone---STAY TUNED

  29. #29
    Philmill
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    washington ml
    Last edited by Philmill; 09-30-16 at 02:46 PM.

  30. #30
    H-Diesel503
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Kraken View Post
    Good point Coach

    Playing in Husky Stadium on the UW campus is pretty much a neutral site
    Very wrong about that. Seattle supports their teams well. I've been for several Oregon UW games and the crowd was very loud and very much in to it. Stanford the play tho. Arizona exposed how soft the UW Rush defense is and Stanford has proven they have solid pass def. the opposing qb qbr for their games were solid. Stanford wins in a classic Power run game and mcaffeey racks up some yards.

    UW fake.

  31. #31
    unde0087
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    Biggest games of the year

    Neither team will be in the hunt by week 12

  32. #32
    The Hat
    Washington
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    Wash 30-20

  33. #33
    ATLIEN6
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    Over 44.5

  34. #34
    funnyb25
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    It's one of the biggest games of the evening. That's for sure.

  35. #35
    TheMoneyShot
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    A lot of Stanford plays here.

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