1. #1
    stevenash
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    Texas Tech / Baylor total 85

    Doing the math.
    It's going to take 11 TD's combined to push this to 77, 3 FG's to get this to over 85.

    That's a minimum of 14 combined scores, going to need at more that that, figure 17 scores (FG or TD) to make this 85 over happen.

    What some people don't realize is that yes, Baylor puts up 60 a game, they also have a top 7 in the nation defense.
    Tech can play some defense, Tech is middle of the pack stat wise regarding team defense.

    Baylor will get their 51 or so Saturday, they ain't reaching their 60, should get 48.
    I'm putting Bears on 48.

    Look at the TT schedule , forget the 61 they hung on SF Austin, when they faced the teams that have a real program, Tech only averages 27.

    Their last three games, all losses, Tech scored 90 (30 per) Tech won 20-10 over #24 TCU 20-10.

    TCU and OK and OK State doesn't play nearly at the level on defense as Baylor does, Baylor is a borderline elite defensive unit.
    Here, navigate this link, don't take my word for it.

    http://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs/current/team/28

    85 is a gigantic number here.

    Baylor will get their 48 or 51
    TT average 37, they ain't sniffing that number, Tech averages about 27 or 28 against the better defensive teams, they ain't getting that either.

    Putting TT on a 24 spot.
    Don't think Baylor's defense will be pumped either.

    You need two to put a total like 85 over.
    Tech won't score nearly enough in this game to even put the 85 in jeopardy.

    Baylor wins like 51-24
    Last edited by stevenash; 11-13-13 at 02:50 PM.

  2. #2
    greenhippo
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    Great find with the total here. Tech below average against top teams, only worry is Baylor not putting up 60 in this one, I know Tech won't put up 30.

  3. #3
    EaglesPhan36
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    Good break down - the only problems I have is that although Baylor's defense is much improved from the past ... who have they really gone against this year? And Tech's defense is bad.

    A whole bunch of nothing is what Baylor has faced. This could easily wind up like the OSU-Tech game and wind up in the mid 80s to 90 with Baylor in the mid 50s and Tech in the 30s. Tech is easily the most diversified and explosive offense Baylor will have faced. Legit threats at all the skill positions. Amaro is a beast. Tech's defense = bad. Dominated by a one dimensional K-State squad.

    I think your scenario could play out, but I also think Baylor could score 60 easily and Tech fill in the rest.

  4. #4
    stevenash
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    If Baylor gets up 5 scores, you would think Briles lets off the gas.
    Know this though, Briles could very well be the best offensive minded head coach in the game.
    His system is seamless, he's not Saban, but he's close.

  5. #5
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Good break down - the only problems I have is that although Baylor's defense is much improved from the past ... who have they really gone against this year? And Tech's defense is bad.

    A whole bunch of nothing is what Baylor has faced. This could easily wind up like the OSU-Tech game and wind up in the mid 80s to 90 with Baylor in the mid 50s and Tech in the 30s. Tech is easily the most diversified and explosive offense Baylor will have faced. Legit threats at all the skill positions. Amaro is a beast. Tech's defense = bad. Dominated by a one dimensional K-State squad.

    I think your scenario could play out, but I also think Baylor could score 60 easily and Tech fill in the rest.
    Spot on post.
    If you read between the lines, I am leaning under, my post is, for right now, a discussion thread.
    I am by no means right now, screaming take the under, but that is the way I am leaning at the moment.

  6. #6
    Smoke
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    This could easily go over 100 points

    Stevie you are better than this

  7. #7
    Vinnie Paz
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    Ugh, had a nice done up post but my fukkin browser crashed. Not going through all that again but some points:

    TT run d is really bad, almost 300 given up last 3 games
    Ru.ning doesn't eat clock when you pick up chunks that TT will give up
    Less potent offenses have scored plenty on TT (ok st, Iowa st, OU) . K st just scored 49 and thats with going scoreless a whole quarter.
    TT turns the ball over routinely, 1+ in every game except for 2

    Honestly id be shocked if baylor only scores 48 here. Thats pretty low for them. Closest techs seen to baylor is ok st and they still got 50+.

    Also why would baylor take their foot off the gas? These last 5 games they play(I'm including last week) are the best teams they play all season. They'll want/need to impress, no?

  8. #8
    Vinnie Paz
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    Agaon, just some points, not knocking the play. Just playing the advocate role.

  9. #9
    Big Bear
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    good luck

  10. #10
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    This could easily go over 100 points

    Stevie you are better than this
    What Smoke, what am I better than? What?

    Starting a discussion thread about a high profile game, with you know, facts and figures, stuff you can actually wrap your hands around.

