1. #1576
    wusntmeman
    wusntmeman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-12
    Posts: 20
    Betpoints: 531

    so, ok..game 372 maryland +6.5. vegasinsider has 25% of people on the spread, 10% on moneyline and at my book the line is down to 6. So money wise they are playing maryland, because the line is worst for maryland thats why it went down . So the play would be penn stste -6 ?

  2. #1577
    wusntmeman
    wusntmeman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-12
    Posts: 20
    Betpoints: 531

    ps.... not a 100% sure of the opening line but, it went from 7.5 to 7 to 6.5 and now 6......all key numbers

  3. #1578
    vegasreaper
    vegasreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-27-11
    Posts: 5,656
    Betpoints: 11044

    Quote Originally Posted by wusntmeman View Post
    ps.... not a 100% sure of the opening line but, it went from 7.5 to 7 to 6.5 and now 6......all key numbers
    You are right my friend but last night numbers were different why Isaid I like to check closer to game time when it comes into play

  4. #1579
    Tanko
    Slow roll
    Tanko's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-19-09
    Posts: 5,084
    Betpoints: 24940

    Quote Originally Posted by wusntmeman View Post
    so, ok..game 372 maryland +6.5. vegasinsider has 25% of people on the spread, 10% on moneyline and at my book the line is down to 6. So money wise they are playing maryland, because the line is worst for maryland thats why it went down . So the play would be penn stste -6 ?
    To bet the reverse line play with the sharps, the play would be Maryland +6. Why? Many thousands of squares were betting on Penn St (like 80% of the total number of bets) but yet the line is falling. That means the sharps on Maryland. There is a guy that posts on SBR that wrote an article on this. I think his handle is LT Profits. I'll see if I can dig up the article and post it here.

    Sorry Vegasreaper. Not trying to crowd-in on your board, just trying to provide info.

  5. #1580
    Tanko
    Slow roll
    Tanko's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-19-09
    Posts: 5,084
    Betpoints: 24940

    Here is the article by LT Profits that describes RLMs well.
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/nfl-...rofits-a-9202/

    The attached table gave some insight into betting these types of moves.
    Attached Images

  6. #1581
    vegasreaper
    vegasreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-27-11
    Posts: 5,656
    Betpoints: 11044

    Not a pleasant week for me but a winning week nonetheless so i'll take it now sit at 76-53 and also see what I meant about the 70% rule it is more than fictitious as both covered that fell under this. Also Poolside it isnt organic right, but it shows even more how the public for the most part is in the dark. Word was already out no Big Ben yet 89% were on Steelers anyways so no it wasn't due to a QB issue and if you only think Big Ben is worth 3 points to the Steelers I will have to disagree. Well to those that tailed me again this week congrats on another winning weekend

  7. #1582
    9fives
    9fives's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-12
    Posts: 90
    Betpoints: 1608

    any plays for Thursday night games?

  8. #1583
    vegasreaper
    vegasreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-27-11
    Posts: 5,656
    Betpoints: 11044

    Plays for Thursday

    104-PITT+1
    108-MIAOH+7
    112-TCU-13
    114-ARIZST-2.5

    AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL

  9. #1584
    Kwills
    Kwills's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-18-14
    Posts: 130
    Betpoints: 3363

    Quote Originally Posted by vegasreaper View Post
    Plays for Thursday by

    104-PITT+1
    108-MIAOH+7
    112-TCU-13
    114-ARIZST-2.5

    AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL
    Anything for tonight reaper?

  10. #1585
    vegasreaper
    vegasreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-27-11
    Posts: 5,656
    Betpoints: 11044

    Two plays for Friday

    ECAR-5
    RICE+11

    AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL

  11. #1586
    sheikster403
    sheikster403's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-02-15
    Posts: 24
    Betpoints: 300

    What's on tap for Saturday Reap?

  12. #1587
    mountie12
    mountie12's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-12
    Posts: 167
    Betpoints: 1569

    He's pulling an Italian mother move when they make you wait forever for dinner so you're more hungry and it tastes better.

  13. #1588
    sheikster403
    sheikster403's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-02-15
    Posts: 24
    Betpoints: 300

    Haven't been able to make weeknight games because so close to kickoff

  14. #1589
    inv group
    Update your status
    inv group's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-14
    Posts: 123
    Betpoints: 845

    Thanks for invo

  15. #1590
    9fives
    9fives's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-12
    Posts: 90
    Betpoints: 1608

    About 30 min. til gametime. Got any of the 12pm games for us?

  16. #1591
    mountie12
    mountie12's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-12
    Posts: 167
    Betpoints: 1569

    I do this myself.