    What am I better than? Stating a couple of reasons why I think the game could go under 85.
    So, everytime your opinion is different than mine, I can expect you to drop in with your little snide, backhanded hit and run annoying posts.

    Let me get straight to the point guey, your little act was maybe, at best mildly amusing for 15 minutes, 15 months ago, now you are just troll boy.

    Now, having said that, I reply to your "this game could go over 100 points"
    Yeah, this could also easily go under 85 points too.

    It's gotten to the point where my discussion threads get slammed.

  11. #11
    TheMLBKing
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    just take baylor TT over...it always cashes

  12. #12
    npmassa
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    last year i think they had 2 tds in the 1q and at the half it was 28-28 dont over think it bet the over now

  13. #13
    EaglesPhan36
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    Worst possible start for anyone who tried the under. Tech gets two scores quick. Baylor scores in less than a minute. Don't see how this doesn't keep up as a total track meet ... unless Kingsbury starts staring at himself in a mirror instead of calling the game.

  14. #14
    VegasInsider
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    There has to be some better value out there then hoping a Baylor game would stay Under. They could have put this total at 100 and I still wouldn't have even considered LOOKING at it. Bottom line is Baylor's defensive statistics are watered down due to lack of competition. They haven't played Oklahoma State OR Texas yet, the only teams worth a damn in the Big 12. They played a great game last week Waco, but I'm not ready to call their defense elite when you've played Wofford, Buffalo, ULM and the rest of the garbage B12 (WV, KSU, Kansas, ISU)

  15. #15
    hanco21
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    Oh my. 41 Pts in the first quarter

  16. #16
    EaglesPhan36
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    Might hit the over before half time. Gus Johnson also might cream himself 85 times this game alone.

  17. #17
    VegasInsider
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    Holy shit, 41 already

    I wouldn't mind see Oregon/Baylor bowl game.

  18. #18
    face
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    This could easily go over 100 points
    i bet it does, only need 60 now

  19. #19
    Sarunas
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    This could easily go over 100 points

    Stevie you are better than this

    is the post of best for the day of saturday!


    the original man make post like say 'a whore of $2 not able make the gobble on 20 penises in the hour in dark alley!'

    wells, no! not make appear the posible. but! a whore of the alley is the profession. if the whore is the professional, whys not she make the ability of suck 20 penises in the hour. is same for baylor techas tech! is no limit on the bitch!
    Points Awarded:

    ChrisInTheMist gave Sarunas 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  20. #20
    VegasInsider
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    I want to see a 150 point game and then Gus Johnson's head explodes.

  21. #21
    VegasInsider
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    Mayfield has chucked it 28 times already

    Kid's arm is going to fall off.

  22. #22
    Ari Gold
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    Guess the 2H total...it has to be over 50 right?

  23. #23
    stevenash
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    I have to go over to the Alabama game, I can not listen to Gus Johnson anymore.
    I got a bic pen in my hand, and I am ready to puncture my ear drum, if that does not work I am going to bludgeon my temple with a spade shovel.

  24. #24
    hanco21
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    Mayfield is hobbling or else 2nd half would be around 41. Probably be 37.5 without him

  25. #25
    Vinnie Paz
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    Nash if you can get the houston/louisville game give it a go. Solid game going there.

  26. #26
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vinnie Paz View Post
    Nash if you can get the houston/louisville game give it a go. Solid game going there.
    I got Ville in a tease.
    I got too much shit going on.
    lol

    I'm on Miss St strong, been watching that team all year, that team will always give you a real hard effort, 23.5 was gold

  27. #27
    nvrlose37
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasInsider View Post
    Holy shit, 41 already

    I wouldn't mind see Oregon/Baylor bowl game.
    Fiesta Bowl, holy shit please.

  28. #28
    pavyracer
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    what's the score at HT?

  29. #29
    teaserpleaser
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    lolz was a 110 0/u at one point live in game

  30. #30
    Smoke
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    Once this game goes over 85 easily I expect an apology stevenash

    I'm here to help but you always so angry when I disagree with you

  31. #31
    Smoke
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    And I really hope it goes over 100 too

  32. #32
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    Once this game goes over 85 easily I expect an apology stevenash

    I'm here to help but you always so angry when I disagree with you
    You'll get shit and like it you fukking dead beat stiff.

  33. #33
    InTheDrink
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    nasher is killing mr. useless

  34. #34
    Smoke
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    You'll get shit and like it you fukking dead beat stiff.
    I only tried to help

    I hope you lose your fukkin shirt on this

  35. #35
    Smoke
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    Quote Originally Posted by InTheDrink View Post


    nasher is killing mr. useless
    Hey everyone look its mr irrelevant chiming in

    Go put a mustache on your lip u fukkin clown

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