  17. #1592
    vegasreaper
    vegasreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-27-11
    Posts: 5,656
    Betpoints: 11044

    Sorry so late, I like the Italian mother joke129UMASS+2138-IOWA-17147-SDSU-3151-GA+2153-USC-3158-VA+4159-OKST-1.5161-OK-39168-HOUS-9.5171-TENN-9.5176-CINCY-27179-ULM+10.5AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL

  18. #1593
    vegasreaper
    vegasreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-27-11
    Posts: 5,656
    Betpoints: 11044

    Sorry hope you can read that only have mobile and it keeps doing that

  19. #1594
    POOLSIDE
    POOLSIDE's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-06-14
    Posts: 2,839
    Betpoints: 586

    129-umass+2
    138-iowa-17
    147-sdsu-3
    151-ga+2
    153-usc-3
    158-va+4
    159-okst-1.5
    161-ok-39
    168-hous-9.5
    171-tenn-9.5
    176-cincy-27
    179-ulm+10.5

  20. #1595
    aznjeff07
    aznjeff07's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-22-09
    Posts: 1,295
    Betpoints: 710

    Why Georgia?

  21. #1596
    vegasreaper
    vegasreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-27-11
    Posts: 5,656
    Betpoints: 11044

    Quote Originally Posted by poolside View Post
    129-umass+2
    138-iowa-17
    147-sdsu-3
    151-ga+2
    153-usc-3
    158-va+4
    159-okst-1.5
    161-ok-39
    168-hous-9.5
    171-tenn-9.5
    176-cincy-27
    179-ulm+10.5

    thank poolside
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: POOLSIDE

  22. #1597
    sheikster403
    sheikster403's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-02-15
    Posts: 24
    Betpoints: 300

    Another great Saturday. Keep up the good work.

  23. #1598
    vegasreaper
    vegasreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-27-11
    Posts: 5,656
    Betpoints: 11044

    Cheers to everyone tailing, another profitable one in the books for us we now sit at 87-58

  24. #1599
    POOLSIDE
    POOLSIDE's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-06-14
    Posts: 2,839
    Betpoints: 586

    Quote Originally Posted by vegasreaper View Post
    thank poolside
    Of course. Nice wins.

  25. #1600
    biggee04
    biggee04's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-26-13
    Posts: 8
    Betpoints: 402

    What's your record the last 4 weeks? You are on fire!

  26. #1601
    vegasreaper
    vegasreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-27-11
    Posts: 5,656
    Betpoints: 11044

    Quote Originally Posted by biggee04 View Post
    What's your record the last 4 weeks? You are on fire!
    53-29 my friend

  27. #1602
    Can U Tank It
    Can U Tank It's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-02-15
    Posts: 189
    Betpoints: 3332

    Quote Originally Posted by vegasreaper View Post
    Cheers to everyone tailing, another profitable one in the books for us we now sit at 87-58
    fantastic Saturday reaper!

  28. #1603
    Friendly Foe
    Friendly Foe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-26-14
    Posts: 4
    Betpoints: 192

    Well Done!

    Quote Originally Posted by vegasreaper View Post
    53-29 my friend
    Wow...another banner weekend Reaper. You, my friend, are crushing it. Keep up the good work.

  29. #1604
    reigle9
    Paint my casket black with a big ass #3
    reigle9's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-25-07
    Posts: 17,879
    Betpoints: 1053

    Quote Originally Posted by vegasreaper View Post
    Cheers to everyone tailing, another profitable one in the books for us we now sit at 87-58
    Didn't tail, but congrats...hope I catch them next weekend.

  30. #1605
    AznRacer305
    AznRacer305's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-12
    Posts: 13
    Betpoints: 539

    Another great successful weekend! Thank you very much reaper!!!

  31. #1606
    vegasreaper
    vegasreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-27-11
    Posts: 5,656
    Betpoints: 11044

    Heading to Veracruz Mexico for 2 weeks everyone so will try to still get posts in here for everyone to tail,fade whatever

  32. #1607
    sheikster403
    sheikster403's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-02-15
    Posts: 24
    Betpoints: 300

    Enjoy your trip.

    Any plays for tonight?

  33. #1608
    Can U Tank It
    Can U Tank It's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-02-15
    Posts: 189
    Betpoints: 3332

    Quote Originally Posted by vegasreaper View Post
    Heading to Veracruz Mexico for 2 weeks everyone so will try to still get posts in here for everyone to tail,fade whatever
    Enjoy!

  34. #1609
    vegasreaper
    vegasreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-27-11
    Posts: 5,656
    Betpoints: 11044

    304-BOWLING GREEN-21
    308-KANSAS STATE+17.5
    317-NEVADA-4
    324-SANJOSE STATE+13

    AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL

  35. #1610
    sheikster403
    sheikster403's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-02-15
    Posts: 24
    Betpoints: 300

    Thanks reaper. Nice win on BG

First ... 43444546474849 ... Last
Top